Fickle-Mango — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$172

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

446

Trades

1,018

lifetime

Volume

$5.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-07 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 41% -$108

Other

6% 14% -$64

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:25 UTC	4	$101	93	92	+1	Up	+$15	03-24 00:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:15 UTC	9	$93	197	129	+68	Up	+$18	03-25 02:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:40 UTC	3	$88	271	202	+69	Up	+$7	03-25 00:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:50 UTC	10	$84	85	84	+1	Down	+$16	03-24 20:54
cs2 bhe gh 2026 03 23 game2	5	$82	175	53	+122	Bounty Hunters Esports	-$30	03-23 23:47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$80	251	136	+114	Up	-$12	10-07 19:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:35 UTC	2	$76	67	66	+0	Down	+$56	03-24 00:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:50 UTC	10	$72	108	107	+1	Up	+$19	03-24 03:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:05 UTC	4	$71	64	64	+1	Up	+$32	03-25 01:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:25 UTC	6	$70	201	200	+1	Up	+$10	03-25 10:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:25 UTC	4	$69	56	55	+1	Down	+$21	03-24 22:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$65	100	100	+0	Up	+$15	10-07 19:41
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 10:30 UTC	8	$63	101	100	+1	Down	+$14	03-25 10:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 12:35 UTC	8	$60	75	74	+1	Up	+$19	03-24 12:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:00 UTC	7	$59	111	96	+15	Down	+$0	03-25 16:04
cs2 mglz ts7 2026 03 23 game2	5	$56	272	72	+200	TheMongolz	+$40	03-23 22:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:15 UTC	3	$56	50	50	+1	Up	-$2	03-26 05:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 20:40 UTC	5	$55	125	62	+62	Down	+$21	03-27 20:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 02:10 UTC	6	$52	72	71	+1	Down	+$5	03-25 02:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:40 UTC	2	$49	139	139	+0	Up	+$29	03-27 21:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 03:15 UTC	2	$49	31	31	+0	Down	+$4	03-26 03:16
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	2	$47	27	27	+0	Yes	+$7	03-27 16:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:35 UTC	8	$45	77	76	+1	Up	+$11	03-25 01:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 17:05 UTC	3	$45	408	375	+33	Up	+$9	03-27 17:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 22:00 UTC	3	$45	101	48	+53	Up	+$7	04-05 22:01
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:00 UTC	5	$44	90	72	+18	Up	+$15	03-25 01:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 00:30 UTC	6	$44	112	105	+7	Down	+$11	04-06 00:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 00:25 UTC	4	$40	54	51	+2	Down	+$0	04-06 00:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 19:55 UTC	3	$40	55	17	+38	Up	-$10	03-25 20:00
dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17 game1	2	$39	54	53	+1	Team Yandex	-$1	07-16 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 19:52:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	114	27¢	$31	0x3ea987…
10-07 19:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	136	25¢	$34	0x9d2d63…
10-07 19:50:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xefcbdc…
10-07 19:46:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	153	16¢	$25	0xa20ec9…
10-07 19:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x6f40e7…
10-07 19:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x1832e0…
10-07 19:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	125	10¢	$12	0xa57d07…
10-07 19:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xf38e31…
07-16 11:19:28	dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17	Team Spirit	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0x93a9a4…
07-16 11:19:07	dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17 game1	Team Spirit	SELL	53	37¢	$19	0x4b7a1b…
07-16 11:16:55	dota2 ty ts8 2026 07 17 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x2a23c9…
07-01 17:45:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0xa189ce…
07-01 17:43:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	37	25¢	$9	0xd7e148…
07-01 17:41:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xaef9cc…
07-01 17:38:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7cdf6f…
07-01 09:06:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xf30f91…
05-25 16:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xec920f…
05-25 16:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	34	37¢	$13	0xa10201…
05-25 16:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0xcbcd78…
05-25 16:25:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x28f406…
05-25 16:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0x673a31…
05-25 16:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x713e53…
05-25 15:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0x34305a…
05-25 15:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x9e60f2…
05-11 09:52:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x301239…
05-11 09:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x5c1f9e…
05-11 09:31:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x44adae…
05-10 21:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	92	8¢	$7	0xb27329…
05-10 20:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	18¢	$7	0x32b982…
05-10 20:58:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xae40e8…
05-10 20:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0xe84750…
05-10 20:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x40362f…
05-10 20:03:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xe332b8…
05-10 20:01:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x193c7d…
05-10 20:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2aa3e7…
05-10 19:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4c6dba…
05-10 19:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xdcf278…
05-10 19:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdeb702…
05-10 19:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x60fd43…
04-29 11:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xda8ef8…
04-29 11:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x9452e5…
04-29 11:16:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x33eb0f…
04-29 11:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x0d42fb…
04-29 10:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xbbc4b9…
04-29 10:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x31dfa5…
04-29 10:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xd2a600…
04-29 10:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcef263…
04-29 10:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x44d2c5…
04-29 10:27:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdf5291…
04-24 23:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x41bdc1…
04-24 23:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xf6e092…
04-24 23:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xe510e8…
04-24 23:28:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xfe75e7…
04-24 23:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x21ce0e…
04-24 23:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xdcdfa6…
04-24 23:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x9296aa…
04-14 11:54:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x86a795…
04-14 11:22:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x133e8a…
04-14 11:21:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x946fed…
04-14 11:21:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x0e1b23…
04-14 11:21:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x632f5a…
04-14 11:18:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x57c7b1…
04-14 11:18:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7b8a8a…
04-14 11:13:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x075074…
04-13 21:42:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	88	12¢	$11	0x85198c…
04-13 21:42:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x50cdb2…
04-13 21:22:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x9e7cb2…
04-13 21:21:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x1350cc…
04-13 20:52:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xeba42e…
04-13 20:52:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0xd7005d…
04-13 20:46:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x292916…
04-13 20:46:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xd4749d…
04-13 19:18:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	325	2¢	$7	0x5fc32f…
04-13 19:16:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	350	2¢	$7	0x5f61cb…
04-13 19:14:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x8f74fa…
04-13 19:14:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x8d93c3…
04-13 19:11:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x3823f9…
04-13 19:11:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x8e9167…
04-13 19:04:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xb5bd95…
04-13 19:03:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1d77d3…
04-13 19:03:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xcddc79…
04-13 19:02:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x43bb8f…
04-13 19:02:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb45041…
04-13 19:02:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfe1fb2…
04-13 16:08:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa7612c…
04-13 16:07:27	will joe hathaway win the nj 11 special election	Yes	SELL	170	0¢	$1	0xc0bc52…
04-11 21:13:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xfcfa42…
04-11 21:03:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	69	16¢	$11	0x692c6c…
04-11 21:03:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0xff8af9…
04-11 20:57:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0x81a450…
04-11 20:56:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0xa1a05b…
04-11 20:55:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	65	11¢	$7	0xe5505a…
04-11 19:14:09	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	2,999	0¢	$3	0x26b8c5…
04-11 19:12:31	will joe hathaway win the nj 11 special election	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0x657300…
04-11 19:10:03	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	339	1¢	$3	0xfd0f91…
04-11 19:09:39	will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xa370f3…
04-11 19:09:21	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	1,431	0¢	$3	0x78a77e…
04-07 10:44:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x34f033…
04-07 10:44:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xc802d2…
04-07 10:44:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x722e01…