Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

415

Trades

741

lifetime

Volume

$4.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 11-03 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

82% 81% -$101

Politics

9% 48% -$14

Crypto

8% 78% +$9

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	10-27 18:40
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	+20	$20	93¢	$19	-$1	10-27 16:16
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	+20	$9	36¢	$7	-$1	10-26 15:58
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	-20	-$9	25¢	$-5	+$4	11-03 13:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	6	$68	93	0	+93	Yes	-$68	10-27 20:10
Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$64	66	0	+66	No	+$2	10-27 17:48
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	10	$59	44	66	-22	No	+$18	11-03 13:21
Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	10-27 17:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 28?	4	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	10-27 23:48
Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$48	51	0	+51	No	+$4	10-27 17:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 28?	3	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	10-27 18:28
Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	6	$41	53	0	+53	Yes	-$41	10-27 19:34
Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	11-03 13:22
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	3	$41	20	20	+0	No	+$0	11-03 13:22
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	2	$41	20	20	+0	No	+$0	11-03 13:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	2	$41	20	20	+0	No	$0	11-03 13:22
Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	6	$40	53	0	+53	No	+$13	10-27 16:23
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	11-03 13:22
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$36	21	20	+1	Yes	-$18	11-03 13:22
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?	3	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	10-28 18:33
Will Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?	2	$35	53	0	+53	Yes	-$35	10-28 21:14
Will CD La Equidad Seguros win on 2026-08-17?	2	$33	85	0	+85	Yes	-$33	10-29 02:38
Will PAOK win on 2026-10-28?	2	$33	46	0	+46	Yes	-$33	10-28 19:52
Will Yashar win 24% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$1	10-27 18:51
Will Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$33	40	0	+40	No	+$7	10-26 16:07
Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	5	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$1	10-27 20:33
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$1	10-29 19:34
Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$32	53	0	+53	No	+$21	10-27 19:59
Will CS Cristal vs. Club Alianza Lima end in a draw?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	10-29 22:25
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-29?	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	10-29 23:11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-29?	2	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	10-29 21:38
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-08-17?	2	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	10-29 02:37
Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$29	41	0	+41	No	+$12	10-27 20:10
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-29?	1	$29	33	0	+33	No	+$4	10-29 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 13:25:12	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x153954…
11-03 13:25:04	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9bc76c…
11-03 13:23:55	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x714098…
11-03 13:23:49	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xa126c9…
11-03 13:23:40	Will the Alaska Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x823b7b…
11-03 13:23:31	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x780ccc…
11-03 13:23:18	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x76e019…
11-03 13:23:10	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x8ee3ae…
11-03 13:23:03	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7e3642…
11-03 13:22:55	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x51e8f9…
11-03 13:22:46	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xefbf1b…
11-03 13:22:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2de8cd…
11-03 13:22:24	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe79492…
11-03 13:22:12	Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb0bcef…
11-03 13:22:04	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8da28d…
11-03 13:21:54	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xe7e327…
11-03 13:21:43	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x9dc6b4…
11-03 13:21:34	Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xebfe65…
11-03 13:21:22	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xcc992b…
11-03 13:21:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be less than 480,000?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x38597a…
11-03 13:20:54	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$5	0xc7e14c…
11-03 13:20:48	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x7ee76e…
11-03 13:20:40	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x387607…
11-03 13:20:31	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	No	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x14d7c1…
11-03 13:20:19	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0xec76e2…
11-03 13:20:13	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x5b7c9c…
11-03 13:20:06	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x6c7157…
11-03 13:19:45	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7d0762…
10-30 16:32:31	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x18e7bd…
10-30 04:16:27	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xecfc2b…
10-30 03:14:33	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8472a2…
10-30 03:01:58	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe588c9…
10-30 03:01:58	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x8ed3b5…
10-30 03:00:46	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xad86ee…
10-30 03:00:46	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x26f0eb…
10-29 23:36:37	Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xcbe300…
10-29 23:11:43	Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x5e31ba…
10-29 23:11:10	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x4186e1…
10-29 23:10:45	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0xbc7152…
10-29 22:54:33	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x618677…
10-29 22:54:18	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	16	34¢	$6	0x367a84…
10-29 22:50:24	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb20516…
10-29 22:25:15	Will CS Cristal win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xffbf4b…
10-29 22:25:06	Will CS Cristal vs. Club Alianza Lima end in a draw?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x76b649…
10-29 21:53:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x489303…
10-29 21:45:00	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x96e061…
10-29 21:42:58	Will the Alaska Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1ea97b…
10-29 21:38:28	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xb8eb06…
10-29 21:38:28	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xb06764…
10-29 21:38:27	Will Manchester City WFC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xbb83aa…
10-29 21:27:21	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xc765b8…
10-29 21:22:48	Will FC Emmen win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x445691…
10-29 21:14:46	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x43f266…
10-29 21:14:24	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xc8eb95…
10-29 20:33:46	Will De Treffers win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xb0a511…
10-29 20:33:46	Will De Treffers win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x80f300…
10-29 20:26:01	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa50d14…
10-29 20:19:37	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x64ded5…
10-29 20:19:34	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7c81b3…
10-29 19:48:10	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0x65f49d…
10-29 19:48:09	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x9a6a24…
10-29 19:35:34	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x2ef920…
10-29 19:34:31	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x32c226…
10-29 19:25:55	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xb218f3…
10-29 19:10:24	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xaaa573…
10-29 19:01:28	Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x33c762…
10-29 19:01:01	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	No	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x807c3b…
10-29 17:55:28	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	No	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x2350fe…
10-29 17:53:26	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfcc81e…
10-29 17:49:53	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5e7823…
10-29 17:46:55	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x567c73…
10-29 17:44:02	Will US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xff2548…
10-29 17:42:04	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x364859…
10-29 17:38:40	Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xfbc2d7…
10-29 17:34:02	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb9bdc9…
10-29 17:32:16	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be less than 480,000?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2021fe…
10-29 17:31:43	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbeffe8…
10-29 17:31:38	Will SC Austria Lustenau win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0xae9247…
10-29 17:25:44	Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x46e04a…
10-29 16:54:50	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?	No	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x61e796…
10-29 16:42:56	Will FC Inter Turku vs. HJK Helsinki end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xd4c0ef…
10-29 16:42:55	Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf7c892…
10-29 16:42:55	Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x623ec7…
10-29 16:34:55	Will APS Atrómitos Athinón win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf7ff08…
10-29 16:33:49	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x729660…
10-29 16:33:41	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x5f86ab…
10-29 16:32:44	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x41772b…
10-29 16:32:05	Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xaf1ff5…
10-29 16:15:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x825c52…
10-29 16:12:41	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xce40b8…
10-29 15:59:13	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd30147…
10-29 15:46:19	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x7163f1…
10-29 15:13:55	Will Modern SC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0d70f7…
10-29 14:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5ec3d0…
10-29 14:16:38	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xc041af…
10-29 14:08:26	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x533d5a…
10-29 14:08:14	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd9c934…
10-29 14:01:41	Will Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x24567f…
10-29 13:55:01	Will Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee end in a draw?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xce194c…
10-29 13:54:50	Will Phnom Penh Crown FC vs. Kitchee end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe05dd4…