Hefty-Polo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$736

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

1,940

Trades

2,394

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-19 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% -$736

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:05 UTC	6	$138	128	128	+0	Up	+$38	10-14 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	2	$65	45	45	+0	Down	+$25	10-14 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	1	$60	435	0	+435	Up	-$60	10-14 20:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:25 UTC	6	$59	103	91	+12	Down	-$11	10-13 11:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:20 UTC	2	$55	57	57	+0	Down	+$15	10-14 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:45 UTC	4	$52	128	32	+95	Down	+$0	10-14 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$50	102	0	+102	Up	-$50	05-18 20:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	2	$49	47	47	+0	Up	-$1	10-14 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	3	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$21	10-16 11:17
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$45	60	45	+15	Up	+$6	10-15 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:55 UTC	2	$40	138	0	+138	Down	-$40	10-14 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:55 UTC	1	$40	78	0	+78	Down	+$38	10-14 18:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:45 UTC	2	$35	109	0	+109	Up	-$35	10-14 18:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	3	$34	85	23	+63	Down	+$43	10-13 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$33	34	34	+0	Down	+$7	10-08 15:30
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	8	$33	36	36	+0	Down	+$7	10-08 15:31
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$32	56	15	+41	Down	-$22	10-15 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:05 UTC	3	$31	96	96	+0	Down	+$1	10-14 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$31	53	53	+0	Down	+$5	10-08 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:35 UTC	2	$31	67	67	+0	Down	+$11	10-14 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:50 UTC	1	$30	273	0	+273	Up	-$30	10-14 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	1	$30	91	0	+91	Down	-$30	10-14 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$30	73	0	+73	Up	-$30	05-18 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:25 UTC	2	$30	123	0	+123	Up	-$30	10-14 18:28
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$30	38	38	+0	Down	+$4	10-08 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$29	34	34	+0	Up	+$3	10-08 16:02
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:45 UTC	4	$27	51	18	+33	Down	-$13	10-16 15:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	2	$27	61	0	+61	Up	+$18	10-13 13:26
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$27	58	0	+58	Up	+$31	10-16 00:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:05 UTC	2	$27	66	0	+66	Up	-$27	10-14 13:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 02:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xf9977b…
10-19 01:21:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	21¢	$7	0x41a221…
10-19 00:47:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x610866…
10-19 00:46:18	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xb71a2b…
10-19 00:41:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x2d5ad0…
10-19 00:31:36	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x95fa0d…
10-19 00:31:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xce6493…
10-19 00:27:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x13aee6…
10-19 00:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x4912fa…
10-19 00:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xbdfbef…
10-18 23:48:00	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x23415b…
10-18 23:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0xcf08a6…
10-18 23:26:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x1f324d…
10-18 23:20:27	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xadcf09…
10-18 23:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x765916…
10-18 22:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x07cf02…
10-18 22:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x85b7b2…
10-18 22:25:57	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x63b94a…
10-18 22:23:11	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x780b30…
10-18 22:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x4a91db…
10-18 20:16:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xc5931f…
10-18 20:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x3b4fe4…
10-18 20:05:41	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x35f0fc…
10-18 20:01:50	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xb844d4…
10-18 19:55:15	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x110510…
10-18 19:45:33	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9361e0…
10-18 19:43:24	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x68d80d…
10-18 19:30:29	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x6a456a…
10-18 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x329151…
10-18 17:07:17	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x1194a6…
10-18 17:07:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x1b04b5…
10-18 16:47:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x701a9a…
10-18 16:42:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0xbf5aab…
10-18 16:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xde0836…
10-18 16:12:29	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x26653c…
10-18 15:47:29	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x4c67bf…
10-18 15:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xad2968…
10-18 14:42:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0xba3173…
10-18 14:36:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x368159…
10-18 14:20:12	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xb6c7b5…
10-18 14:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xe0dc3f…
10-18 13:30:29	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x708700…
10-18 13:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x76c92a…
10-18 11:27:23	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x44a61b…
10-18 10:30:26	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xf20e09…
10-18 10:06:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xedad3d…
10-18 09:16:11	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xfaabde…
10-18 08:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x50477f…
10-18 08:01:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x85658d…
10-18 06:21:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x366ad9…
10-18 05:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x763dfc…
10-18 05:48:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x5de178…
10-18 02:31:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x007452…
10-18 02:06:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x7e4f13…
10-18 00:57:29	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x8177fb…
10-18 00:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xed6577…
10-18 00:35:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xbbf5a2…
10-18 00:35:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa6fa7f…
10-18 00:35:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xec8526…
10-18 00:32:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x5bd427…
10-17 23:45:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xc20fb1…
10-17 22:20:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x596fed…
10-17 22:12:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x147695…
10-17 22:10:47	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xec67ab…
10-17 21:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x0b6fa5…
10-17 21:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xda6a01…
10-17 20:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x6a1cc7…
10-17 17:06:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x150d35…
10-17 17:03:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc54a89…
10-17 17:01:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x844785…
10-17 16:22:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x711684…
10-17 16:21:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xd99c74…
10-17 16:06:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x06f207…
10-17 15:45:53	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x4009aa…
10-17 15:17:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2ff083…
10-17 14:16:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x3bb381…
10-17 13:18:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb2714a…
10-17 13:08:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xabf493…
10-17 13:07:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x78ade3…
10-17 11:48:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xf878d7…
10-17 05:08:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xbe519c…
10-17 05:07:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xe397ca…
10-17 05:07:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x326040…
10-17 03:18:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x572008…
10-17 03:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xeca8e7…
10-17 02:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xc397c6…
10-17 01:38:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x79ea9a…
10-17 00:28:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xddc712…
10-17 00:08:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x9043e7…
10-16 23:27:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5e1971…
10-16 23:17:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x610da7…
10-16 22:49:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x5fb314…
10-16 22:11:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x2ef6ab…
10-16 21:58:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2216eb…
10-16 21:57:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x12d654…
10-16 21:05:11	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x115a3d…
10-16 21:01:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x1adb01…
10-16 20:56:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xeeed7d…
10-16 20:42:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x80dfb7…
10-16 20:37:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x88053b…