Difficult-Buy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

112

Trades

869

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-02 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 48% $-15

Sports

11% 57% +$5

Other

5% 71% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	5	$25	27	27	+0	open	—	05-02 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-01 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	5	$18	18	14	+4	open	—	06-01 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$16	29	11	+18	open	—	05-02 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$15	18	12	+6	open	—	05-02 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	05-01 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	6	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	06-01 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	5	$14	20	12	+8	Down	+$2	05-06 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$14	16	16	+0	open	—	05-02 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	7	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$13	11	9	+2	open	—	05-02 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$13	12	10	+2	open	—	05-02 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$12	13	10	+3	open	—	06-01 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$11	12	10	+2	open	—	05-24 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	9	$11	11	9	+3	open	—	05-14 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$11	36	36	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$10	12	9	+2	open	—	05-03 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	3	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	5	$10	15	11	+3	Down	+$0	05-06 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	4	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	06-01 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	06-01 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$10	12	9	+3	open	—	06-01 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	3	$9	15	6	+9	Down	+$1	05-06 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$9	22	4	+18	open	—	05-04 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	7	$9	11	8	+2	open	—	05-25 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	5	$9	11	7	+4	open	—	06-02 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$9	14	8	+6	open	—	06-01 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 10:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3699f9…
06-02 10:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa65aa4…
06-02 10:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x1ff06b…
06-02 10:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcfeb0e…
06-02 10:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x2dd676…
06-02 10:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xef0317…
06-02 09:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xcf9da0…
06-02 09:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x200e02…
06-02 09:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb9750a…
06-02 09:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8cc839…
06-02 09:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x7f2021…
06-02 09:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5badb4…
06-02 09:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xceea95…
06-02 09:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x17ffe5…
06-02 09:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe37d19…
06-02 01:27:46	Birmingham: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Aleksandar Vukic	Jack Pinnington Jones	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa13730…
06-02 01:25:38	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4e5e84…
06-01 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc826d1…
06-01 22:25:56	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x240520…
06-01 22:24:44	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5e368f…
06-01 22:22:59	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x311739…
06-01 22:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x61ac4f…
06-01 20:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcd2caf…
06-01 20:02:44	Birmingham: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Aleksandar Vukic	Jack Pinnington Jones	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x952a7e…
06-01 17:48:07	Heilbronn: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3c8c74…
06-01 06:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x698682…
06-01 06:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xe62e09…
06-01 06:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x971d26…
06-01 06:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x573948…
06-01 06:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9cc07b…
06-01 04:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbd9866…
06-01 04:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x268331…
06-01 04:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8f9473…
06-01 03:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x925386…
06-01 03:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xe4b919…
06-01 03:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa3a9d2…
06-01 03:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xe85b8c…
06-01 03:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf344db…
06-01 03:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xd0bd50…
06-01 03:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3caf79…
06-01 03:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb6dcd2…
06-01 02:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x506a3f…
06-01 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3d85df…
06-01 02:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x501c23…
06-01 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4d4494…
06-01 02:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xd4459f…
06-01 02:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5fbe2f…
06-01 02:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xdd46d8…
06-01 02:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x741e4b…
06-01 02:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x3f57a0…
06-01 02:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x536575…
06-01 02:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x0b9c25…
06-01 02:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf4c0a5…
06-01 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa6758b…
06-01 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	91¢	$9	0x680404…
06-01 01:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc77f87…
06-01 01:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xeb1479…
06-01 01:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd2231c…
06-01 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$8	0xfe58cc…
06-01 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcb6f7f…
06-01 01:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xbe16ba…
06-01 01:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe713d0…
06-01 01:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xf7a7cb…
06-01 01:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x47e410…
05-31 10:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5adff5…
05-31 10:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd18129…
05-31 10:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x870a37…
05-31 10:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcbb500…
05-31 10:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xa0c185…
05-31 10:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb9bc6b…
05-31 09:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5e9492…
05-30 22:52:09	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Minnesota Twins	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x1ce62e…
05-30 22:39:07	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1b9245…
05-30 22:37:55	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x08989e…
05-30 22:18:23	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd8c3b0…
05-26 05:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x03ac64…
05-26 04:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x260997…
05-26 04:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x789dc2…
05-26 04:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa07d55…
05-26 04:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x983cf5…
05-26 04:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x515e83…
05-26 04:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x090802…
05-26 04:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x2eb073…
05-26 04:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3d04f2…
05-26 04:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xead32f…
05-26 04:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf25427…
05-26 02:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xc18107…
05-26 02:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x901f6e…
05-26 02:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xbbad87…
05-26 02:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8f2da2…
05-26 02:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x18c286…
05-26 02:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xac1401…
05-26 01:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xf26556…
05-25 22:19:01	Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x957982…
05-25 22:15:11	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3e9205…
05-25 22:11:29	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa9c52c…
05-25 21:27:37	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9335b5…
05-25 21:26:20	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x19664d…
05-25 08:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x672b04…
05-25 08:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x076b9a…