Hilarious-Trumpet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.52K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

3,700

Trades

11,051

lifetime

Volume

$307.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-05 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 42% +$9,066

Other

2% 19% +$295

Politics

1% 67% +$103

Tech

0% 100% +$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 1026 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	2	$1.6K	1,004	1,004	+0	No	+$341	07-01 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:55 UTC	41	$1.4K	1,844	0	+1,844	Down	-$1,390	08-08 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:25 UTC	41	$1.4K	1,819	0	+1,819	Down	+$430	08-08 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:20 UTC	21	$1.4K	1,774	0	+1,774	Down	+$388	08-08 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:15 UTC	29	$1.4K	1,639	0	+1,639	Down	+$257	08-08 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:45 UTC	68	$1.4K	1,717	0	+1,717	Up	+$355	08-08 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:15 UTC	44	$1.3K	1,921	0	+1,921	Down	+$585	08-08 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 21:40 UTC	31	$1.2K	1,768	0	+1,768	Up	-$1,192	08-08 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 16:45 UTC	27	$1.2K	1,665	0	+1,665	Down	+$505	08-08 16:47
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	2	$1.1K	604	604	+0	Yes	+$44	06-23 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 16:40 UTC	14	$1.1K	1,291	0	+1,291	Up	+$191	08-08 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 16:35 UTC	14	$1.1K	1,379	0	+1,379	Down	+$288	08-08 16:37
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$1.0K	557	557	+0	Yes	+$67	06-22 14:07
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	2	$948	492	492	+0	Yes	+$24	06-21 10:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:40 UTC	22	$939	1,360	0	+1,360	Down	+$421	08-08 15:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC	13	$918	1,095	0	+1,095	Up	+$177	08-08 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:30 UTC	12	$906	1,101	0	+1,101	Up	+$195	08-08 20:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:05 UTC	29	$903	1,305	0	+1,305	Up	+$402	08-08 17:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:10 UTC	20	$890	1,125	0	+1,125	Up	+$235	08-08 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 06:55 UTC	36	$878	1,164	0	+1,164	Down	-$878	08-15 06:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:55 UTC	11	$875	972	0	+972	Up	+$97	08-08 19:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:40 UTC	28	$852	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$249	08-08 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:50 UTC	20	$851	1,007	0	+1,007	Up	+$157	08-08 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 15:30 UTC	27	$830	1,217	0	+1,217	Down	+$387	08-08 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:25 UTC	12	$798	1,108	0	+1,108	Up	+$310	08-08 19:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:35 UTC	19	$789	1,131	0	+1,131	Up	+$342	08-08 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:20 UTC	23	$779	1,117	0	+1,117	Down	+$338	08-08 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:40 UTC	28	$770	1,025	0	+1,025	Down	-$770	08-08 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:15 UTC	18	$758	1,012	0	+1,012	Down	+$254	08-08 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:55 UTC	22	$744	1,111	0	+1,111	Down	-$744	08-03 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 05:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	69	57¢	$39	0xc294a4…
10-05 05:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0x01186d…
10-05 05:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0x9f41ed…
10-05 05:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x9ceac5…
10-05 04:55:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	74	44¢	$33	0x51dc2b…
10-05 04:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	75	44¢	$33	0x76f013…
10-05 04:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	83	43¢	$36	0x350451…
10-05 04:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	58	58¢	$34	0x41c6db…
10-05 04:35:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xbecb9f…
10-05 04:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	59	55¢	$32	0xe19e0c…
10-05 04:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	57	54¢	$31	0xe37e4b…
10-05 04:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	61	55¢	$34	0xe33d87…
10-05 04:20:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0x0cc9a8…
10-05 04:20:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	76	45¢	$34	0x539785…
10-05 04:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x358cc2…
10-05 04:20:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	58	58¢	$34	0x6e17d5…
10-05 03:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	96	34¢	$33	0xad7ea5…
10-05 03:40:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	137	26¢	$36	0x313671…
10-05 03:40:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	85	37¢	$31	0xc97998…
10-05 03:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x374e3a…
10-05 02:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0x5d6235…
10-05 02:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	59	58¢	$34	0x465026…
10-05 02:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x9e7436…
10-05 02:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	57	60¢	$34	0x5e4309…
10-05 01:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	64	49¢	$31	0x1ed8a3…
10-05 01:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x34438a…
10-05 01:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0xdf7d2b…
10-05 01:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xe2b2fd…
