Near-Carrot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.77K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

3,625

Trades

32,396

lifetime

Volume

$313.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 09-09 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

99% 54% -$8,758

Crypto

1% 33% -$12

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 681 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$3	06-04 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	71	$1.3K	979	979	+0	Yes	+$29	06-09 05:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	66	$990	1,725	864	+861	Yes	-$61	06-08 18:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?	62	$990	1,084	680	+404	No	+$14	06-08 19:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?	67	$981	735	735	+0	No	+$35	06-09 13:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?	44	$966	847	496	+352	No	+$28	06-10 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?	77	$922	1,855	0	+1,855	No	+$6	06-04 05:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?	92	$914	1,911	0	+1,911	Yes	-$20	06-04 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	65	$859	1,641	0	+1,641	Yes	-$21	06-04 05:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	84	$832	730	730	+0	No	+$43	06-11 19:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?	68	$832	758	623	+135	Yes	-$61	06-10 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	73	$820	847	550	+298	No	+$5	06-10 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?	36	$786	697	346	+351	Yes	-$77	06-11 07:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?	43	$748	504	504	+0	No	+$7	06-08 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9?	58	$710	567	567	+0	No	+$56	06-09 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	37	$707	872	412	+461	Yes	-$42	06-12 05:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?	45	$692	659	402	+257	Yes	-$68	06-09 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?	62	$689	647	501	+146	No	+$21	06-12 05:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	57	$686	1,324	0	+1,324	No	-$83	06-04 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?	39	$677	1,044	193	+850	No	+$13	06-08 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?	53	$673	1,279	0	+1,279	Yes	+$32	06-03 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?	48	$664	920	536	+384	No	+$14	06-11 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?	67	$654	575	543	+32	Yes	+$8	06-16 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?	52	$650	501	501	+0	No	+$53	06-09 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?	30	$646	434	434	+0	No	+$12	06-10 05:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	51	$644	1,049	110	+939	Yes	+$44	06-05 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	46	$632	1,191	0	+1,191	No	-$30	06-04 05:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?	50	$628	533	423	+110	No	+$21	06-09 12:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	70	$615	1,259	0	+1,259	Yes	-$4	06-01 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	35	$615	537	427	+110	No	+$23	06-09 05:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 19:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3ef6c5…
09-07 07:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 7?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x41eda3…
09-07 07:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x187e4a…
09-07 07:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x233345…
09-07 07:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xfda576…
09-07 07:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x885a0b…
09-07 07:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x7d3a2c…
09-07 07:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0xd34708…
09-07 07:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x329a50…
09-07 07:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x78af8c…
09-07 07:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xd83544…
09-07 07:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x75a8fb…
09-07 07:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xffebc3…
09-07 07:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xb56024…
09-07 07:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x0ff4ff…
09-07 07:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbccba0…
09-07 07:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xb2a687…
09-07 07:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 8?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x19ca20…
09-07 07:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9cbf15…
09-07 07:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x691214…
09-07 07:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x104c0d…
09-07 07:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x50ea61…
09-07 07:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0x5a944f…
09-07 07:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xac06d6…
09-07 07:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x761ccb…
09-07 07:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	11	79¢	$8	0xc29c5b…
09-07 07:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x993463…
09-07 07:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xfd8aaa…
09-07 07:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xcd1509…
09-07 07:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x3ef39b…
09-07 07:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 7?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x71533a…
09-07 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xaaa05d…
09-07 06:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 8?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x8bb2fc…
09-07 06:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x11d83c…
09-07 06:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x94a451…
09-07 06:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xbf5fb4…
09-07 06:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x591523…
09-07 06:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xe7eca7…
09-07 06:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x0803a6…
09-07 06:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xf5a166…
09-07 06:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x38468f…
09-07 06:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x9a6138…
09-07 06:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xceaeec…
09-07 06:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x761275…
09-07 06:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x9adca4…
09-07 06:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 8?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xca0fb2…
09-07 06:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 7?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x2fc78e…
09-07 06:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 7?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc7df46…
09-07 06:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	79¢	$17	0xf8a64a…
09-07 06:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	88¢	$18	0x61f9bc…
09-07 06:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xedd4ce…
09-07 06:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x57d28c…
09-07 06:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 7?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x32af7d…
09-07 06:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x3e985f…
09-07 06:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x532847…
09-07 06:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x4757df…
09-07 06:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x210294…
09-07 06:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 8?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xbb2494…
09-07 06:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x3dad3d…
09-07 06:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xc85010…
09-07 06:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x00e356…
09-07 06:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0xba50cb…
09-07 06:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x6b63e6…
09-07 06:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 7?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x0f2b36…
09-07 06:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xaa04c4…
09-07 06:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x5fc8fe…
09-07 06:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x4143a5…
09-07 06:01:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 7?	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x9286fb…
09-07 06:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf94fe5…
09-07 06:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3a8f7e…
09-07 06:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x8aa164…
09-07 06:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x0e0668…
09-07 06:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x0813ce…
09-07 06:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x1b94af…
09-07 05:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 7?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x116a72…
09-07 05:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x3f8048…
09-07 05:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x87babd…
09-07 05:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x5bacde…
09-07 05:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x5b608a…
09-07 05:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x5485a9…
09-07 05:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	69¢	$14	0xf17420…
09-07 05:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 9?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xc53c67…
09-07 05:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 9?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9365ad…
09-07 05:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 9?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf4c091…
09-07 05:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 9?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x342887…
09-07 05:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x808dea…
09-07 05:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xe3f0d1…
09-07 05:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xfc4e0c…
09-07 05:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x8233ad…
09-07 05:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x9880af…
09-07 05:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x9b7202…
09-07 05:36:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x54cd1c…
09-07 05:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x3d0d6d…
09-07 05:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xfd33ad…
09-07 05:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0x61a0c0…
09-07 05:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xd94565…
09-07 05:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 7?	No	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x4ece06…
09-07 05:28:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 7?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xbe6194…
09-07 05:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x8d475d…
09-07 05:27:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x4b9689…