Excited-Need — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$400

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

220

Trades

818

lifetime

Volume

$53.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 09-02 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Sports

68% 40% +$478

Other

32% 30% -$879

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb mia stl 2026 06 26	23	$2.8K	2,981	2,605	+376	Miami Marlins	+$104	06-27 01:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	12	$2.5K	1,607	1,607	+0	open	—	09-02 12:04
mlb lad sd 2026 06 26	16	$1.4K	1,432	1,064	+368	San Diego Padres	+$100	06-27 02:01
mlb oak laa 2026 06 26	9	$1.1K	1,428	1,053	+375	Athletics	+$94	06-27 01:47
mlb ari stl 2026 06 25	9	$994	1,180	1,180	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$57	06-26 19:22
mlb tex tor 2026 06 27	24	$923	1,565	263	+1,302	Texas Rangers	+$382	06-27 21:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	26	$812	449	449	+0	open	—	09-02 12:04
mlb min hou 2026 06 29	8	$789	894	894	+0	Minnesota Twins	-$20	06-29 19:37
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	13	$709	589	589	+0	Los Angeles Angels	+$328	05-27 00:28
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	2	$684	482	482	+0	New York Yankees	+$279	05-24 21:57
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	3	$684	482	482	+0	Torino FC	+$279	05-24 21:49
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty	2	$662	625	625	+0	Dallas Wings	+$375	05-24 21:10
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins	2	$662	460	460	+0	Miami Marlins	+$257	05-24 21:58
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)	2	$658	542	542	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$297	05-27 03:53
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	2	$648	447	447	+0	Under	+$245	05-23 21:06
mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03 spread away 1pt5	16	$641	560	560	+0	Miami Marlins	+$283	06-03 19:54
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	2	$612	482	482	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$236	05-24 18:11
mlb oak chc 2026 06 04	2	$602	449	449	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$261	06-05 02:16
mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	4	$594	661	661	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$12	06-29 19:37
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?	4	$559	374	374	+0	No	+$185	05-24 16:26
mlb pit hou 2026 06 04	2	$544	370	370	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$189	06-05 02:53
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?	4	$532	342	342	+0	Yes	+$142	05-24 16:52
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	4	$519	1,027	0	+1,027	Argentina	-$10	07-12 16:24
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	4	$508	678	678	+0	No	-$7	07-12 16:19
mlb lad oak 2026 06 29	5	$499	486	486	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$4	06-29 19:39
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	16	$490	445	445	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$89	05-23 20:07
Will Scotland win on 2026-05-30?	2	$473	265	265	+0	Yes	+$55	05-30 14:22
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5	2	$468	357	357	+0	Under	+$239	05-24 17:09
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?	2	$461	330	330	+0	No	+$197	05-30 01:09
mlb mil pit 2026 07 10	3	$444	422	316	+106	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$188	07-12 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 12:04:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	798	77¢	$616	0xc42d9f…
09-02 12:04:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	110	39¢	$43	0x88cd1c…
09-02 12:04:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x652136…
08-27 11:27:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	63	94¢	$59	0x4a7ca5…
08-27 11:21:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x6c09f9…
08-27 10:03:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	56	94¢	$53	0xe2fc35…
08-27 09:56:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xa52369…
08-24 11:32:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0xba387a…
08-24 03:07:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	217	78¢	$170	0x00e4db…
08-23 22:13:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	780	78¢	$610	0xded6f8…
08-23 21:43:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	258	81¢	$208	0xf2b6a5…
08-23 21:43:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	260	80¢	$208	0xa2ab1a…
08-23 21:28:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	260	80¢	$208	0xfd0d9a…
08-23 13:42:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	260	80¢	$208	0xa26d0d…
08-23 13:42:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	259	80¢	$208	0x0bcdb9…
08-22 04:10:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0x3ac8f1…
08-22 04:09:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xa7639e…
08-21 05:09:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	61	39¢	$24	0x6cf82e…
08-20 20:36:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	29	81¢	$24	0x485b79…
08-20 20:08:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	59	39¢	$23	0xa8b98d…
08-20 19:05:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0xecc136…
08-20 18:15:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd25a16…
08-20 17:48:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xff2833…
08-20 17:34:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xd4f20b…
08-20 17:34:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xfd30ac…
08-20 17:34:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xdf9f52…
08-20 17:22:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x9ab01a…
08-17 03:32:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x98b2d9…
08-17 01:20:46	mlb stl cin 2026 05 24	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x7e8323…
08-15 13:03:18	wnba dal gsv 2026 08 17	Dallas Wings	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x076a84…
08-15 10:20:40	wnba dal gsv 2026 08 17	Dallas Wings	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xce563d…
08-15 10:20:39	wnba dal gsv 2026 08 17	Dallas Wings	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xcc694c…
08-15 10:20:39	wnba dal gsv 2026 08 17	Dallas Wings	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x428453…
