Insecure-Subsidy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

827

Trades

12,848

lifetime

Volume

$119.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 08-11 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 81% -$3,239

Other

1% 24% -$84

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 10:05 UTC	169	$4.2K	5,421	5,445	-24	Up	-$1,754	04-03 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:05 UTC	783	$3.9K	3,294	2,612	+682	Down	+$120	04-02 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:25 UTC	210	$3.3K	6,623	0	+6,623	Up	-$959	03-23 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:30 UTC	82	$3.0K	2,430	2,715	-285	Up	+$363	03-23 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 16:00 UTC	487	$2.2K	1,729	1,626	+103	Down	+$7	04-01 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	319	$1.8K	3,659	0	+3,659	Up	+$26	05-06 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 15:00 UTC	300	$1.6K	1,629	1,628	+1	Up	+$123	04-01 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:20 UTC	53	$1.6K	1,000	665	+335	Up	+$93	04-13 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 09:00 UTC	324	$1.5K	1,495	563	+932	Down	+$250	04-02 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:40 UTC	188	$1.4K	1,181	1,396	-215	Up	+$263	03-24 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	529	$1.3K	2,562	706	+1,857	Down	+$4	05-06 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	507	$1.1K	2,330	0	+2,330	Up	+$61	05-06 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 16:20 UTC	2	$1.0K	543	540	+3	Up	+$38	04-03 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	526	524	+2	Down	+$21	04-20 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:50 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,018	0	+1,018	Down	+$11	04-18 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 14:40 UTC	9	$1.0K	1,013	0	+1,013	Down	+$11	04-22 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 23:40 UTC	1	$1000	1,023	0	+1,023	Down	+$23	04-20 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:05 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	04-17 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:15 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	04-18 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 22:45 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	04-17 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	04-18 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 01:50 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	04-21 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:40 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	04-17 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	04-20 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 01:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,015	0	+1,015	Down	+$15	04-21 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:20 UTC	1	$1000	1,012	0	+1,012	Up	+$12	04-20 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:55 UTC	1	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$10	04-20 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 15:25 UTC	199	$982	686	676	+10	Down	+$11	04-01 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 20:10 UTC	14	$975	500	500	+0	Up	+$15	04-16 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 13:30 UTC	3	$965	500	500	+0	Down	+$25	04-03 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:58:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x8c6afd…
08-11 15:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xd7b7bf…
08-11 15:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2a3868…
08-11 15:54:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x744bfe…
08-11 15:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xea0f5f…
08-11 15:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xddc329…
08-11 15:43:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x176767…
08-11 15:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf399d9…
08-11 15:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3c4b1f…
08-11 14:38:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xfd54d6…
08-11 14:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xb9b4d6…
08-11 14:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0c99bc…
08-11 14:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x82cc8a…
08-11 14:22:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x29fec3…
08-11 14:21:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xfd0703…
08-11 14:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x66d270…
08-11 14:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xbdcbaf…
08-11 14:16:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7528ab…
08-11 14:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x78105e…
08-11 13:02:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x159bb1…
08-11 13:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb9d14f…
08-11 12:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x370cfe…
08-11 12:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbba2d2…
05-09 04:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xe50edb…
05-09 04:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x97da06…
05-09 04:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x81b040…
05-09 04:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x448e72…
05-09 03:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0x7b1de3…
05-09 03:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8dd8ea…
05-09 03:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8eb0d4…
05-09 03:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	49	44¢	$22	0x003337…
05-09 03:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x02035a…
05-09 03:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa3c56c…
05-09 03:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x092f95…
05-09 03:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	119	69¢	$83	0x7508df…
05-09 03:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0x7616ab…
05-09 03:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x362c47…
05-09 03:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdf3c10…
05-09 03:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe7948e…
05-09 03:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x21e59e…
05-09 03:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6fe84f…
05-09 03:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4d9de2…
05-08 20:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2fe5a1…
05-08 13:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc853e1…
05-08 13:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa725d4…
05-08 13:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6e3384…
05-08 13:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6aeddf…
05-08 13:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x69fde8…
05-08 13:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xffccde…
05-08 13:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xcad628…
05-08 13:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	96	57¢	$55	0x04689a…
05-08 13:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xc066f0…
05-08 00:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x79c117…
05-08 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd82254…
05-08 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x19676a…
05-07 23:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x21daf5…
05-07 23:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x86248b…
05-07 23:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x487d12…
05-07 23:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x9b1ae7…
05-07 23:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x10016e…
05-07 22:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x09e267…
05-07 22:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x2e8463…
05-07 22:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xca11e2…
05-07 22:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x808bcc…
05-07 14:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3a9970…
05-07 14:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7e7481…
05-07 14:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4e898c…
05-07 13:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x10dae2…
05-07 13:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3a5b0a…
05-07 13:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x011b77…
05-07 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x488f28…
05-07 13:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7ad3ab…
05-07 13:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xcc7227…
05-07 13:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x928508…
05-07 13:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xf215f2…
05-07 13:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xd1b065…
05-07 13:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x049f3d…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x40af0d…
05-07 13:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xe72ac0…
05-07 13:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x67adff…
05-07 13:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x57e542…
05-07 13:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc9ed0a…
05-07 13:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xb9613c…
05-07 13:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x59cbfb…
05-07 13:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0377d9…
05-07 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5d676f…
05-07 13:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	169	95¢	$160	0xeb35df…
05-07 13:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xb4c9fb…
05-07 13:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xdaac5e…
05-07 13:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x04957d…
05-07 13:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7bc002…
05-07 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe933ff…
05-07 13:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3795d3…
05-07 13:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x9baef9…
05-07 13:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x0bff33…
05-07 13:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	34	83¢	$28	0x1558d1…
05-07 13:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xa0a324…
05-07 13:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xf656af…
05-07 13:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xc95898…
05-07 13:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0x349a3d…