Whole-Challenge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$186

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

3,022

Trades

27,054

lifetime

Volume

$600.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$142

1 position

First seen

2026-05-20

last 11-02 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Other

94% 23% +$63,676

Politics

3% 13% -$5,135

Crypto

2% 38% +$3,307

Sports

1% 12% +$2,401

Tech

1% 100% +$2,052

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 1469 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down		+94,521	$328	0¢	$142	-$186	11-02 17:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	176	$15.8K	26,947	16,647	+10,300	Yes	+$15,323	05-31 13:47
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers	28	$14.4K	57,676	57,676	+0	Kia Tigers	+$910	10-09 18:13
atp wild ferrar 2026 09 08	18	$12.8K	11,627	11,622	+5	cancelled	+$461	09-08 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	16	$8.8K	7,732	7,732	+0	Up	+$3,324	10-05 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?	119	$7.6K	8,659	7,816	+843	Yes	+$2,252	06-29 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	146	$5.7K	19,466	6,490	+12,976	No	+$6,629	05-31 13:38
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	27	$5.6K	3,377	3,272	+105	No	-$505	09-01 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?	73	$5.6K	5,681	5,661	+19	Yes	+$5,239	09-22 22:11
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	23	$5.3K	5,187	5,187	+0	Yes	+$2,552	07-07 19:31
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	46	$5.1K	13,257	1,177	+12,079	No	-$4,348	10-12 20:39
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	40	$5.1K	43,661	4,417	+39,244	Yes	+$1,852	07-06 00:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	10	$4.9K	10,039	10,039	+0	open	—	08-08 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 19?	40	$4.9K	8,543	5,869	+2,674	No	+$257	07-19 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	15	$4.7K	14,056	10,087	+3,968	Yes	+$900	10-25 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 27?	8	$4.7K	2,628	2,628	+0	Yes	+$456	10-27 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	70	$4.6K	3,854	3,854	+0	Yes	+$1,012	08-21 09:55
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	28	$4.5K	4,310	4,310	+0	Yes	+$2,052	09-30 19:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?	79	$4.4K	3,409	2,397	+1,012	Yes	+$1,066	10-16 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 28?	13	$4.3K	3,614	3,614	+0	No	+$191	06-27 21:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?	10	$4.2K	3,661	3,661	+0	Yes	+$215	06-24 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	47	$4.0K	12,124	11,694	+430	Yes	+$3,424	05-27 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	116	$4.0K	8,451	1,247	+7,205	Yes	+$3,550	07-16 07:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$3.7K	3,405	3,405	+0	No	+$272	10-14 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	12	$3.6K	2,183	2,183	+0	No	+$516	10-02 00:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	23	$3.5K	5,135	3,442	+1,693	Yes	+$2,395	05-31 12:07
Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	10	$3.4K	3,414	3,414	+0	open	—	11-02 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 19?	13	$3.4K	4,550	2,727	+1,823	Yes	+$943	07-19 00:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	29	$3.3K	11,830	2,492	+9,338	Yes	+$429	07-14 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	55	$3.3K	4,552	748	+3,804	Yes	+$1,093	10-16 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 2?	55	$3.3K	1,832	1,832	+0	No	+$341	09-02 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 17:29:42	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	SELL	359	50¢	$179	0xbfd97c…
11-02 17:29:22	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	SELL	99	50¢	$50	0xae522c…
11-02 17:29:07	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xf6ef58…
11-02 17:28:27	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	SELL	439	50¢	$219	0x6efec9…
11-02 17:27:54	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	BUY	717	49¢	$352	0x1cf8d9…
11-02 17:27:16	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	potn9ki	BUY	195	49¢	$95	0xfd3573…
11-02 17:21:07	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	potn9ki	SELL	433	50¢	$215	0x94e537…
11-02 17:18:22	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	potn9ki	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x805676…
11-02 17:17:37	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	23,995	0¢	$48	0xd7e7b2…
11-02 17:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x87149c…
11-02 17:17:16	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	potn9ki	BUY	167	50¢	$83	0xa7e467…
11-02 17:17:13	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	HellNight-	SELL	2,501	50¢	$1,243	0x374ef8…
11-02 17:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x156e88…
11-02 17:15:10	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	potn9ki	BUY	135	50¢	$67	0x4525e0…
11-02 17:14:37	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	potn9ki	BUY	76	50¢	$38	0x0c9f7b…
11-02 17:14:04	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	HellNight-	BUY	2,177	50¢	$1,080	0xedb186…
11-02 17:14:03	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	HellNight-	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x8d73c4…
11-02 17:14:03	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	HellNight-	BUY	275	50¢	$136	0x4efd11…
11-02 17:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	8,597	1¢	$65	0x263e09…
11-02 17:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x207147…
11-02 17:11:01	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	10,882	0¢	$44	0xdcf808…
11-02 17:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	1,075	0¢	$5	0xc1bd87…
11-02 17:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5e53ae…
11-02 17:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0xf4b89e…
11-02 17:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	20,000	0¢	$80	0x0e8b15…
11-02 17:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	2,750	1¢	$28	0xa7e2b2…
11-02 17:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	205	1¢	$2	0x84d863…
11-02 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xf20dc9…
11-02 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x8b7086…
11-02 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x8694f0…
11-02 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	45	35¢	$16	0x778841…
11-02 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x70f4cf…
11-02 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x4f56e9…
11-02 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x28549c…
11-02 17:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	75	35¢	$26	0x052fd7…
11-02 17:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xf60b25…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf8d901…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xec8479…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xec29d9…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc24713…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xbf2788…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xac1f6b…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x9e7564…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x305110…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x1dd278…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x15fb06…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0fa2b6…
11-02 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x0f1abb…
11-02 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x793518…
11-02 16:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	70	37¢	$26	0x1d7845…
11-02 16:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x0c996c…
11-02 16:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	106	22¢	$23	0x85015c…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0xf34e4c…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0xd93a6e…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xa61745…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x8860a6…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x755eb7…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	53	27¢	$14	0x5a4c94…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x424e01…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x36a3f6…
11-02 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x0da151…
11-02 16:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xffaa41…
11-02 16:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	268	4¢	$11	0xcb9dc1…
11-02 16:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	106	13¢	$14	0xb09a41…
11-02 16:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9feff0…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xd38dec…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb096f3…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xab9a0b…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xa7c85a…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xa47979…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x91c0f3…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8dc3c1…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8d45fc…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x8b80a8…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x8220f2…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x75ae97…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5e4055…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0x583b4e…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x303924…
11-02 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x20b3b6…
11-02 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x765793…
11-02 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x71ea4d…
11-02 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0x13035b…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xfb6d67…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xed59c0…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe626ca…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe59d5c…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc7b7ea…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xad943b…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x6419d8…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5a4fe3…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x1ae269…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0f58c5…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	15¢	$5	0x0e07d6…
11-02 16:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x0456a0…
11-02 16:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x729b38…
11-02 16:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xcd0d0c…
11-02 15:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	537	1¢	$5	0xa774b4…
11-02 15:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x963915…
11-02 15:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	337	40¢	$135	0x4c2c25…