08-15 10:20:36	wnba dal gsv 2026 08 17	Dallas Wings	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x569ee9…
08-12 18:29:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0xea82ea…
08-12 12:25:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x9c1963…
08-12 12:10:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	199	36¢	$72	0x5273e3…
08-11 13:53:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xb39581…
08-11 01:02:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xd63133…
08-11 01:02:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xc8eca0…
08-08 20:17:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	94	88¢	$83	0xabd8ca…
08-08 20:02:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	94	88¢	$83	0x70c9c8…
08-08 19:22:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	88¢	$68	0x6395a1…
08-08 18:50:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	112	87¢	$98	0x2354b7…
08-06 20:41:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0xe11600…
08-06 20:08:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0xb5d250…
08-06 17:53:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x68f4a7…
08-06 13:45:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x7cac29…
08-06 02:32:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x94af98…
08-03 23:31:53	wnba las atl 2026 08 03	Atlanta Dream	SELL	52	45¢	$23	0x8dbf8e…
08-03 23:31:11	wnba las atl 2026 08 03	Atlanta Dream	BUY	52	45¢	$23	0x279305…
08-03 23:27:11	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 03	Washington Nationals	SELL	52	69¢	$36	0xef4fbf…
08-03 23:26:21	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 03	Washington Nationals	BUY	52	70¢	$36	0xaf54e7…
08-03 23:25:47	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 03	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	53	49¢	$26	0x92c3ca…
08-03 23:24:42	mlb stl nyy 2026 08 03	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0xebc56f…
07-30 21:36:08	mlb min sea 2026 07 31	Minnesota Twins	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xba9748…
07-30 18:00:57	mlb stl tor 2026 08 02	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0x7866fa…
07-30 07:00:15	mlb min sea 2026 07 31	Minnesota Twins	SELL	80	34¢	$27	0xa226ac…
07-30 07:00:14	mlb min sea 2026 07 31	Minnesota Twins	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0xc4f7cd…
07-29 03:23:18	New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xed0bdd…
07-29 03:16:44	New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	SELL	318	36¢	$114	0x85254b…
07-29 03:16:08	New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x6bd93f…
07-29 03:16:08	New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4fe584…
07-29 03:16:08	New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	281	44¢	$124	0x264a7e…
07-28 01:32:33	mlb ari pit 2026 07 27	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xfd8c32…
07-28 01:28:27	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	61	74¢	$45	0x20a112…
07-28 01:28:06	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0xc083ef…
07-28 01:26:18	mlb ari pit 2026 07 27	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	55	41¢	$23	0x215119…
07-28 01:25:33	mlb ari pit 2026 07 27	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	58	39¢	$23	0x202aa3…
07-27 01:54:22	wnba tor min 2026 07 28	Toronto Tempo	BUY	257	10¢	$25	0xd62bd7…
07-26 18:14:36	mlb chc pit 2026 07 26	Chicago Cubs	SELL	245	24¢	$59	0x2c4a29…
07-26 18:14:06	mlb chc pit 2026 07 26	Chicago Cubs	BUY	245	25¢	$62	0xe9f2e4…
07-25 00:05:51	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	174	29¢	$51	0x8b76c0…
07-24 23:26:01	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	174	67¢	$117	0x6ad2cd…
07-23 04:04:40	mlb tb tor 2026 07 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	268	43¢	$115	0x3175e0…
07-22 20:56:01	mlb cin stl 2026 07 24	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	61	55¢	$34	0x4fcea3…
07-22 17:29:48	mlb col mil 2026 07 24	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0xb15557…
07-21 00:37:15	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs	Detroit Tigers	SELL	104	60¢	$62	0x321f26…
07-21 00:37:12	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs	Detroit Tigers	BUY	104	61¢	$63	0x84ee6b…
07-20 23:23:25	mlb tb tor 2026 07 20	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	102	59¢	$60	0xfa111d…
07-20 23:22:52	mlb tb tor 2026 07 20	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	102	60¢	$61	0xb6f3a3…
07-20 18:02:12	wnba chi nyl 2026 07 22	Chicago Sky	BUY	103	17¢	$18	0x19eb32…
07-20 05:50:52	mlb nym mil 2026 07 22	New York Mets	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x172033…
07-19 23:06:42	mlb det laa 2026 07 19	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x51c300…
07-19 21:53:07	wnba chi atl 2026 07 19	Atlanta Dream	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x412643…
07-19 21:45:01	mlb sf sea 2026 07 19	Seattle Mariners	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x488fa9…
07-19 21:43:52	mlb det laa 2026 07 19	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x945134…
07-19 16:13:36	wnba nyl dal 2026 07 20	Dallas Wings	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x523136…
07-19 16:11:37	mlb wsh col 2026 07 20	Colorado Rockies	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x50d0f3…
07-18 03:10:37	mlb sd kc 2026 07 17	San Diego Padres	BUY	259	47¢	$123	0xf702ea…
07-18 02:51:48	mlb mia mil 2026 07 17	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	248	67¢	$166	0xd8c37b…
07-18 02:51:45	mlb mia mil 2026 07 17	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2d1a5d…
07-18 02:51:45	mlb mia mil 2026 07 17	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x069d1e…
07-17 20:02:19	mlb nym phi 2026 07 19	New York Mets	BUY	153	45¢	$69	0xf81fba…
07-16 03:08:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xc1c474…
07-15 22:54:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	24¢	$6	0xf262a6…
07-14 20:59:20	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	287	43¢	$123	0xd729b5…
07-12 16:24:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	291	45¢	$131	0xdf953b…
07-12 16:22:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0xdac034…
07-12 16:20:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	341	30¢	$102	0x8da552…