10-05 00:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	63	55¢	$35	0x850acf…
10-05 00:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	75	46¢	$34	0x8d4bce…
10-05 00:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0x8dc953…
10-05 00:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0xdea89b…
10-05 00:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	54	62¢	$33	0x5988e4…
10-05 00:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	63¢	$33	0x11eeee…
10-05 00:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	58	58¢	$34	0x35eff7…
10-05 00:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0x1cb49b…
10-05 00:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x787ab4…
10-05 00:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0xeac149…
10-05 00:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0xa96e82…
10-05 00:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0xeb49d5…
10-04 23:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xa19c52…
10-04 23:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x35c19e…
10-04 23:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0xbb9d0a…
10-04 23:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x345b46…
10-04 23:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	48	69¢	$33	0xa2fbc0…
10-04 23:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x31e099…
10-04 23:05:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	59	57¢	$34	0xfd3124…
10-04 23:05:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xc2cf0f…
10-04 22:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	61	61¢	$37	0x9d68d2…
10-04 22:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x0aaa48…
10-04 22:40:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	67	61¢	$41	0x25f20d…
10-04 22:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xf559e7…
10-04 22:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	59	63¢	$37	0x4175a2…
10-04 22:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	54	69¢	$37	0x968269…
10-04 22:10:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x26e95f…
10-04 22:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	67	56¢	$37	0x266de7…
10-04 21:55:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	58	63¢	$36	0xcc22c5…
10-04 21:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	57	63¢	$36	0xc4fd06…
10-04 21:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x0c045f…
10-04 21:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	66	54¢	$36	0x2387bb…
10-04 20:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	45¢	$33	0x4a0e0b…
10-04 20:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	41¢	$34	0x14f243…
10-04 20:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	70	44¢	$30	0xda5b86…
10-04 20:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	51¢	$34	0xfe180f…
10-04 19:20:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	59	61¢	$36	0xddc361…
10-04 19:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	67	54¢	$36	0x2e1b7d…
10-04 19:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	67	53¢	$36	0xe0ca48…
10-04 19:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	63	60¢	$38	0x5d370e…
10-04 16:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0xb1dc53…
10-04 16:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x560458…
10-04 16:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	63	59¢	$37	0xd154b1…
10-04 16:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x2861aa…
10-04 11:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	70¢	$36	0x6c3080…
10-04 11:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	57	64¢	$36	0x78ce51…
10-04 11:30:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0x80d703…
10-04 11:30:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	64	58¢	$37	0x7cba0b…
10-04 09:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0x9b0fd0…
10-04 09:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	117	32¢	$37	0x52a547…
10-04 09:15:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0xdd1310…
10-04 09:15:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x8c1e6f…
10-04 07:50:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	54	69¢	$37	0x3ae04c…
10-04 07:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	55	67¢	$37	0x6874e8…
10-04 07:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	60	66¢	$39	0x8bdd5f…
10-04 07:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	73	51¢	$37	0x875a5b…
10-04 05:55:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	158	27¢	$42	0x63796c…
10-04 05:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	69	56¢	$39	0x7eb7c6…
10-04 05:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	94	39¢	$37	0x28395b…
10-04 05:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	67	59¢	$39	0xbc906f…
10-04 05:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xb0394c…
10-04 05:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	164	25¢	$41	0x9aed8f…
10-04 05:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	96	36¢	$35	0x243f42…
10-04 05:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x0a362f…
10-04 04:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	73	57¢	$42	0xffba2c…
10-04 04:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	69	56¢	$39	0x655947…
10-04 04:05:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	68	60¢	$41	0x09e473…
10-04 04:05:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x5ce066…
10-04 03:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x0adf76…
10-04 03:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	87	43¢	$37	0x350dc9…
10-04 03:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	85	44¢	$37	0x9d6ad2…
10-04 03:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0x67257a…