Milky-Semicircle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

322

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$5

Politics

6% 91% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:55
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:10
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-22 10:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:47
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:49
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 16:29
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:41
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb2e29d…
11-13 07:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe71df2…
11-12 08:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd2772e…
11-11 08:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x01b54c…
11-08 11:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26d725…
11-07 10:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7b02f1…
11-06 09:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1b40e5…
11-05 00:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa630a6…
11-03 17:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c0408…
11-03 09:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x348981…
11-02 08:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5bf6e…
10-31 17:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x03bf34…
10-31 04:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x114039…
10-30 08:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3225a4…
10-29 15:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x410f98…
10-29 06:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbe4b45…
10-28 04:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x643f43…
10-27 15:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcfe429…
10-27 07:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd4e8ee…
10-26 04:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4545e1…
10-25 12:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8ea2ab…
10-24 06:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x786a58…
10-22 10:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d9297…
10-20 04:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x531655…
10-19 06:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd2db10…
10-18 05:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x373dc0…
10-17 07:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb638a5…
10-16 01:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9d5661…
10-15 04:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x24a190…
10-14 06:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xec91ab…
10-13 13:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08c11b…
10-13 04:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x063b73…
10-12 01:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaae352…
10-11 01:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1b517a…
10-08 04:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x591a4b…
10-07 08:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d6901…
10-06 14:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x054b61…
10-06 05:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb30037…
10-04 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xfa54e7…
10-03 00:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xa88d6e…
10-02 07:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x815e00…
10-02 03:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25d4b5…
10-01 05:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fd9da…
09-30 07:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27d3a6…
09-29 06:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b7443…
09-28 03:01:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf1c5a…
09-27 10:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaff944…
09-26 08:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61f38d…
09-25 01:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6eafc8…
09-24 01:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x443fe3…
09-23 05:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf1a13…
09-22 01:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb025ad…
09-21 06:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x887da3…
09-20 02:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba9718…
09-19 05:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd44de…
09-18 09:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8778dd…
09-18 01:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb39c7b…
09-17 00:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x206b2d…
09-16 07:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf53fa2…
09-15 23:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd1d8a…
09-15 01:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x572344…
09-14 00:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65cc3b…
09-13 12:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd86d05…
09-12 01:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x525dc3…
09-11 01:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7b5c1…
09-10 01:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe455e2…
09-09 00:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7dcd3…
09-08 01:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fd368…
09-07 09:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9712bf…
09-07 01:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3639cf…
09-06 17:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53ee64…
09-06 01:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a5d68…
09-05 08:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe149a0…
09-04 08:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa48109…
09-03 01:04:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x257f74…
09-02 11:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43487e…
09-01 01:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f86af…
08-30 00:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73f24f…
08-29 05:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa38074…
08-28 01:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c5b7d…
08-27 01:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3757d6…
08-26 01:05:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f640f…
08-25 01:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d753f…
08-24 07:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9a07f…
08-23 00:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd95d93…
08-22 01:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb12524…
08-21 01:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35bd7e…
08-20 00:14:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c5423…
08-19 00:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1907a1…
08-18 00:09:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f4883…
08-17 05:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b2070…
08-16 01:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e452e…
08-15 01:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc2e6f…
08-14 01:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x719fd6…
08-13 00:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ce0cf…
08-12 00:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd55208…
08-11 00:11:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33c58e…
08-10 00:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda9fe2…
08-09 00:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40443c…
08-08 00:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60440d…