Baggy-Scissors — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.00K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

5,478

Trades

33,024

lifetime

Volume

$193.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-30 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$2,921

Other

1% 45% -$74

Politics

0% 27% -$5

Tech

0% 50% -$4

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+12	$2	26¢	$3	+$1	10-19 06:30
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	+58	$4	4¢	$2	-$1	10-23 18:35
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+0	$0	28¢	$0	$0	10-20 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	22	$1.4K	1,006	721	+285	Up	+$28	05-26 13:44
will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 1	11	$1.3K	1,615	1,054	+561	No	+$43	07-01 19:20
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	50	$1.2K	1,611	1,411	+200	Yes	+$153	06-30 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	31	$1.2K	1,167	617	+550	Up	+$11	05-26 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	22	$831	758	422	+336	Down	+$6	05-26 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	29	$805	766	390	+376	Down	-$32	05-26 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	21	$801	1,021	1,021	+0	Down	-$288	05-27 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	20	$763	639	358	+281	Up	-$55	05-27 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	36	$757	736	398	+337	Down	+$31	05-27 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	22	$724	1,016	0	+1,016	Up	-$488	05-26 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	28	$684	892	359	+533	Up	+$26	05-27 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	30	$658	588	338	+250	Down	+$12	05-26 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 17:45 UTC	31	$621	985	0	+985	Down	-$272	06-15 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	24	$593	822	315	+507	Down	+$25	05-27 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 12:15 UTC	29	$591	966	0	+966	Down	+$1	06-15 12:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 11:00 UTC	34	$573	1,190	0	+1,190	Up	+$18	06-15 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	20	$572	493	308	+185	Down	+$38	05-27 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	24	$572	649	298	+351	Down	+$18	05-27 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	16	$544	489	289	+200	Down	+$28	05-26 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 14:45 UTC	21	$539	613	408	+204	Down	-$246	06-23 14:58
will bitcoin reach 62k on july 2	26	$535	1,068	95	+973	Yes	-$191	07-02 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	19	$526	588	279	+309	Down	+$26	05-27 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	32	$525	939	0	+939	Up	+$28	06-15 08:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 06:15 UTC	47	$517	1,057	0	+1,057	Up	-$14	06-15 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	18	$501	591	262	+329	Up	+$18	05-27 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	10	$483	276	276	+0	Down	+$12	05-27 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	26	$482	564	262	+302	Down	+$30	05-27 02:44
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 2	23	$474	474	180	+294	No	-$7	07-02 20:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 04:45 UTC	41	$470	852	0	+852	Down	+$28	06-15 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 03:50 UTC	43	$469	829	0	+829	Up	-$11	06-15 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:24:13	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x8647ef…
10-30 12:41:07	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xac6176…
10-30 12:39:58	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x55f2c9…
10-30 05:17:18	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xc27167…
10-30 03:10:03	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xdd9c9a…
10-30 01:13:31	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x1395a5…
10-28 19:35:16	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xf583c4…
10-28 19:33:26	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x867cc8…
10-28 19:15:59	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xc8266d…
10-28 19:04:38	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x10e573…
10-28 13:41:53	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf5cf76…
10-28 13:40:04	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xab12f8…
10-28 13:38:32	Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xd57b9d…
10-28 13:36:53	Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa9451e…
10-28 13:35:29	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xbda15a…
10-27 20:28:23	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x2969c7…
10-27 20:27:57	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0xc716e9…
10-27 05:13:09	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x99a061…
10-27 05:13:08	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x211f4a…
10-27 04:35:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x1c3646…
10-26 21:02:41	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x74dffc…
10-26 21:02:20	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xf2645f…
10-26 18:56:21	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xddad57…
10-26 18:20:45	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xafa587…
10-26 16:16:57	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xed9116…
10-26 14:30:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x4b038d…
10-26 13:36:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x29425a…
10-26 13:36:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xc36d68…
10-26 13:36:08	Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xdf0033…
10-26 13:34:26	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xa1ed5d…
10-25 22:19:44	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x3ed7d2…
10-25 21:06:09	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe7ea99…
10-25 18:57:51	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9eda7a…
10-25 18:41:35	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x452be3…
10-25 16:25:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xece226…
10-25 16:24:42	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x0bf6ba…
10-25 16:24:17	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x5b9215…
10-25 16:10:44	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb00a66…
10-25 14:46:33	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x37e70d…
10-25 08:39:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x0357c0…
10-25 08:38:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x2aee49…
10-25 03:48:51	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8d1b43…
10-25 02:22:56	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0xfeb62e…
10-25 00:37:23	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xe4c4cd…
10-25 00:23:11	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$23	0x0104e4…
10-24 23:36:48	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xce2809…
10-24 22:05:36	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x05c686…
10-24 19:23:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	95	17¢	$16	0x627fa4…
10-24 19:05:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xe07c0c…
10-24 19:05:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6db05f…
10-24 19:03:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x499deb…
10-24 19:01:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xadd251…
10-24 18:59:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	43	79¢	$34	0x3ccfad…
10-24 18:59:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x21cf8f…
10-24 15:31:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8de7b6…
10-24 15:26:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x8de454…
10-24 15:05:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x66b2fa…
10-24 14:49:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x1ec3e3…
10-24 14:38:21	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x2f3297…
10-24 12:55:03	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xcb316c…
10-24 09:31:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x540fa8…
10-24 09:04:17	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on October 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdf41db…
10-24 08:15:12	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x6af494…
10-24 07:58:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 25?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9c55f0…
10-24 05:36:23	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6ac613…
10-24 05:24:11	Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xd45300…
10-24 05:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 24?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0xa70486…
10-23 23:48:03	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x547292…
10-23 23:47:59	Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xef35e6…
10-23 23:07:17	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x57c2c1…
10-23 23:04:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	34	71¢	$24	0x07a8f6…
10-23 23:03:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x1c57fe…
10-23 22:52:41	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xea885f…
10-23 22:46:24	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe30593…
10-23 22:40:21	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcd31f4…
10-23 22:38:18	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on October 24?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf7a9e2…
10-23 22:38:17	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x806bb8…
10-23 22:36:29	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	277	2¢	$4	0x0885c3…
10-23 21:23:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xd72d09…
10-23 20:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0xe4e44c…
10-23 19:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 24?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x26e412…
10-23 19:00:18	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xb95254…
10-23 18:48:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x70456b…
10-23 18:46:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf8145c…
10-23 18:40:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9e3644…
10-23 18:39:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x9db056…
10-23 18:37:39	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	339	0¢	$1	0xccd57a…
10-23 18:36:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x4fd7b0…
10-23 18:36:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6d9ae2…
10-23 18:35:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x0db59e…
10-23 18:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 24?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x5cf74e…
10-23 18:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x722b8c…
10-23 18:35:26	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xfaa991…
10-23 18:35:17	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x245655…
10-23 18:35:12	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3d99f5…
10-23 18:34:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x57aed6…
10-23 18:34:09	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,006	0¢	$5	0xff78a2…
10-23 18:14:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x23f712…
10-23 18:09:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0x5f16c8…
10-23 18:09:12	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xe6d6ad…