Decent-Dozen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-22 11:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% $-208

Politics

43% 100% +$6

Crypto

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$307	400	400	+0	open	—	05-22 11:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$230	200	200	+0	open	—	05-10 12:12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra	3	$230	1,000	0	+1,000	Coco Gauff	$-230	05-09 10:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$186	400	400	+0	open	—	05-22 11:12
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 20:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$136	1,200	400	+800	open	—	05-12 08:02
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$128	200	200	+0	open	—	05-12 13:47
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	4	$125	450	450	+0	open	—	05-22 11:12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$112	200	200	+0	open	—	05-09 07:11
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$107	79	107	-27	open	—	05-09 20:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$98	400	400	+0	open	—	05-09 07:12
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	4	$82	722	722	+0	open	—	05-22 11:11
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	4	$80	43	43	+0	open	—	05-14 07:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$78	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 19:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$68	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 21:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$66	200	200	+0	No	+$6	05-05 15:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$63	200	200	+0	open	—	05-09 07:12
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	1	$56	200	0	+200	open	—	05-18 04:21
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 17:36
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?	2	$45	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 15:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$44	200	200	+0	open	—	05-22 11:11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-21 07:36
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$38	24	24	+0	open	—	05-22 11:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$34	154	154	+0	open	—	05-22 11:12
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$28	50	0	+50	Yes	+$22	05-05 13:58
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	1	$20	182	0	+182	open	—	05-18 08:31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-17 04:19
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	05-11 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:12:25	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$7	0x4144a0…
05-22 11:12:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	154	9¢	$14	0x77090d…
05-22 11:12:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x69d9b7…
05-22 11:11:48	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x2784e7…
05-22 11:11:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x43ea61…
05-22 11:11:03	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x261f48…
05-22 11:10:15	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xc8b285…
05-22 11:10:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xff9eaf…
05-22 02:47:18	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa58375…
05-21 20:29:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xb7824e…
05-21 19:56:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0x15a1be…
05-21 12:56:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x6b2204…
05-21 07:36:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xba026b…
05-21 04:16:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x202b24…
05-19 22:02:12	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x9dcf92…
05-19 22:00:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xcff7ee…
05-19 18:20:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xe36fed…
05-19 14:22:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1d71e3…
05-18 20:19:19	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xa0b2ee…
05-18 19:02:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x7f7720…
05-18 08:31:45	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xe84a78…
05-18 04:21:20	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xcc9e23…
05-18 00:24:16	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x8f34d5…
05-17 17:29:55	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x342423…
05-17 16:45:32	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x455f28…
05-17 13:53:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x9be686…
05-17 04:19:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x67af34…
05-16 08:55:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x3b335a…
05-14 17:36:07	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x83b3f6…
05-14 07:06:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x701f0a…
05-14 06:21:00	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2412c4…
05-13 19:24:29	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x1bfb81…
05-13 06:53:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x4f591e…
05-12 23:10:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	36¢	$71	0xe8ca44…
05-12 13:47:37	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0xc6d6c3…
05-12 13:26:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x177ed9…
05-12 11:08:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x503303…
05-12 08:02:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x742abc…
05-12 07:28:36	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	222	8¢	$18	0x7db939…
05-12 02:50:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x77e434…
05-11 15:03:00	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x64ce44…
05-10 12:12:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x720702…
05-09 20:35:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	107	53¢	$57	0x41c196…
05-09 13:20:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x25e91f…
05-09 10:28:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xe1dd82…
05-09 10:28:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xfc1f27…
05-09 10:28:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	BUY	964	23¢	$222	0x5e2cf1…
05-09 10:08:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x78c6f5…
05-09 07:12:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x3a8b01…
05-09 07:12:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x57dabe…
05-09 07:12:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0xb4b7ff…
05-09 07:11:55	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x9beb92…
05-09 00:49:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xa73cc1…
05-08 21:25:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x9c971b…
05-08 17:05:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x6d0d33…
05-08 16:57:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x458534…
05-08 15:43:58	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcf0940…
05-08 15:27:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x704635…
05-08 14:59:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xba377f…
05-08 12:00:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xc4f74e…
05-08 11:48:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xc859c0…
05-08 11:26:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xd06d2d…
05-05 15:47:40	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xb50e3b…
05-05 15:47:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xbee873…
05-05 13:58:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x354737…
05-05 13:32:16	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xfd795f…
05-05 13:07:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xe06994…