Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$60

Hit rate

22.8%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$7.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$799

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-05 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Sports

72% 33% -$1,807

Other

25% 67% -$1,169

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	+260	$219	88¢	$227	+$8	11-05 16:26
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	No	+181	$166	92¢	$167	+$1	11-05 03:14
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	+122	$102	94¢	$114	+$12	10-26 11:21
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	+250	$162	36¢	$91	-$71	10-31 01:54
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	+160	$105	52¢	$83	-$22	10-26 18:58
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	+86	$60	89¢	$77	+$17	10-23 19:59
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	+50	$33	69¢	$34	+$2	10-20 19:24
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	+240	$11	2¢	$4	-$6	10-26 09:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	24	$1.7K	200	3,817	-3,617	Yes	-$1,947	02-07 19:50
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	17	$1.1K	1,410	0	+1,410	No	-$1,113	11-01 06:18
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$631	600	487	+113	Yes	+$266	06-11 05:50
nba 2025 26 bpg leader victor wembanyama	25	$567	0	708	-708	Yes	-$141	02-06 22:56
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	2	$284	300	0	+300	No	+$16	09-06 12:13
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	9	$253	215	161	+54	No	-$5	05-27 05:57
Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?	8	$237	250	0	+250	open	—	11-02 20:17
Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	7	$219	260	0	+260	open	—	11-05 16:26
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	2	$166	181	0	+181	open	—	11-05 03:14
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	11	$162	250	0	+250	open	—	10-31 01:54
Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	4	$160	190	0	+190	open	—	11-01 00:54
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	7	$141	190	0	+190	open	—	10-25 16:46
will the new orleans pelicans make the nba playoffs 568	1	$127	0	130	-130	No	-$3	01-06 16:25
Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	2	$118	120	0	+120	No	-$118	11-01 07:17
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	4	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	+$40	02-05 12:00
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	11	$105	160	0	+160	open	—	10-26 18:58
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	4	$102	122	0	+122	open	—	10-26 11:21
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	7	$101	120	0	+120	open	—	10-29 17:51
Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	10-26 01:28
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$67	100	0	+100	Thunder	+$33	05-20 01:20
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	2	$60	86	0	+86	open	—	10-23 19:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	4	$60	100	100	+0	open	—	10-31 06:39
Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	10-20 06:40
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	4	$38	100	100	+0	open	—	10-28 07:31
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	1	$37	40	0	+40	open	—	10-20 19:21
Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	3	$36	41	0	+41	Yes	+$5	09-02 15:10
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	1	$33	50	0	+50	open	—	10-20 19:24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win 60+ games in the 2026-27 NBA regular season?	2	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	10-27 10:13
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	10	$29	0	106	-106	Yes	+$29	02-24 22:22
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	3	$22	310	0	+310	No	-$22	10-25 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 16:26:16	Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xdfe88e…
11-05 03:14:58	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xb8894f…
11-03 05:10:40	Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x3c1dc2…
11-02 20:17:19	Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7873ca…
11-02 13:31:34	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x10e0e3…
11-01 11:18:46	Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xaa0463…
11-01 09:50:58	Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xdc4a35…
11-01 07:17:43	Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x837547…
11-01 06:18:28	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x752142…
11-01 06:18:12	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	240	72¢	$172	0x9f5772…
11-01 06:17:40	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x54c639…
11-01 06:17:19	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	210	80¢	$168	0xa6ee09…
11-01 06:17:09	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4e1d15…
11-01 06:16:36	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x89a5ed…
11-01 06:16:25	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6da441…
11-01 06:16:04	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	57	92¢	$53	0xc11598…
11-01 06:16:04	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	163	90¢	$147	0x3b9e14…
11-01 06:15:51	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8e3814…
11-01 06:15:34	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	205	86¢	$177	0xbe4ffb…
11-01 06:15:34	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x860698…
11-01 06:14:45	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xf4a5a8…
11-01 06:14:33	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa2dad0…
11-01 06:06:24	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x8cb37c…
11-01 00:54:45	Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xb740cc…
11-01 00:01:21	Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x0f1c3a…
10-31 18:40:49	Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x840320…
