Guilty-Socialist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

8,780

lifetime

Volume

$36.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-31 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-25

Other

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769174100	37	$295	0	590	-590	open	—	01-23 13:22
btc updown 15m 1769175000	43	$248	0	508	-508	open	—	01-23 13:42
eth updown 15m 1771762500	50	$205	220	216	+3	open	—	02-22 12:19
btc updown 15m 1772203500	15	$167	165	136	+29	open	—	02-27 14:57
btc updown 15m 1769179500	24	$125	0	252	-252	open	—	01-23 14:59
btc updown 15m 1768949100	22	$119	0	234	-234	open	—	01-20 22:57
btc updown 15m 1768902300	12	$113	109	107	+2	open	—	01-20 09:55
btc updown 15m 1771707600	25	$103	147	145	+2	open	—	02-21 21:04
btc updown 15m 1768866300	11	$102	132	54	+77	open	—	01-19 23:56
btc updown 15m 1772187300	10	$102	119	78	+41	open	—	02-27 10:26
btc updown 15m 1768910400	10	$98	96	94	+2	open	—	01-20 12:06
btc updown 15m 1769288400	3	$96	91	70	+21	open	—	01-24 21:12
btc updown 15m 1769540400	17	$93	73	34	+38	open	—	01-27 19:11
btc updown 15m 1769186700	25	$89	0	179	-179	open	—	01-23 16:49
btc updown 15m 1774701900	4	$87	60	30	+30	open	—	03-28 12:57
btc updown 15m 1772193600	5	$84	89	59	+30	open	—	02-27 12:10
btc updown 15m 1772194500	5	$79	89	59	+30	open	—	02-27 12:24
btc updown 15m 1772205300	15	$76	91	54	+36	open	—	02-27 15:23
btc updown 15m 1772217000	11	$75	83	54	+29	open	—	02-27 18:43
btc updown 15m 1768760100	11	$75	104	103	+1	open	—	01-18 18:24
btc updown 15m 1771704000	15	$74	132	96	+36	open	—	02-21 20:10
btc updown 15m 1769175900	19	$74	0	150	-150	open	—	01-23 13:50
btc updown 15m 1768903200	7	$72	95	93	+2	open	—	01-20 10:10
btc updown 15m 1768691700	6	$72	50	49	+1	open	—	01-17 23:27
btc updown 15m 1768743000	9	$71	77	48	+29	open	—	01-18 13:45
btc updown 15m 1769094900	11	$71	0	143	-143	open	—	01-22 15:21
btc updown 15m 1768899600	6	$69	99	97	+2	open	—	01-20 09:11
btc updown 15m 1768702500	16	$68	109	108	+1	open	—	01-18 02:27
btc updown 5m 1775994900	7	$68	82	59	+23	open	—	04-12 11:59
btc updown 15m 1769101200	9	$65	0	118	-118	open	—	01-22 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 22:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfe1fb8…
05-31 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x04d18f…
05-31 21:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4a172c…
05-31 21:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xca7722…
05-31 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4900cd…
05-31 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x41b8a3…
05-31 21:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1bb35e…
05-31 21:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x458928…
05-31 21:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5508c6…
05-31 21:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdd5c3f…
05-31 21:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x38904c…
05-31 21:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa34609…
05-31 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbe3c5d…
05-31 20:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf35f5d…
05-31 20:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfc1b79…
05-31 20:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe14c4b…
05-31 20:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5d5b72…
05-31 20:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2542c9…
05-31 20:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7148f5…
05-31 20:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf27037…
05-31 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1c8728…
05-31 20:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd4ccdd…
05-31 20:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9476a9…
05-31 20:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x97b8b0…
05-31 20:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x022196…
05-31 19:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe8b71d…
05-31 19:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6c1bda…
05-31 19:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfee98f…
05-31 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5d0668…
05-31 19:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe2d31a…
05-31 19:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6bcbec…
05-31 19:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x450d1e…
05-31 19:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5fbef9…
05-31 19:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xef74b6…
05-31 19:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0a0c46…
05-31 18:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9f1b24…
05-31 18:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xff6c81…
05-31 18:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb908a0…
05-31 18:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3f2f05…
05-31 18:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2d8ff8…
05-31 18:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x1126e5…
05-31 18:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8346f6…
05-31 18:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x338553…
05-31 18:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe706dc…
05-31 18:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb2d027…
05-31 17:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x076c30…
05-31 17:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x820ed6…
05-31 17:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x15d530…
05-31 17:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1ff833…
05-31 17:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9f33e5…
05-31 17:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x42e79c…
05-31 17:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3806ec…
05-31 17:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe3a90b…
05-31 17:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xfdbfc2…
05-31 17:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4b77a4…
05-31 17:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9c3f3d…
05-31 17:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc75919…
05-31 16:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1e6798…
05-31 16:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x310aff…
05-31 16:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb0007a…
05-31 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x844e58…
05-31 16:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x18518f…
05-31 16:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8230ac…
05-31 15:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0215d4…
05-31 15:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xce20c9…
05-31 15:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xe04f94…
05-31 15:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb341eb…
05-31 15:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x226105…
05-31 15:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x370fb4…
05-31 15:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xd32b91…
05-31 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x554ea6…
05-31 14:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3dfdd3…
05-31 14:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1f3753…
05-31 14:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7e6308…
05-31 13:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd6887b…
05-31 13:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xc06c2f…
05-31 13:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x57daf2…
05-31 13:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x52393d…
05-31 13:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x38ab84…
05-31 13:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdf0f12…
05-31 13:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb54f36…
05-31 13:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5635ee…
05-31 13:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe0a590…
05-31 12:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x5d5192…
05-31 12:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe2ae4a…
05-31 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x498a09…
05-31 12:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x2001b0…
05-31 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4c0c9d…
05-31 12:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6abd80…
05-31 12:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5f454f…
05-31 12:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x78af74…
05-31 12:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1cc57b…
05-31 11:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbe43bc…
05-31 11:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdf3bf9…
05-31 11:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xace310…
05-31 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x400796…
05-31 11:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x0bebed…
05-31 11:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xaf8737…
05-31 11:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6f1709…
05-31 11:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7cccc9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	892	$78.5K	7,330	04-26 12:19
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	854	$1.74K	2,612	04-08 23:58
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	853	$18.4K	3,926	05-02 11:45
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	843	$328.7K	9,312	04-14 03:33
Unacceptable-Art 0x2bac…f238	830	$47.6K	1,678	04-08 23:00
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	828	$1.11M	72,411	03-30 04:27
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	801	$1.26M	231,398	05-13 19:59
(anonymous) 0xe041…f2e5	795	$1.03M	91,956	03-15 11:43