Optimal-Dancing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

284

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:48
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-29 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 01:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 09:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 07:42
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:37
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:11
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:46
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:12
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:02
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 74 75f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-20 02:24
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:42
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 64 65f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-19 00:46
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:16
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:33
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-17 15:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:38
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:37
highest temperature in karachi on april 16 2026 32c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:11
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x81b98c…
10-31 09:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb5e1e9…
10-30 09:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa92384…
10-29 08:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x72cb48…
10-28 05:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc8a87f…
10-27 08:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x60e4c7…
10-26 09:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc21d73…
10-24 10:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x120bd6…
10-22 10:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4150f4…
10-20 04:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa062ad…
10-19 08:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x395b77…
10-18 08:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x339bda…
10-17 09:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51878d…
10-16 08:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x203db1…
10-15 08:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2ea74…
10-14 08:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x335452…
10-13 08:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb22555…
10-12 08:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x195f45…
10-11 07:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65636f…
10-08 08:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x628ab4…
10-07 13:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf525c1…
10-06 07:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7fc7c…
10-04 10:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a1dfd…
10-03 05:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc124d8…
10-02 07:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06eb5a…
10-01 08:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb706e…
09-30 12:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab8c5a…
09-29 09:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb082c…
09-28 09:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5ea10…
09-27 08:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf960b9…
09-25 08:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb021b…
09-24 08:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8d9a6…
09-23 05:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x538316…
09-22 07:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x588c32…
09-21 08:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21b5cf…
09-20 05:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x907ed5…
09-19 07:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb570e…
09-18 01:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74ac48…
09-17 03:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07aca0…
09-16 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79d3b4…
09-15 08:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf11b5…
09-14 08:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d1336…
09-12 10:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c2b9f…
09-11 07:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2dc5a8…
09-10 02:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x062f0d…
09-09 01:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38dbb5…
09-08 01:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16fb3e…
09-07 08:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fe15a…
09-06 17:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed7669…
09-06 08:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6ca18…
09-05 09:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e542e…
09-04 09:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dab3a…
09-03 09:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc34fd8…
09-01 09:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc931f…
08-30 08:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x645010…
08-29 07:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d2b8b…
08-28 06:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8765f3…
08-27 07:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63cd28…
08-26 08:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a2695…
08-25 08:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe59948…
08-24 09:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c34d2…
08-23 14:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d00b6…
08-22 07:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ed23a…
08-21 03:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4c2c7…
08-20 08:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde70f3…
08-19 08:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaae55b…
08-18 06:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40756e…
08-17 07:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x965139…
08-16 10:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71515e…
08-15 09:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12b2e3…
08-14 06:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfaab5…
08-13 07:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac19e8…
08-12 07:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32d900…
08-11 03:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc58be9…
08-10 00:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22d7f3…
08-09 01:13:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1acbbd…
08-08 07:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x263c75…
08-07 00:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad1238…
08-06 00:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59f300…
08-05 07:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09b601…
08-04 07:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9bfa7…
08-03 01:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x329efc…
08-02 01:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50a731…
08-01 00:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb784b…
07-31 07:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75c2e0…
07-30 06:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf5a41…
07-29 06:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4aa96e…
07-28 05:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5522c…
07-27 07:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a457e…
07-26 06:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0eabb2…
07-25 01:01:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffaf72…
07-24 08:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x630acc…
07-23 02:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7211ab…
07-22 01:42:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x868239…
07-20 23:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fbcbb…
07-20 02:16:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x495c45…
07-18 22:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd33a30…
07-17 23:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6300e8…
07-17 06:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7c400…
07-16 07:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d7732…