Mundane-Crewmember — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$362

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

315

Trades

708

lifetime

Volume

$8.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$26

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 11-10 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Politics

48% 47% -$38

Other

46% 58% -$344

Sports

4% 44% +$45

Tech

2% 40% -$5

Crypto

1% 54% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack	North Carolina State Wolfpack	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	11-10 23:30
M15 Zamora: Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero vs Francisco Moreno Rico	Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero	+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	11-10 23:28
W50 Chihuahua: Caterina Odorizzi vs Jessica Marmorstein	Caterina Odorizzi	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-10 21:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$221	155	155	+0	Yes	+$9	03-20 10:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$197	114	114	+0	No	+$15	05-31 17:37
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	7	$191	209	209	+0	No	-$51	03-30 19:11
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$176	125	125	+0	Yes	+$64	03-03 21:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$154	84	84	+0	No	+$14	05-27 04:03
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	5	$145	114	114	+0	Yes	+$80	03-07 18:58
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	7	$141	95	95	+0	Yes	+$44	03-19 15:14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$135	98	98	+0	Yes	+$23	03-03 14:21
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	5	$131	90	90	+0	Yes	+$22	03-07 21:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$130	194	194	+0	No	-$88	05-30 17:32
will israel take military action in gaza on march 23 2026	3	$118	55	79	-24	No	+$11	03-26 12:48
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	11	$117	231	231	+0	No	-$12	03-13 15:34
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$107	87	87	+0	Yes	+$67	07-07 19:31
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	5	$107	104	19	+85	Yes	+$14	05-29 18:56
iran strike on israel by march 31	3	$106	55	55	+0	Yes	+$4	02-28 21:36
will iran strike israel on march 10	10	$101	233	233	+0	Yes	+$34	03-14 06:51
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	11	$93	128	128	+0	No	-$1	03-25 11:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$89	74	74	+0	No	+$4	03-01 11:27
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	8	$83	78	78	+0	No	+$9	03-28 09:28
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	5	$83	73	73	+0	No	-$5	03-24 13:03
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	2	$83	120	120	+0	open	—	05-31 17:54
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	4	$79	51	51	+0	Yes	+$13	03-23 00:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$79	44	44	+0	No	+$6	03-01 07:19
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	5	$76	80	80	+0	No	+$8	03-27 10:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$75	150	150	+0	No	-$51	04-08 00:31
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	4	$73	45	45	+0	Yes	+$1	03-25 17:50
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	5	$72	55	55	+0	No	-$27	04-08 00:32
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	6	$71	61	61	+0	Yes	-$6	02-28 12:04
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 5.5	3	$69	24	47	-24	Under	+$2	10-11 16:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	4	$69	44	44	+0	No	+$7	06-10 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 23:30:25	Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack	North Carolina State Wolfpack	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x733cf4…
11-10 23:28:57	M15 Zamora: Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero vs Francisco Moreno Rico	Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x979b92…
11-10 23:09:10	Lima: Alessandro Rubini vs Franco Roncadelli	Franco Roncadelli	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x787b35…
11-10 22:30:34	M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Andre Souza vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Pedro Boscardin Dias	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6147ae…
11-10 21:20:01	W50 Chihuahua: Caterina Odorizzi vs Jessica Marmorstein	Caterina Odorizzi	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb7a1ae…
11-10 20:41:33	M25 Santa Cruz do Sul: Andre Souza vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1435ad…
11-10 20:15:28	Lima: Alessandro Rubini vs Franco Roncadelli	Franco Roncadelli	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd7a94d…
11-10 19:45:46	Missouri State Bears vs. Wichita State Shockers (W)	Missouri State Bears	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb12b2…
11-10 18:14:28	W15 São Carlos: Marie Mettraux vs Gabriela Kawano Cho	Marie Mettraux	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2459bf…
11-10 17:42:07	MBA Moscow vs. Avtodor	MBA Moscow	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa9df61…
11-10 16:31:21	MBA Moscow vs. Avtodor	MBA Moscow	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4b266a…
11-10 15:56:48	W15 São Carlos: Marie Mettraux vs Gabriela Kawano Cho	Marie Mettraux	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe339b5…
11-10 15:34:00	Monastir: Kasra Rahmani vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x359f4b…
11-10 14:13:07	Monastir: Kasra Rahmani vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x789aac…
11-10 13:34:55	Hersonissos 3 (Doubles): Cornea/Wehnelt vs Capitanio/Haddorff	Cornea/Wehnelt	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb06127…
11-10 12:48:40	ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs United Arab Emirates Under-19s	India Under-19s	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd9c454…
11-10 12:48:22	Missouri State Bears vs. Wichita State Shockers (W)	Missouri State Bears	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0afca3…
11-10 12:26:39	Chiba Jets vs. Osaka Evessa	Chiba Jets	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x51d3bb…
11-10 11:15:06	Chiba Jets vs. Osaka Evessa	Chiba Jets	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x936bd5…
11-10 06:48:28	Hersonissos 3 (Doubles): Cornea/Wehnelt vs Capitanio/Haddorff	Cornea/Wehnelt	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3c916f…
