Whole-Challenge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

2,993

Trades

26,789

lifetime

Volume

$593.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 11-01 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Other

94% 23% +$63,676

Politics

3% 13% -$5,135

Crypto

2% 25% +$3,167

Sports

1% 12% +$2,401

Tech

1% 100% +$2,052

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 1469 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	176	$15.8K	26,947	16,647	+10,300	Yes	+$15,323	05-31 13:47
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers	28	$14.4K	57,676	57,676	+0	Kia Tigers	+$910	10-09 18:13
atp wild ferrar 2026 09 08	18	$12.8K	11,627	11,622	+5	cancelled	+$461	09-08 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	16	$8.8K	7,732	7,732	+0	Up	+$3,324	10-05 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?	119	$7.6K	8,659	7,816	+843	Yes	+$2,252	06-29 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	146	$5.7K	19,466	6,490	+12,976	No	+$6,629	05-31 13:38
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	27	$5.6K	3,377	3,272	+105	No	-$505	09-01 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?	73	$5.6K	5,681	5,661	+19	Yes	+$5,239	09-22 22:11
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	23	$5.3K	5,187	5,187	+0	Yes	+$2,552	07-07 19:31
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	46	$5.1K	13,257	1,177	+12,079	No	-$4,348	10-12 20:39
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	40	$5.1K	43,661	4,417	+39,244	Yes	+$1,852	07-06 00:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	10	$4.9K	10,039	10,039	+0	open	—	08-08 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 19?	40	$4.9K	8,543	5,869	+2,674	No	+$257	07-19 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	15	$4.7K	14,056	10,087	+3,968	Yes	+$900	10-25 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	8	$4.7K	2,628	2,628	+0	Yes	+$456	10-27 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	70	$4.6K	3,854	3,854	+0	Yes	+$1,012	08-21 09:55
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	28	$4.5K	4,310	4,310	+0	Yes	+$2,052	09-30 19:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?	79	$4.4K	3,409	2,397	+1,012	Yes	+$1,066	10-16 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 28?	13	$4.3K	3,614	3,614	+0	No	+$191	06-27 21:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?	10	$4.2K	3,661	3,661	+0	Yes	+$215	06-24 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	47	$4.0K	12,124	11,694	+430	Yes	+$3,424	05-27 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	116	$4.0K	8,451	1,247	+7,205	Yes	+$3,550	07-16 07:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$3.7K	3,405	3,405	+0	No	+$272	10-14 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	12	$3.6K	2,183	2,183	+0	No	+$516	10-02 00:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	23	$3.5K	5,135	3,442	+1,693	Yes	+$2,395	05-31 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 19?	13	$3.4K	4,550	2,727	+1,823	Yes	+$943	07-19 00:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	29	$3.3K	11,830	2,492	+9,338	Yes	+$429	07-14 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	55	$3.3K	4,552	748	+3,804	Yes	+$1,093	10-16 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 2?	55	$3.3K	1,832	1,832	+0	No	+$341	09-02 18:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	27	$3.2K	2,502	2,502	+0	Yes	+$440	07-10 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x45edec…
10-31 15:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	430	2¢	$11	0x2a45ec…
10-31 14:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xb78259…
10-31 14:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x042bb2…
10-31 12:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$4	0x34632d…
10-31 11:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7c6d22…
10-31 11:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe90c17…
10-31 11:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0xa72703…
10-31 11:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	44	17¢	$7	0x0af9d7…
10-31 11:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x17218e…
10-31 11:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0x975ab9…
10-31 11:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xf28861…
10-31 10:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x441eec…
10-31 10:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7c9b94…
10-31 10:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0xf42bd9…
10-31 10:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xc78d60…
10-31 10:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x291835…
10-31 10:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x6537fc…
10-30 20:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x02520b…
10-30 20:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xe2c0ed…
10-30 19:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdd2772…
10-30 19:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xd23260…
10-30 19:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0xdd9287…
10-30 19:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3189c6…
10-30 19:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x77d41a…
10-29 17:54:02	Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	13¢	$25	0x933168…
10-29 17:53:50	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	SELL	985	2¢	$22	0x5b8a94…
10-29 17:53:46	Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x0f5f16…
10-29 17:53:40	Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xe55967…
10-29 17:53:29	Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	13¢	$49	0x3f0e0e…
10-29 17:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xae2166…
10-29 17:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	52	17¢	$9	0xfa3e81…
10-29 17:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	32	17¢	$5	0x71e32e…
10-29 17:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x19a6b1…
10-29 17:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	22¢	$12	0xaa573e…
10-29 17:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x862269…
10-29 13:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x19d2c5…
10-29 13:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xe20d69…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf797a9…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf1dcf4…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf00fb2…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd51dba…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xd41636…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd119b3…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	82	3¢	$2	0xc6e59f…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0xc5e8c0…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xbf41c9…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb71edc…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xb6f46f…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xb1105a…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x9ba508…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x924082…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9219c6…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x902b95…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x874550…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7a2530…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x489454…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x404fe3…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x201e3c…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x1f9e6e…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1f9782…
10-29 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x06e29d…
10-29 13:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdea915…
10-29 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa5b664…
10-29 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x820c99…
10-29 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x30577d…
10-29 13:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x09965c…
10-29 13:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8a5ba2…
10-29 13:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3af32f…
10-29 13:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2539a6…
10-29 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfb9c36…
10-29 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc06c6e…
10-29 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x87a415…
10-29 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x757c4a…
10-29 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x45d4c5…
10-29 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x314113…
10-29 13:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xd2d445…
10-29 13:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf7abcc…
10-29 13:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	198	0¢	$0	0x82dc86…
10-29 13:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	256	0¢	$0	0x962dc6…
10-29 13:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x18fc3e…
10-29 13:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	779	0¢	$1	0x5890e4…
10-29 13:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x278faf…
10-29 13:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4,798	0¢	$5	0x1595cb…
10-29 13:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x6df5a3…
10-29 13:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5fa5ef…
10-29 13:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x11f8a7…
10-29 13:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf268bd…
10-29 13:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdab57d…
10-29 13:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc9045f…
10-29 13:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x465150…
10-29 13:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3721e7…
10-29 13:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x190f7d…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xf1b2f0…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xd180a2…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xd15e47…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xc7167b…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xbdbac5…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x9c8955…
10-29 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x88b711…