Assured-Component — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$365

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

175

Trades

1,670

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-15 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$365

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$1.0K	690	613	+76	open	—	05-14 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	14	$536	342	342	+0	open	—	05-14 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET	17	$406	431	395	+36	open	—	05-26 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	8	$392	248	248	+0	Up	+$98	05-13 13:54
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6am et	17	$352	234	234	+0	open	—	06-09 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$322	226	226	+0	open	—	05-24 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	10	$306	266	161	+105	open	—	05-15 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$304	209	209	+0	open	—	05-19 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$301	530	0	+530	open	—	05-15 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$292	196	196	+0	Up	+$96	05-05 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET	7	$286	271	271	+0	open	—	05-27 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$282	186	186	+0	Down	+$86	05-08 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$281	185	185	+0	open	—	05-15 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$281	184	184	+0	open	—	05-22 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	11	$278	181	181	+0	Up	+$82	05-06 13:14
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	2	$277	179	179	+0	open	—	06-09 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$276	180	180	+0	Up	+$80	05-13 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$276	180	180	+0	Up	+$80	05-06 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$275	178	178	+0	Down	+$77	05-14 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$274	178	178	+0	Down	+$78	05-09 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$268	172	172	+0	Up	+$72	05-13 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$264	445	445	+0	open	—	05-15 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$260	163	163	+0	Down	+$62	05-14 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$249	194	194	+0	Down	+$53	05-09 13:40
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 11pm et	12	$207	142	142	+0	open	—	06-09 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET	11	$203	196	196	+0	open	—	05-22 05:05
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 1am et	7	$202	222	101	+121	open	—	06-07 05:54
bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5pm et	2	$201	127	127	+0	open	—	06-12 21:59
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	1	$200	333	0	+333	open	—	06-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$198	334	0	+334	open	—	05-13 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:00:52	btc updown 15m 1781528400	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb69c8b…
06-15 12:59:00	btc updown 15m 1781528400	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x36c467…
06-15 11:29:19	btc updown 5m 1781522700	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xfdbf88…
06-15 11:26:01	btc updown 5m 1781522700	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x30f2d1…
06-15 11:24:22	btc updown 5m 1781522700	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4a495d…
06-15 09:53:36	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xa576da…
06-15 09:53:12	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8799e3…
06-15 08:00:33	btc updown 15m 1781510400	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf4ecd0…
06-15 07:58:42	btc updown 15m 1781510400	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb162ff…
06-15 03:40:45	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x01e0be…
06-15 03:00:13	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x31e445…
06-15 02:57:58	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x468b4f…
06-15 00:53:10	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x66d004…
06-15 00:53:07	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xcba6d6…
06-15 00:53:07	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x88d59a…
06-15 00:53:04	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc9a2b5…
06-14 23:08:54	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x69a1cb…
06-14 21:35:54	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xbeaa03…
06-14 21:17:09	btc updown 5m 1781472000	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x078e8e…
06-14 18:58:30	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x50f15a…
06-14 17:53:48	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xd4fdd9…
06-14 14:42:40	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xafd4a6…
06-13 21:42:12	btc updown 5m 1781387100	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x440f91…
06-13 18:38:42	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd3b391…
06-13 17:59:06	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xf494db…
06-13 15:58:06	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xba33db…
06-13 13:59:27	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe47f7a…
06-13 13:58:30	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	68	96¢	$65	0x9bbe58…
06-13 13:00:01	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xf0d66e…
06-13 11:57:19	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x3e688f…
06-13 08:59:04	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x277b3a…
06-13 08:10:04	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xf71a08…
06-13 08:00:01	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb4d6b1…
06-13 06:52:16	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xf4bb6e…
06-13 05:59:10	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xfbb02f…
06-13 05:00:01	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xdbe457…