10-31 17:57:40	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x3961b2…
10-31 06:39:48	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x8ec7a3…
10-31 06:18:09	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xbbe289…
10-31 03:16:52	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xbfe5e6…
10-31 03:16:52	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0xa50a63…
10-31 01:54:31	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x56ee0b…
10-30 14:57:04	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x747ba9…
10-30 14:29:58	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x7cd590…
10-29 22:10:58	Will Walker Kessler lead the NBA in blocks per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf693d5…
10-29 17:51:28	Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x23b37c…
10-29 07:05:59	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x860eca…
10-29 07:05:58	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x70c137…
10-29 06:16:13	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc43f8d…
10-28 11:18:14	Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x6fa6d7…
10-28 10:21:34	Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x5cfc87…
10-28 09:07:08	Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0xb00171…
10-28 07:31:22	Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xfa68a7…
10-28 00:12:05	Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x9dd8b5…
10-27 23:02:23	Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc9b80b…
10-27 23:02:21	Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xed5382…
10-27 22:48:54	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x3c0bd2…
10-27 16:15:11	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x01e7ef…
10-27 16:15:09	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x732522…
10-27 11:31:03	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xa1a18f…
10-27 11:31:03	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x774f7b…
10-27 10:13:09	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win 60+ games in the 2026-27 NBA regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xb2b76c…
10-26 18:58:29	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2c5d7d…
10-26 18:25:27	Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcdaad1…
10-26 18:25:27	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb7ad62…
10-26 18:25:27	Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x574309…
10-26 18:25:27	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x088604…
10-26 18:04:47	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x9fcd20…
10-26 18:04:45	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x6ada36…
10-26 17:16:47	Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x83f8f3…
10-26 17:16:26	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xfd2e2a…
10-26 17:06:50	Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x6c7f97…
10-26 17:06:50	Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x56d2eb…
10-26 17:06:50	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x410ae5…
10-26 17:06:50	Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x0bc470…
10-26 11:21:00	Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf33a95…
10-26 10:02:57	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xf33682…
10-26 09:59:11	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	140	3¢	$4	0x124891…
10-26 02:28:14	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win 60+ games in the 2026-27 NBA regular season?	Yes	BUY	37	61¢	$23	0x87ebe7…
10-26 01:28:36	Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x409e57…
10-26 00:56:00	Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x71ac34…
10-26 00:41:42	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x5df5e1…
10-26 00:36:50	Will Will Hardy win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x9326a7…
10-25 22:41:18	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa44100…
10-25 21:39:53	Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x8c0698…
10-25 20:08:44	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8dcab5…
10-25 20:08:27	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe62207…
10-25 19:46:09	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xbef257…
10-25 19:41:48	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x1aa506…
10-25 17:35:36	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xa9883e…
10-25 17:35:32	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x2e5a0f…
10-25 16:46:30	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x57db78…
10-25 09:01:02	Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xfadf60…
10-25 09:01:02	Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa6e96c…
10-25 08:24:23	Will Naz Reid win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xccb95e…
10-25 08:09:48	Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe5fb77…
10-25 06:00:00	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6f453e…
10-25 05:59:17	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x8bca6c…
10-24 23:31:54	Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x78daf5…
10-24 23:31:54	Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x5eb41a…
10-24 07:05:44	Will Coby White win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xbdb1be…
10-24 04:23:38	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc9fe7e…
10-23 23:59:42	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x457a89…
10-23 23:23:42	Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x20869b…
10-23 20:48:45	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xcbe2f1…
10-23 20:48:45	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x8b4cbe…
10-23 20:22:35	Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x6a2cc0…
10-23 19:59:45	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x0cbd5c…
10-23 17:11:00	Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0x7d554a…
10-23 17:03:32	Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0c25af…