Unkempt-Collectivization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$438

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

9,182

Trades

27,451

lifetime

Volume

$121.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-07 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 64% -$571

Other

2% 69% +$83

Politics

1% 67% +$53

Sports

0% 43% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 806 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+91	$8	15¢	$14	+$6	10-03 19:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+2	$1	45¢	$1	+$0	10-02 12:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic	4	$518	528	0	+528	Novak Djokovic	+$10	10-02 15:18
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$510	562	0	+562	No	+$52	11-04 01:20
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	2	$506	527	0	+527	Yes	+$21	10-03 19:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:35 UTC	5	$445	578	474	+103	Up	-$52	06-03 19:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:45 UTC	6	$431	243	243	+0	Down	+$31	06-04 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:35 UTC	4	$400	422	0	+422	Up	+$22	06-04 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	2	$358	278	278	+0	Down	+$158	06-05 14:04
wta gauff su 2026 10 04	1	$330	331	0	+331	Coco Gauff	+$1	10-05 15:38
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	28	$313	318	0	+318	Down	+$5	10-27 21:23
XRP Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	7	$308	399	85	+314	Up	-$1	10-12 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	3	$300	310	0	+310	Down	+$10	06-05 14:28
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:15 UTC	7	$270	275	0	+275	Up	+$5	10-13 17:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 19:40 UTC	2	$259	166	166	+0	Down	+$59	06-03 19:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:15 UTC	1	$250	258	0	+258	Up	+$8	07-03 23:19
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$248	149	149	+0	Down	+$48	06-03 19:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	9	$240	243	0	+243	Down	+$3	10-13 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$233	257	230	+27	Up	+$13	05-31 15:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$220	221	0	+221	Yes	+$1	11-04 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$218	139	139	+0	Up	+$18	06-04 23:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:25 UTC	10	$213	218	0	+218	Down	+$5	10-14 05:28
XRP Up or Down - October 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$210	216	0	+216	Down	+$6	10-12 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$200	207	0	+207	Up	+$7	06-05 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:35 UTC	2	$200	215	0	+215	Up	+$15	06-05 14:38
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:50 UTC	2	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	10-13 16:53
XRP Up or Down - October 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	21	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	10-12 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$190	198	0	+198	Down	+$8	05-31 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	28	$189	231	133	+98	Up	+$5	05-27 15:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:15 UTC	6	$180	184	0	+184	Up	+$4	10-13 16:18
XRP Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	30	$175	177	0	+177	Up	+$2	10-22 11:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:45 UTC	1	$175	191	0	+191	Down	+$16	07-01 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 10:43:43	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x712261…
11-07 10:09:24	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7a4964…
11-07 05:44:34	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xb6f907…
11-07 03:46:48	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x7fca00…
11-06 23:18:39	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x637c06…
11-06 22:18:28	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x67d190…
11-06 22:02:04	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x190c20…
11-06 20:58:49	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x29d36d…
11-06 18:29:04	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1aca5d…
11-06 17:12:55	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x6081bf…
11-06 17:07:04	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc51f27…
11-06 16:53:16	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3c4ab8…
11-06 16:28:54	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd8d488…
11-06 15:59:04	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x09c33c…
11-06 15:49:30	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x6fe858…
11-06 15:42:58	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9b30ab…
11-06 15:27:24	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xf978a8…
11-06 14:54:10	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf9f093…
11-06 14:48:28	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x90c913…
11-06 14:37:06	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x7ed2a1…
11-06 13:29:19	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x23b181…
11-06 11:43:24	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf91ebb…
11-06 11:38:09	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x4f9171…
11-06 09:34:39	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x8152a6…
11-06 08:33:34	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x8ed7f5…
11-06 08:08:09	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x8cb7a8…
11-06 07:58:24	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb7b3ee…
11-06 07:37:34	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xf1dbbf…
11-06 06:38:15	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x591422…
11-06 06:24:00	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x540375…
11-06 06:17:43	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4dd0c3…
11-06 05:52:19	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x76e83c…
11-06 05:38:58	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbe33ba…
11-06 02:12:43	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x985499…
11-06 01:54:39	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xb9c563…
11-06 01:06:24	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x2ef756…
11-06 00:53:28	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9eb66f…
11-06 00:33:28	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x6e8932…
11-06 00:17:34	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd4470c…
11-05 23:42:43	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xa171a2…
11-05 22:53:49	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x981e96…
11-05 22:39:34	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x67bbdb…
11-05 21:32:33	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x6d4f82…
11-05 21:14:51	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x90ef04…
11-05 20:52:28	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xa532c0…
11-05 17:23:55	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x8161b4…
11-05 16:33:09	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x6f25f0…
11-05 15:58:34	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x324d19…
11-05 15:16:30	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xe3cc40…
11-05 14:17:54	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0xb4a52f…
11-05 13:48:04	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x51aa1e…
11-05 13:02:30	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x32d69d…
11-05 12:58:45	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x92f3fc…
11-05 11:24:04	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe90fa0…
11-05 10:59:19	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba2357…
11-05 10:39:39	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa19cd1…
11-05 09:54:19	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x83968f…
11-05 09:33:54	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xa7dbdc…
11-05 09:19:24	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x2e7a11…
11-05 08:27:54	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x99aaa1…
11-05 07:43:24	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb8fcad…
11-05 07:37:54	XRP Up or Down - November 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x5ca03c…
11-05 03:43:39	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1a9e4f…
11-05 02:38:34	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x956c83…
11-05 02:13:49	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x99d494…
11-05 00:04:39	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x7ebed3…
11-04 23:44:43	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x762e02…
11-04 22:11:49	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x9007be…
11-04 21:49:00	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5b517c…
11-04 21:39:40	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x77eb44…
11-04 13:43:30	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xb7c6ab…
11-04 13:28:06	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x29e68a…
11-04 03:09:19	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0xc4728c…
11-04 01:20:46	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	321	97¢	$310	0x35bfa7…
11-04 00:26:13	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xb76f01…
11-04 00:02:58	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x14094a…
11-03 20:29:15	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x92de10…
11-03 19:18:58	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcba0a6…
11-03 19:12:30	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc1e0e5…
11-03 18:07:24	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x11439e…
11-03 17:48:39	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeedd0e…
11-03 15:41:49	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x864f88…
11-03 15:29:19	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x306e78…
11-03 13:47:58	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf483d4…
11-03 13:42:49	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0d35d3…
11-03 13:31:00	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8d7c16…
11-03 00:44:15	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe21d1f…
11-02 15:43:19	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4c06d5…
11-02 11:43:49	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x48d080…
11-01 23:03:09	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6be544…
10-28 17:03:38	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x34d8a7…
10-28 00:08:29	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcd0b3…
10-28 00:08:21	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4e3918…
10-28 00:08:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda8a5c…
10-28 00:08:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd595a2…
10-28 00:08:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd95097…
10-28 00:08:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x105d21…
10-27 23:23:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x1035cf…
10-27 21:53:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4e785…
10-27 21:53:45	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c7243…