Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.4%

Resolved

171

Trades

2,733

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-20

last 10-28 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

52% 5% -$187

Politics

32% 4% -$41

Crypto

7% 0% -$4

Sports

5% 0% -$3

Tech

4% 14% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	10	$131	130	130	+0	open	—	10-25 08:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	7	$101	90	90	+0	open	—	10-08 15:32
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?	4	$97	60	60	+0	open	—	10-11 12:25
StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$95	90	90	+0	open	—	10-13 03:55
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?	5	$93	60	60	+0	Yes	-$3	09-22 12:07
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?	6	$90	68	68	+0	open	—	10-10 21:56
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	4	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	10-16 19:27
Will James Cook have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	7	$81	55	55	+0	open	—	10-13 02:12
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	8	$78	68	68	+0	open	—	10-21 17:42
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	5	$77	60	60	+0	open	—	10-09 16:06
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	5	$76	60	60	+0	open	—	10-09 20:07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?	6	$75	53	53	+0	open	—	10-27 05:15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	4	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	10-12 17:55
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$71	60	60	+0	open	—	10-14 22:00
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?	4	$70	39	39	+0	open	—	10-05 19:36
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	6	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	10-11 21:27
Will Pardubice be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?	5	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	10-21 19:34
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$69	60	60	+0	open	—	10-16 02:18
Will Geno Ploeger win AGT Season 21?	7	$67	40	40	+0	No	-$1	09-23 01:17
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24?	5	$67	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	09-21 09:35
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026?	5	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	10-08 20:24
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	6	$67	86	86	+0	open	—	10-16 16:33
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?	6	$66	59	59	+0	open	—	10-20 07:57
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	4	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 20:00
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?	5	$63	60	60	+0	open	—	10-18 01:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 60%-65%?	4	$61	60	60	+0	open	—	09-22 23:31
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000?	5	$61	40	40	+0	open	—	10-28 03:04
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	4	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	10-19 08:49
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	6	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	10-21 06:59
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	4	$59	60	60	+0	open	—	10-11 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:40:33	Will Shas win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x880664…
10-28 03:06:59	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x65d143…
10-28 03:04:59	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x86c22f…
10-28 02:34:39	Will South Korea win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xb7f2f4…
10-28 02:29:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x9dd669…
10-28 02:18:18	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb2827b…
10-28 02:15:57	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x6e8c40…
10-28 02:11:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x345739…
10-28 02:04:56	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 750,000 and 800,000?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x216853…
10-28 02:02:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb754b1…
10-28 02:01:35	SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x952d36…
10-28 01:52:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 750,000 and 800,000?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x90da1e…
10-28 01:40:38	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x2728a5…
10-28 01:31:32	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 350,000 and 375,000?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xf0f9e0…
10-28 01:16:56	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6ec604…
10-28 01:00:24	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x2ee84a…
10-28 00:55:20	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x7d1828…
10-28 00:41:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xdd19b4…
10-28 00:41:54	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 750,000 and 800,000?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x14d6df…
10-28 00:06:00	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xc412a4…
10-28 00:01:21	SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3f6ca3…
10-27 23:34:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x478fde…
10-27 21:55:11	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xe42b3b…
10-27 21:36:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x097ed3…
10-27 20:47:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0xa7f0e2…
10-27 20:34:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xab88b4…
10-27 19:50:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xda0af7…
10-27 19:45:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0xbdada4…
10-27 19:36:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0x7dc98e…
10-27 18:59:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x2923f1…
10-27 18:23:08	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xabb792…
10-27 18:05:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x18e449…
10-27 17:47:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x0dcd52…
10-27 17:44:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x05bdc1…
10-27 16:52:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x603f4b…
10-27 16:45:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8cafd5…
10-27 16:36:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x5f50dd…
10-27 16:34:48	Will PP win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1e35cb…
10-27 16:22:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xf779da…
10-27 16:17:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xaec201…
10-27 15:57:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x45c45a…
10-27 14:59:39	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x80ac46…
10-27 13:59:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xba61c3…
10-27 13:58:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x58b106…
10-27 13:55:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x0b10d9…
10-27 13:32:03	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $364 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x8f970d…
10-27 13:21:44	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x6b4b89…
10-27 13:16:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0x95b894…
10-27 12:58:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x0a4136…
10-27 11:56:00	Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x17ed3f…
10-27 11:25:27	Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x4c25fd…
10-27 11:25:03	Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x930a5c…
10-27 11:21:23	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x805940…
10-27 11:01:00	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $364 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x789f9f…
10-27 10:19:50	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xbeec28…
10-27 10:19:38	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x3870eb…
10-27 09:36:47	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x3edef1…
10-27 08:56:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 5%-10%?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x6c2faa…
10-27 08:55:50	Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf4e795…
10-27 08:51:29	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x239766…
10-27 08:30:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x73b82e…
10-27 08:14:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x6e61fd…
10-27 08:13:11	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xd6d068…
10-27 07:13:27	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x1426a9…
10-27 06:51:23	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x0976b7…
10-27 06:51:21	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0xb6a4a6…
10-27 06:49:14	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xdd7920…
10-27 06:44:03	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x006087…
10-27 06:26:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x2a4532…
10-27 06:25:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xe79243…
10-27 06:20:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x7baa5f…
10-27 06:19:59	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x9720ae…
10-27 06:18:03	Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4acd61…
10-27 06:16:41	Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x2fb713…
10-27 06:16:18	Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$8	0xfdfbf1…
10-27 05:56:02	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xa3c94c…
10-27 05:52:42	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x35c14a…
10-27 05:44:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x5a7060…
10-27 05:16:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xffa239…
10-27 05:16:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xcdac2a…
10-27 05:15:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x7bcadd…
10-27 05:12:27	Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8f42bb…
10-27 04:24:27	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xc6f644…
10-27 03:43:44	Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x02ccbb…
10-27 03:35:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x0e94ff…
10-27 03:19:42	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x3d58af…
10-27 03:15:18	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x5089fa…
10-27 03:10:38	Will valyn play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x1611ef…
10-27 02:54:12	Will valyn play for FURIA Esports in 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd27a8e…
10-27 01:43:30	Will Calvin Ridley have 1,024.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0xbc6a62…
10-27 01:23:17	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x59bec2…
10-27 01:16:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0xd5d2ee…
10-27 01:15:02	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xfba058…
10-27 00:54:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-21 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x276c17…
10-27 00:26:54	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x282456…
10-26 23:39:51	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xafdc66…
10-26 23:26:00	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xcd31b7…
10-26 23:23:23	Will PNV win 7 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x594428…
10-26 23:20:44	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x2d9a38…
10-26 23:18:38	Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x34b636…