06-13 04:50:43	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x269f64…
06-13 04:50:42	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4138fc…
06-13 04:05:19	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfde459…
06-13 03:51:22	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xe484f2…
06-13 02:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781319000	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x0997bc…
06-13 02:50:54	btc updown 5m 1781319000	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f69b4…
06-13 02:49:27	btc updown 5m 1781319000	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xc751d2…
06-13 01:50:03	btc updown 5m 1781315400	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x2ba587…
06-13 01:44:48	btc updown 5m 1781315100	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6717c7…
06-13 01:44:39	btc updown 5m 1781315100	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb5a075…
06-12 21:59:19	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x7d744e…
06-12 21:00:01	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	127	59¢	$75	0xf5c9cb…
06-12 15:19:37	btc updown 5m 1781277300	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaed78b…
06-12 15:15:25	btc updown 5m 1781277300	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4d52ed…
06-12 15:15:22	btc updown 5m 1781277300	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3329ce…
06-12 15:13:15	btc updown 5m 1781277300	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa2be2e…
06-12 15:04:12	btc updown 5m 1781276400	Down	SELL	73	94¢	$69	0x259bd3…
06-12 15:00:18	btc updown 5m 1781276400	Down	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x71de2c…
06-12 15:00:01	btc updown 5m 1781276400	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xa7f2a0…
06-12 14:55:10	btc updown 5m 1781276100	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0fbed8…
06-12 14:52:57	btc updown 5m 1781276100	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6293d9…
06-12 12:59:28	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x50e708…
06-12 12:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x060d64…
06-12 12:29:07	btc updown 15m 1781267400	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x56697d…
06-12 10:59:33	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7c8574…
06-12 10:09:43	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x093c6c…
06-12 10:00:03	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb3b1a5…
06-12 09:58:25	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x27b3a9…
06-12 09:58:22	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf32509…
06-12 09:58:22	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe1a8f4…
06-12 09:47:31	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcf9ffc…
06-12 09:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x9660cc…
06-12 09:30:58	btc updown 15m 1781256600	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x732930…
06-12 09:30:27	btc updown 5m 1781256600	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x40d28b…
06-12 09:28:40	btc updown 5m 1781256600	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7e1e3d…
06-12 09:28:22	btc updown 15m 1781256600	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x08e529…
06-12 09:20:12	btc updown 5m 1781256000	Down	BUY	34	37¢	$12	0xaee51c…
06-12 09:20:01	btc updown 5m 1781256000	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xb1e587…
06-12 09:15:06	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x69f29a…
06-12 09:14:33	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1d942b…
06-12 09:02:31	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x106104…
06-12 08:41:55	btc updown 15m 1781253000	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x15d3ab…
06-12 08:38:22	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x97e30b…
06-12 08:34:52	btc updown 5m 1781253000	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xd4357b…
06-12 08:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781253000	Down	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xacd9d0…
06-12 08:26:04	btc updown 15m 1781253000	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x603740…
06-12 08:24:54	btc updown 5m 1781252700	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x94a202…
06-12 08:10:15	btc updown 5m 1781251800	Down	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x375ac0…
06-12 08:10:01	btc updown 5m 1781251800	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x9ed9b4…
06-12 08:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781251500	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb09cde…
06-12 08:04:42	btc updown 5m 1781251500	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1d49f3…
06-12 07:56:09	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb05083…
06-12 07:56:09	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xae3b55…
06-12 07:56:09	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x45c660…
06-12 06:58:22	btc updown 15m 1781246700	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x1edfd2…
06-12 06:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xde1fcd…
06-12 06:38:43	btc updown 15m 1781246700	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2c1f7a…
06-12 06:35:13	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x20ffd9…
06-12 06:33:33	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x344cc2…
06-12 04:34:28	btc updown 5m 1781238600	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x4a01f3…
06-12 04:30:03	btc updown 5m 1781238600	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x48a316…
06-12 04:24:36	btc updown 5m 1781238300	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaa165d…
06-12 02:09:18	btc updown 5m 1781230200	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x01de5e…
06-12 01:44:37	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x0b870c…