Cautious-Feng — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

1,800 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$14

$2.86K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 11-02 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

99% 54% +$35

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Tech

0% 50% -$2

Sports

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+59	$9	32¢	$19	+$9	11-02 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+55	$8	25¢	$14	+$6	11-02 07:34
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+47	$8	15¢	$7	$0	11-02 07:34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+50	$7	8¢	$4	-$3	11-02 07:34
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+39	$6	8¢	$3	-$3	11-02 07:34
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	10-31 10:21
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	10-31 10:21
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-31 10:23
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-31 10:22
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	+60	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-01 21:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	19	$59	77	0	+77	No	+$18	08-18 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	15	$42	107	107	+0	No	+$23	08-19 18:35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	5	$42	54	54	+0	Yes	+$14	07-27 18:46
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	5	$41	70	0	+70	Over	+$29	07-06 22:47
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	3	$34	62	0	+62	No	-$34	07-05 14:38
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-14 22:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$30	37	37	+0	Yes	+$10	06-29 20:06
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	5	$30	56	0	+56	Under	-$30	07-06 17:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	16	$29	96	96	+0	No	-$2	08-19 18:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	9	$27	34	34	+0	No	+$13	10-01 17:07
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	3	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	10-15 20:17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	16	$27	115	115	+0	No	+$18	08-19 18:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	6	$26	28	0	+28	No	+$2	08-12 02:24
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	17	$24	85	5	+80	No	-$18	10-20 14:27
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	5	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	08-18 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	9	$24	70	70	+0	Yes	+$11	10-20 09:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$23	42	42	+0	Yes	+$3	06-08 02:19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	8	$22	61	61	+0	No	+$9	10-21 23:36
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	5	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	09-11 03:41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	7	$22	57	57	+0	Yes	+$9	10-21 23:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	4	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$1	08-30 17:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	20	$20	97	97	+0	No	-$17	08-19 18:17
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	1	$20	25	0	+25	Over	+$5	07-02 21:20
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	1	$20	29	0	+29	Over	+$9	07-07 16:12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$20	48	0	+48	No	-$20	05-26 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-14 22:33
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-22 13:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	3	$20	35	35	+0	No	+$12	07-09 08:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	3	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	09-08 10:49
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	4	$19	21	0	+21	No	+$2	08-18 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 07:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc1717c…
11-02 07:34:28	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x714cbb…
11-02 07:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdf6ebe…
11-02 07:34:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x29e33f…
11-02 07:34:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xef7cf0…
11-02 07:33:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x563fa3…
11-02 07:33:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xe3a5b8…
11-02 07:33:28	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x48af30…
11-02 07:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9bcf3f…
11-02 07:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5026cb…
11-02 07:08:49	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc76757…
11-02 07:08:43	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x93c674…
11-02 07:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x41985f…
11-02 00:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe1bcac…
11-01 23:52:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb251e9…
11-01 21:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x61c946…
11-01 20:43:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x69a8c4…
11-01 20:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5b3194…
11-01 20:09:30	FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd5a2ba…
11-01 19:55:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb9557…
11-01 01:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeee13a…
10-31 21:46:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x5d655e…
10-31 21:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x26c9e1…
10-31 21:46:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x40158d…
10-31 21:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf5b741…
10-31 21:45:19	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6cb347…
10-31 21:22:58	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x22afa4…
10-31 20:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7b4897…
10-31 19:51:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xabefb4…
10-31 19:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4ac33c…
10-31 19:39:04	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x92746a…
10-31 19:01:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x58d634…
10-31 18:31:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xee1935…
10-31 18:31:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd2cb54…
10-31 17:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbeaa57…
10-31 17:43:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x69e40c…
10-31 17:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd552d6…
10-31 16:59:31	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 970m and 975m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc9c0f7…
10-31 10:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x1c9e79…
10-31 10:23:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x95b844…
10-31 10:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xadf80b…
10-31 10:23:10	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x453b45…
10-31 10:22:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc7888…
10-31 10:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ca325…
10-31 10:22:27	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc8aed6…
10-31 10:22:22	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a41e7…
10-31 10:22:16	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x721e80…
10-31 10:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x106144…
10-31 10:21:58	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d4e7b…
10-31 10:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4a0b2e…
10-31 10:21:49	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb7fa85…
10-31 10:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x3cd2dc…
10-31 10:17:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc24a1a…
10-31 10:17:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x82d597…
10-31 10:16:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf8f51d…
10-31 10:16:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xceb91a…
10-31 10:16:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe39313…
10-31 10:16:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x18e2e9…
10-31 10:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0f0e80…
10-31 10:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x22d8bc…
10-31 10:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x51b2d3…
10-31 10:16:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x5fb7af…
10-31 10:16:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x167fc2…
10-31 10:16:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x830265…
10-31 10:16:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe250e5…
10-31 10:14:13	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc858a0…
10-31 10:14:03	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2b4277…
10-31 10:13:49	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0402f1…
10-31 10:13:36	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcb8867…
10-31 10:13:28	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x480c78…
10-27 15:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa655c5…
10-27 15:57:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf35888…
10-27 15:55:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc29a7…
10-27 15:53:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6651a2…
10-27 15:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7defab…
10-26 19:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x98551f…
10-26 17:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x94dcfd…
10-26 17:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x83962f…
10-26 10:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xdc5537…
10-26 05:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x802438…
10-26 03:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2dffa9…
10-25 17:50:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x69ebb8…
10-25 17:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x29e706…
10-25 17:48:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x7c25e9…
10-25 14:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcf6647…
10-25 14:13:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5b537c…
10-25 14:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x904369…
10-25 12:02:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbe0eb2…
10-25 06:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6814da…
10-24 20:04:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0xa9fa69…
10-24 20:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc5820e…
10-24 14:42:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9db66…
10-24 14:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc0d34b…
10-24 13:34:09	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2dbe25…
10-24 13:34:03	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfcd5c1…
10-24 13:33:47	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x21c4da…
10-24 13:33:41	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x479127…
10-24 12:51:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa9cf7f…
10-24 12:51:11	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x880926…
10-24 12:49:44	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbc2cc3…