11-10 06:45:18	ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs United Arab Emirates Under-19s	India Under-19s	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcb420d…
11-09 23:07:46	Mega Mozzart vs. BC Dubai	BC Dubai	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7f1136…
11-09 20:18:34	England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions	England Lions	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xce5593…
11-09 19:25:49	Mega Mozzart vs. BC Dubai	BC Dubai	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1c6662…
11-09 14:03:31	Sopo: Maria Herazo vs Marina Bassols Ribera	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x42bab7…
11-08 21:46:00	ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x94c1fa…
11-08 21:41:00	Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9cb473…
11-08 19:41:07	Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x478bee…
11-08 19:32:21	ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x10d05b…
11-08 19:28:13	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5fc669…
11-08 19:23:49	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x980990…
11-08 19:20:39	Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5c3129…
11-08 19:14:45	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8e4772…
11-08 17:26:12	Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbf93ae…
11-08 17:25:19	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x489f1e…
11-08 17:20:28	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7f0bc6…
11-08 16:00:40	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x37eb3a…
11-08 15:58:49	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xba0548…
11-08 15:58:42	AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb4e967…
11-08 13:40:30	AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x476976…
11-08 13:23:31	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x755080…
11-08 13:21:28	SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb76731…
11-07 22:40:13	SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x206feb…
11-07 22:03:33	Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe62d7b…
11-07 21:42:12	AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc06164…
11-07 19:33:13	Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x39098a…
11-07 19:32:45	CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x605772…
11-07 19:01:43	AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xaf176e…
11-07 18:57:18	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x75bc83…
11-07 17:17:42	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x67be55…
11-07 17:16:39	CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x269382…
11-07 14:54:21	Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6c26f7…
11-07 11:28:30	Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfa93fe…
11-03 21:39:46	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x240232…
11-03 14:09:49	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xa37bb8…
11-03 13:49:09	Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x121781…
11-03 12:34:39	Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x83a8d7…
11-03 12:10:01	Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x501d02…
11-03 11:55:57	Jeonbuk FC vs. Johor Darul Ta'zim: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbb308e…
11-03 10:57:34	Jeonbuk FC vs. Johor Darul Ta'zim: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xeaabaf…
11-03 10:46:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xd01366…
11-03 06:54:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6a2c54…
11-02 19:36:19	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5b7f62…
11-02 12:43:52	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x960dd1…
11-01 19:33:10	Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xdc54db…
11-01 19:24:15	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x66249b…
11-01 18:05:42	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x69e84a…
11-01 17:44:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x68f1c5…
11-01 17:10:48	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa1df2e…
11-01 15:06:36	Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xa24ab3…
11-01 12:15:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xdf55b5…
10-31 21:07:46	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x9a83a2…
10-31 16:22:40	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x5ceb09…
10-28 18:06:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7272a4…
10-21 22:07:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x23d0e2…
10-21 19:24:54	Will Tesla say "America" during earnings call?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9937e0…
10-20 20:35:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x6ea882…
10-20 20:04:45	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x482224…
10-17 17:54:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0xfca900…
10-17 17:50:32	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x9df825…
10-13 20:48:12	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x538d40…
10-13 19:07:51	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x1a1c38…
10-12 17:53:35	Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xa459c0…
10-11 18:23:24	Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x50085a…
10-11 16:17:48	Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xf8769f…
10-11 16:16:49	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x9cf1d3…
10-11 12:27:46	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x1b5a69…
10-11 12:17:27	Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x41b9b2…
10-11 04:19:17	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xebb3ab…
10-10 21:04:15	Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xbfecd8…
10-10 20:53:09	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5866ab…
10-10 17:53:24	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x6944f7…
10-10 17:02:25	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x06a6c7…
10-09 16:16:09	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xebe1d3…
10-07 16:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf1ac16…
10-07 16:29:56	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x3743f8…
10-06 20:02:47	Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xaeb03b…
10-06 20:02:02	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3cb2de…
10-06 11:12:36	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x762c57…
10-06 09:18:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfdab4f…