Usable-Waffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

Trades

417

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-03 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 58% $-17

Other

23% 0% $-0

Politics

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	5	$67	48	48	+0	Up	+$21	05-09 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	8	$50	78	20	+58	Down	$-30	05-09 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	9	$49	78	27	+51	Up	+$21	05-09 12:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	05-08 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$45	31	31	+0	Up	+$16	05-09 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	6	$41	70	6	+64	Down	$-35	05-09 13:28
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	2	$34	40	40	+0	REKONIX	$-0	05-05 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$32	61	0	+61	Up	$-32	05-09 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	8	$24	538	8	+530	Up	$-14	05-09 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Up	+$16	05-09 12:14
egy1 sms enp 2026 04 07 enp	5	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-07 18:35
nor aal ffk 2026 04 07 ffk	3	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-07 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$15	46	0	+46	Up	+$31	05-09 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	06-02 15:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$14	18	7	+11	Down	$-10	05-10 09:14
btc updown 5m 1774951800	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-31 10:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$11	2,506	0	+2,506	open	—	04-22 01:50
btc updown 5m 1774965600	5	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	03-31 14:00
btc updown 5m 1775030400	3	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-01 08:00
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$10	8	8	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 08:40
mls tor col 2026 04 04 tor	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-02 01:09
el2 har bri 2026 04 06 bri	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 16:10
btc updown 5m 1774967400	2	$9	19	0	+19	open	—	03-31 14:30
itsb man ent 2026 04 06 man	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 14:51
el2 bro shr 2026 04 07 shr	2	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-07 19:16
elc por oxf 2026 04 06 oxf	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 13:12
btc updown 5m 1774966500	3	$9	19	18	+1	open	—	03-31 14:16
rou1 fpp fcm 2026 04 06 fpp	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 16:10
itsb reg pes 2026 04 06 pes	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 14:48
bra2 pop csc 2026 04 01 pop	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-02 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 08:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2be334…
06-03 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x3c0ba4…
06-03 08:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x184b43…
06-03 07:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1b81ac…
06-03 07:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1215c5…
06-03 07:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x388cf3…
06-03 07:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x463af9…
06-03 07:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1ac77f…
06-03 06:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x30dd9b…
06-03 06:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x201f93…
06-03 06:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x3f4e9d…
06-03 06:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7aac9d…
06-02 17:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd45653…
06-02 16:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xaa2d77…
06-02 16:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xd2db7d…
06-02 16:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe45bdb…
06-02 15:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x606408…
06-02 15:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe807c7…
06-02 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x48767c…
06-02 15:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x2a72ae…
06-02 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x20c878…
06-02 15:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x51d992…
06-02 15:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcedd9f…
06-02 15:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x6a7cfc…
06-02 15:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x1e8ccd…
06-02 15:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8036ba…
06-02 15:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x4f7a69…
06-02 15:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x809f46…
06-02 12:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x36b58b…
06-02 12:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1f195c…
06-02 10:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x02b9f6…
06-02 10:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x21aa62…
06-02 10:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe3c002…
06-02 09:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x0419d6…
06-02 09:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x057730…
06-02 09:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$1	0x169c67…
06-02 09:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x20918c…
06-02 09:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc60f81…
06-02 08:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x5659a9…
06-02 08:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb68d72…
06-02 07:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xebc990…
06-02 07:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x55d769…
06-01 17:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9e8795…
06-01 17:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f9c3d…
06-01 17:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x2a7032…
06-01 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x00a394…
06-01 17:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x02502f…
06-01 14:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xddc517…
06-01 13:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xdbd6a0…
06-01 13:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xccb044…
06-01 13:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe34ec2…
06-01 13:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x33d8f3…
06-01 12:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xac5f03…
06-01 12:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb41fba…
06-01 12:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc27873…
06-01 12:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x67faef…
06-01 11:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x843687…
06-01 11:02:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x13629a…
06-01 10:43:52	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xf81734…
06-01 10:42:26	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb4d2d0…
06-01 07:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x37b693…
06-01 06:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5b2c99…
06-01 06:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdbb0da…
06-01 06:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x6f6cbb…
06-01 06:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x892d09…
06-01 06:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc97d8f…
06-01 06:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x03981b…
06-01 05:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x18398c…
06-01 03:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x79da11…
06-01 03:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1a5f2a…
06-01 03:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x77c222…
06-01 03:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4041f1…
06-01 02:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x940f3e…
06-01 02:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x32e07e…
06-01 02:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5ed040…
05-28 13:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf9e949…
05-28 13:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x90f100…
05-28 13:27:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6d29a4…
05-28 13:18:42	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb3f977…
05-28 13:18:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xb2b07e…
05-28 13:17:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x96bc42…
05-27 13:09:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x30e3f4…
05-27 13:09:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1def22…
05-27 13:08:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa97cba…
05-27 12:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x4dc924…
05-27 12:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x8bf325…
05-27 12:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x547449…
05-27 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xefc539…
05-27 12:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x67a0a5…
05-27 07:47:23	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x61d763…
05-27 07:36:48	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeb8369…
05-27 07:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x4b5daf…
05-27 07:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0f2547…
05-27 07:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x9730f9…
05-27 07:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa748b8…
05-27 07:27:14	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x5dd2c2…
05-27 07:25:46	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x967cd4…
05-27 07:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x72eb55…
05-27 07:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x55662f…
05-27 07:13:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6bea4d…