Gracious-Crawdad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

1,420

Trades

2,498

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-27 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% +$118

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	8	$782	413	411	+2	Down	+$9	04-25 18:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 11:30 UTC	7	$409	250	247	+3	Up	+$9	04-23 11:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	4	$408	226	224	+2	Up	+$10	04-21 15:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	8	$407	236	236	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$389	229	224	+4	Down	+$59	04-25 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	8	$388	229	229	+0	Up	+$18	05-11 17:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 17:30 UTC	5	$318	185	185	+0	Up	+$18	08-25 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$306	182	178	+4	Down	+$50	04-27 16:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 12:15 UTC	5	$296	237	237	+0	Up	-$54	08-26 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$293	199	198	+0	Up	+$93	04-30 15:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 11:30 UTC	12	$292	214	208	+7	Up	-$8	08-28 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 11:00 UTC	6	$286	149	149	+1	Up	+$4	04-20 11:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	6	$257	176	176	+0	Down	+$17	05-11 17:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	3	$254	156	156	+0	Down	+$54	08-26 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$252	153	153	+0	Down	+$52	04-30 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$242	147	144	+3	Up	+$46	04-25 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$240	145	142	+3	Up	+$44	04-25 17:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 14:45 UTC	3	$238	144	141	+3	Up	+$8	04-09 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$236	137	137	+0	Up	+$36	04-30 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$236	128	127	+1	Up	+$17	04-25 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:30 UTC	2	$235	139	136	+3	Down	+$38	04-23 12:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$231	132	132	+0	Up	+$21	05-11 18:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC	5	$231	132	132	+0	Up	+$31	08-25 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$228	136	134	+3	Down	+$29	04-27 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 08:15 UTC	3	$225	118	118	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$222	125	125	+0	Up	+$22	04-30 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$222	139	136	+3	Up	+$25	04-25 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$222	123	123	+0	Down	+$22	04-30 15:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 05:30 UTC	4	$222	113	113	+0	Down	+$2	04-10 05:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 06:30 UTC	2	$222	113	113	+0	Down	+$0	04-10 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd60253…
10-27 15:51:24	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd4b44a…
10-27 15:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc99737…
10-27 15:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x63f42d…
10-27 15:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc60945…
10-27 15:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x388782…
10-27 15:35:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xea9d02…
10-27 15:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1f7c2e…
10-27 15:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xde0d2a…
10-27 15:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8bd2d1…
10-27 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4d58a0…
10-27 15:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8ac7e3…
10-27 14:58:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x52ee16…
10-27 14:57:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x7d5723…
10-27 14:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xe0feae…
10-27 14:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x79834e…
10-27 14:55:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd27813…
10-27 14:53:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6f8570…
10-27 14:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x2873c8…
10-27 14:41:24	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xca3628…
10-27 14:34:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x172b79…
10-27 14:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb5b19a…
10-27 14:34:30	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6780ab…
10-27 14:31:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdd5e2d…
10-27 14:27:44	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x012a3a…
10-27 14:26:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0x67a4f6…
10-27 14:26:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xe893a3…
10-27 14:25:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0x87c945…
10-27 14:22:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x33a051…
10-27 14:12:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xd1575e…
10-27 14:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x9c4145…
10-27 14:10:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x550f4c…
10-27 14:09:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0144dc…
10-27 14:08:12	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1d06f3…
10-27 14:06:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3d1c2a…
10-27 13:53:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6276d8…
10-27 13:51:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x120398…
10-27 13:43:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xebad11…
10-27 13:42:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x20fca6…
10-27 13:40:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x995d75…
10-27 13:38:59	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x45788c…
10-27 13:38:23	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb67de0…
10-27 13:36:53	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf906af…
10-27 13:29:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0xe905fb…
10-27 13:25:57	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xb98327…
10-27 13:24:32	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbbcff9…
10-27 13:23:17	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x941707…
10-27 13:14:02	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xb5450b…
10-27 13:13:33	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x925d7d…
10-27 13:12:12	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4bab8f…
10-27 13:10:12	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x5bea9d…
10-27 13:09:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x2626a9…
10-27 13:07:38	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa02438…
10-27 09:35:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xfe0fe3…
10-27 09:34:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	77	41¢	$32	0x5060f9…
10-27 09:30:23	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xeaae48…
10-27 09:26:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0x9600d1…
10-27 09:25:38	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x8290c8…
10-27 09:24:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf32cd9…
10-27 09:22:48	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x64b32c…
10-27 09:21:44	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x53bd6c…
10-27 09:14:27	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0x8f1c1f…
10-27 09:12:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xeb7f13…
10-27 09:12:02	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	76	90¢	$68	0x8514f4…
10-27 09:11:39	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x1844f4…
10-27 09:11:33	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x4f08dc…
10-27 09:08:39	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x857e44…
10-27 08:56:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	81	91¢	$74	0x768312…
10-27 08:53:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x0f3c14…
10-27 08:53:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x92ee57…
10-27 08:52:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc67339…
10-27 08:44:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	93	92¢	$85	0x0528ac…
10-27 08:43:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x7ff2d2…
10-27 08:41:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfe602f…
10-27 08:39:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xefe82c…
10-27 08:39:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa03601…
10-27 08:37:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x60de45…
10-27 08:27:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x9ef9c4…
10-27 08:25:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x79ba48…
10-27 08:23:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x577b7e…
10-27 08:21:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe77e8f…
10-27 08:14:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xc6da3d…
10-27 08:10:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xf7e956…
10-27 08:09:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd58fbe…
10-27 08:09:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x9daa08…
10-27 08:08:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x9ead39…
10-27 08:06:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x72edc6…
10-27 08:05:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xcef2db…
10-26 15:14:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x766728…
10-26 15:13:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x3fc20c…
10-26 15:13:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	49	23¢	$11	0x61334c…
10-26 15:13:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0x023dae…
10-26 13:03:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	71	33¢	$24	0x7541ba…
10-26 13:03:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd58ff2…
10-26 13:01:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf056bd…
10-26 12:59:32	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x923e62…
10-26 12:58:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x3b8341…
10-26 12:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x356a08…
10-26 12:53:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0xfac69c…
10-26 12:53:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x556105…