Oblong-Geography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

435

Trades

827

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-15 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Sports

96% 49% -$1,331

Other

2% 50% -$16

Politics

2% 50% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+50	$29	66¢	$33	+$4	09-14 04:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$490	500	0	+500	Spurs	+$10	05-13 02:07
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	1	$475	500	0	+500	Over	+$25	05-09 04:05
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$279	300	0	+300	Knicks	-$279	06-11 01:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$192	200	0	+200	No	+$8	05-26 14:07
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	1	$188	200	0	+200	Philadelphia Phillies	+$12	05-16 02:03
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$185	200	0	+200	Cincinnati Reds	+$15	05-16 02:04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	1	$178	200	0	+200	Yes	+$22	05-17 13:20
mlb nyy tb 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	4	$119	109	98	+11	Tampa Bay Rays	+$3	04-12 02:16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	5	$108	100	100	+0	New York Yankees	+$14	05-26 22:09
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$106	130	0	+130	Yes	+$24	06-11 03:46
mlb tex oak 2026 04 14	2	$98	68	67	+1	Athletics	+$37	04-15 04:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$98	200	200	+0	No	-$2	05-26 15:02
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$96	100	100	+0	Texas Rangers	-$44	05-20 20:01
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	1	$96	100	0	+100	Under	+$4	05-22 02:28
mlb sea sd 2026 04 14	2	$95	65	64	+1	San Diego Padres	+$34	04-15 04:49
mlb sf bal 2026 04 11	2	$95	65	64	+1	Baltimore Orioles	+$34	04-12 04:52
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$94	100	0	+100	Knicks	+$6	05-22 01:58
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5	1	$88	100	0	+100	Under	+$12	05-22 01:57
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5	3	$81	100	0	+100	Under	+$19	04-26 02:22
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	3	$80	205	0	+205	Chicago Cubs	-$80	04-29 01:58
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	1	$78	100	0	+100	Over	-$78	05-12 03:30
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	3	$72	213	0	+213	Chicago White Sox	+$41	04-29 00:59
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	5	$70	74	43	+32	Colorado Rockies	+$18	04-19 19:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$66	200	200	+0	No	-$18	09-16 10:46
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	5	$65	100	100	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$3	05-15 20:26
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5	2	$63	70	0	+70	Under	+$7	05-12 02:19
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$62	165	0	+165	San Diego Padres	-$62	04-22 02:19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$60	205	0	+205	Toronto Blue Jays	-$60	04-21 03:50
mlb kc cle 2026 04 07	2	$58	60	59	+1	Cleveland Guardians	-$1	04-07 09:20
nba lac sac 2026 04 05 total 231pt5	2	$57	100	0	+100	Over	-$57	04-05 16:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 13:41:20	Raptors vs. Knicks	Raptors	BUY	158	35¢	$55	0xad909a…
10-14 19:22:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0xaeb2d1…
09-16 10:48:24	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0xb0fb68…
09-16 10:47:51	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x3d2720…
09-16 10:47:39	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x3b2998…
09-16 10:46:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x6aee0c…
09-14 04:12:27	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x1003f7…
09-14 04:11:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x71fd14…
08-24 14:08:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x959a7f…
06-11 03:46:39	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	130	81¢	$106	0x91f2ab…
06-11 01:58:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0xca182e…
05-31 06:39:10	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x95912a…
05-31 05:50:01	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x7591d9…
05-29 04:55:29	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x51e41c…
05-29 04:53:40	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0xfcf877…
05-29 04:28:44	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x021479…
05-29 04:16:41	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x3371b5…
05-29 04:13:04	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x6ebe53…
05-29 04:11:49	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xd69460…
05-29 04:08:26	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x1ff856…
05-29 02:23:54	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xb04f11…
05-29 02:14:04	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xf1a850…
05-29 02:13:52	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x0144ec…
05-29 02:13:40	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xe60cf1…
05-28 23:34:49	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6b9924…
05-28 23:34:30	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x920f12…
05-28 20:59:50	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x8a147a…
05-28 20:57:14	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x05696b…
05-28 20:43:42	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xda9b8f…
05-28 19:39:55	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x86d612…
05-28 19:23:38	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x6f6de9…
05-28 18:01:21	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x03209d…
05-28 17:57:37	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xbe9a28…
05-28 17:33:39	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x878cb0…
05-28 17:26:16	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x984ca5…
05-28 17:24:36	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x398c9b…
05-28 16:59:07	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x24e324…
05-28 16:05:46	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x2b5281…
05-28 12:20:12	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb0e8f0…
05-28 11:47:40	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x07d4c2…
05-28 01:17:12	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xf7bdff…
05-27 15:45:20	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xf78162…
05-27 15:42:41	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3603ae…
05-27 15:42:18	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x60c79c…
05-27 15:40:59	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x4c9844…
05-27 08:43:56	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xb71a8c…
05-27 08:39:46	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xe404dc…
05-27 08:28:48	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xa8c026…
05-27 07:27:28	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0xeea532…
05-27 03:49:14	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x3e7d26…
05-27 03:20:46	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x4e692c…
05-27 02:10:53	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x08ab0a…
05-27 01:58:19	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	92	42¢	$39	0xde16d0…
05-27 01:51:35	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xa66fbf…
05-27 01:50:54	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x7e4032…
05-27 01:47:24	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xd2b2be…
05-27 00:46:30	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x418a36…
05-26 22:09:01	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	12	61¢	$8	0xbe447e…
05-26 18:09:15	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x17a75e…
05-26 17:08:31	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0xbb31a6…
05-26 17:01:14	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xc24b90…
05-26 15:02:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x3d7022…
05-26 14:51:12	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0xe7e810…
05-26 14:34:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6729b7…
05-26 14:07:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xbc66be…
05-26 13:15:32	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x988f06…
05-26 13:14:47	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	51	47¢	$24	0x50f327…
05-26 13:13:07	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xf1da2e…
05-26 13:12:51	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x6ef7dd…
05-26 13:12:16	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0x25de89…
05-26 13:01:16	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x9c6c38…
05-26 12:46:08	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ebd7e…
05-26 12:45:42	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	69	48¢	$33	0x2e1c6f…
05-26 12:16:21	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x61a01f…
05-26 06:11:04	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xe82ad5…
05-26 05:59:03	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xfc2326…
05-26 05:13:39	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x7fabab…
05-26 02:43:07	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x8d66ba…
05-26 02:42:48	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3799fe…
05-26 02:42:37	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe115f3…
05-25 12:37:43	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xac75f8…
05-25 11:32:55	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xff2ac1…
05-25 11:32:46	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xa409f4…
05-23 23:30:45	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xec373e…
05-23 23:18:29	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x556409…
05-23 19:29:47	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5bbb97…
05-23 16:02:40	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x1ce9e0…
05-23 15:07:05	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xd87f79…
05-23 15:06:05	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x0ec0a1…
05-23 15:05:04	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	29	46¢	$13	0x7f2a34…
05-23 14:53:50	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x50a90b…
05-23 08:02:21	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xc681aa…
05-23 06:25:50	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0xf58b1e…
05-23 05:59:00	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3938a5…
05-23 05:43:40	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x6bde57…
05-23 05:42:25	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc4197f…
05-23 05:38:20	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x128280…
05-23 05:38:06	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xc87496…
05-23 05:31:44	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3e5589…
05-23 05:31:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x61b7b3…