Whimsical-Relationship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-15 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

84% 71% +$10

Tech

7% 100% +$1

Politics

5% 29% -$43

Sports

4% 50% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$270	196	196	+0	Yes	+$70	01-31 17:39
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$210	113	113	+0	Yes	+$9	02-27 10:09
will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	8	$145	80	80	+0	Yes	+$4	01-30 02:03
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	1	$94	241	0	+241	Yes	-$94	03-07 19:27
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$76	69	35	+35	Yes	+$11	02-28 13:34
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	3	$73	38	38	+0	Yes	+$0	01-16 19:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$60	35	35	+0	No	+$8	05-29 11:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$43	27	27	+0	No	+$11	06-30 08:09
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	01-16 00:37
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$39	27	27	+0	No	-$9	07-15 20:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$36	556	0	+556	Yes	-$36	03-01 13:25
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	3	$22	27	27	+0	No	-$18	07-15 20:54
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	4	$18	25	0	+25	Yes	+$7	01-24 23:13
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	1	$10	50	0	+50	Yes	-$10	01-15 22:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$9	7	7	+0	No	+$1	06-30 08:10
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	01-25 01:10
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 22:27
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 22:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	06-30 08:10
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 22:28
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	1	$4	9	0	+9	Yes	+$5	02-20 19:27
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc womens cross country interval start free frida karlsson swe	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	02-12 19:05
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 19:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$0	01-17 00:44
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	2	$2	590	0	+590	Yes	-$2	01-17 01:13
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	01-29 18:14
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 20:56
New Half-Life game by June 30?	1	$2	0	7	-7	No	+$2	05-07 02:44
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	05-20 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:56:14	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x089b90…
07-15 20:54:29	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x9bcaff…
07-15 20:54:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	27	57¢	$15	0xbecb57…
07-15 20:51:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x219c12…
07-15 20:49:22	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf0adeb…
07-15 20:48:59	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xfd4ac7…
07-15 20:45:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc53163…
07-15 20:44:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xeada1c…
06-30 08:10:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb1de3c…
06-30 08:10:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0x296599…
06-30 08:09:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x486a07…
05-29 11:33:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9cb45d…
05-23 22:31:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xad81e2…
05-23 22:28:19	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x5a870b…
05-23 22:27:45	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x0448a2…
05-23 22:25:46	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x1cd6ab…
05-20 13:40:28	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb276cd…
05-20 13:40:08	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xed09a8…
05-20 13:28:27	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xc8c04e…
05-20 13:26:28	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf2a74a…
05-20 13:25:23	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0aefc2…
05-20 13:24:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xaa5caa…
05-19 17:10:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x92b9ac…
05-19 17:09:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x06ddd2…
05-19 17:02:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xecb204…
05-07 02:44:37	New Half-Life game by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xbfe251…
05-06 22:27:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x4e4ab6…
05-06 22:26:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xb76cdd…
05-06 22:20:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xb2be04…
03-07 19:27:45	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	No	BUY	241	39¢	$94	0x775fea…
03-01 13:25:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3dee96…
02-28 14:24:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0xce610e…
02-28 13:34:05	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	35	76¢	$26	0x514800…
02-27 10:09:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	113	97¢	$110	0xc345b7…
02-20 19:27:18	US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xea6fce…
02-12 19:05:11	2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc womens cross country interval start free frida karlsson swe	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8bab94…
01-31 18:03:02	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	113	89¢	$101	0xd1416e…
01-31 17:50:30	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x7c96eb…
01-31 17:39:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xd5906b…
01-30 02:03:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	93	59¢	$55	0x60ba1c…
01-30 02:03:26	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x04603e…
01-30 01:53:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0xf31193…
01-30 01:41:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	45	43¢	$19	0x58c221…
01-29 18:14:40	us strike on somalia by january 31 563	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x0bca3f…
01-27 14:32:17	us strike on somalia by january 31 563	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3504da…
01-25 21:06:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf3d3ab…
01-25 01:10:22	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x0c062c…
01-24 23:31:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xdafd23…
01-24 23:13:10	us strike on somalia by january 31 956	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x473a40…
01-24 13:21:52	us strike on somalia by january 31 956	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xbc8cdf…
01-24 11:30:36	us strike on somalia by january 31 956	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x573c72…
01-24 11:22:24	us strike on somalia by january 31 956	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xce0318…
01-17 01:13:36	will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	No	BUY	465	0¢	$1	0xfa2701…
01-17 01:13:20	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x3f5bd4…
01-17 01:12:38	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbf992b…
01-17 00:44:28	will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x8a140e…
01-17 00:44:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x859d69…
01-16 19:41:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x29349c…
01-16 19:27:54	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x3cae52…
01-16 19:19:30	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0xaac572…
01-16 19:19:00	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x11c15f…
01-16 19:06:10	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0x811b77…
01-16 19:04:48	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x1687d4…
01-16 19:03:58	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x14e5ef…
01-16 03:05:58	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x631fd6…
01-16 03:04:12	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x817e29…
01-16 00:38:08	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xe17fe9…
01-16 00:37:00	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc7dd3a…
01-16 00:30:38	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	16	86¢	$13	0xdf538c…
01-15 22:54:58	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x173218…
01-15 22:49:32	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x75afbf…