Phony-Democracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 43% -$24

Other

19% 100% +$18

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 28?	1	$126	130	0	+130	Yes	+$3	06-28 02:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28?	1	$126	127	0	+127	No	+$1	05-27 22:39
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 24	1	$122	125	0	+125	No	+$3	03-24 05:10
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 100 119	3	$114	56,818	56,818	+0	No	+$0	02-28 00:48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	1	$114	115	0	+115	No	+$1	05-07 22:51
solana above 70 on august 4 2026	1	$113	115	0	+115	Yes	+$2	08-03 23:07
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 28	2	$103	104	0	+104	No	+$1	03-28 10:44
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC	2	$89	92	0	+92	Up	+$2	04-11 18:54
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 23	2	$51	54	0	+54	No	+$4	01-23 11:53
solana up or down on january 22	2	$49	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	01-22 06:09
cbb lamon applst 2026 01 24	2	$48	51	0	+51	Appalachian State Mountaineers	+$3	01-24 03:06
will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 18	1	$46	48	0	+48	No	+$2	01-18 01:51
cbb utsa ntx 2026 01 21	2	$43	48	0	+48	North Texas Mean Green	+$5	01-21 07:20
cbb minnst ill 2026 01 17	2	$42	46	0	+46	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$4	01-16 22:55
cbb sjst nevada 2026 01 20	2	$42	44	0	+44	Nevada Wolf Pack	+$3	01-20 04:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 19	1	$39	42	0	+42	Yes	+$2	01-19 01:15
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on january 16	2	$39	41	0	+41	No	+$2	01-16 15:49
ethereum above 3000 on january 13	2	$33	36	0	+36	Yes	+$3	01-12 21:15
ethereum above 3000 on january 9	1	$33	36	0	+36	Yes	+$3	01-08 21:06
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-31 20:00 UTC	1	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	03-31 23:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 10	2	$32	34	0	+34	No	+$2	01-10 02:25
ethereum above 3500 on january 15	2	$32	34	0	+34	No	+$2	01-14 21:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 14	1	$32	35	0	+35	No	+$3	01-13 21:32
bitcoin above 92k on january 11	2	$32	34	0	+34	No	+$2	01-10 21:31
xrp above 2 on january 12	2	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	01-11 19:12
bnb up or down on april 19 2026	1	$22	26	0	+26	Down	+$3	04-19 03:20
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 27	1	$5	122	0	+122	No	-$5	03-27 10:56
bitcoin above 92k on january 2	1	$5	280	0	+280	No	-$5	01-02 08:58
solana above 130 on january 4	1	$5	277	0	+277	Yes	-$5	01-04 09:28
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?	1	$4	199	0	+199	No	-$4	05-31 22:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 00:24:58	solana above 80 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$2	0x2c7136…
08-03 23:07:08	solana above 70 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$113	0xf32d6e…
06-28 02:09:10	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 28?	Yes	BUY	130	98¢	$126	0xda6fbf…
05-31 22:18:45	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	199	2¢	$4	0x0c4195…
05-27 22:39:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x871e54…
05-25 00:09:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?	No	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0xc50a05…
05-07 22:51:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x3b0255…
04-19 03:20:58	bnb up or down on april 19 2026	Down	BUY	26	87¢	$22	0x46af6e…
04-11 18:54:53	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x375e1b…
04-11 18:53:07	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xae2f86…
03-31 23:42:17	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x1c81e5…
03-28 10:44:51	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 28	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x1eb8df…
03-28 10:24:25	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 28	No	BUY	104	99¢	$102	0x4266e2…
03-27 10:56:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 27	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x93fc3f…
03-25 06:18:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x5d96eb…
03-24 05:10:13	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 24	No	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0xe8cd3a…
03-21 01:29:37	will xrp reach 1pt55 on march 20	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$3	0x14dbd7…
03-17 19:35:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x621403…
02-28 00:48:45	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 100 119	Yes	SELL	53,718	0¢	$54	0xfcf195…
02-28 00:48:11	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 100 119	Yes	SELL	3,100	0¢	$3	0x5b7cd4…
02-28 00:47:35	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 100 119	Yes	BUY	56,818	0¢	$57	0xfdb9e4…
01-26 06:35:34	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on january 26	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0xb18d96…
01-24 03:06:04	cbb lamon applst 2026 01 24	Appalachian State Mountaineers	BUY	48	94¢	$46	0x2dda7d…
01-24 03:01:02	cbb lamon applst 2026 01 24	Appalachian State Mountaineers	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5c29d1…
01-23 22:37:30	bitcoin up or down january 23 5pm et	Down	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0x00dbac…
01-23 11:53:02	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 23	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xf47d8b…
01-23 11:51:52	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 23	No	BUY	54	93¢	$51	0x550d33…
01-23 10:32:14	bitcoin above 86k on january 23	No	BUY	213	1¢	$2	0x02be2a…
01-22 06:09:08	solana up or down on january 22	Up	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x79997d…
01-22 06:08:56	solana up or down on january 22	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xe189f6…
01-21 07:20:10	cbb utsa ntx 2026 01 21	North Texas Mean Green	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x84e26e…
01-21 07:17:28	cbb utsa ntx 2026 01 21	North Texas Mean Green	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0xe18dc7…
01-20 04:37:26	cbb sjst nevada 2026 01 20	Nevada Wolf Pack	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xe90b0e…
01-20 04:36:56	cbb sjst nevada 2026 01 20	Nevada Wolf Pack	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x7b6a1f…
01-19 01:15:52	bitcoin above 90k on january 19	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$39	0x8074b4…
01-19 00:47:20	will the price of solana be between 140 150 on january 19	Yes	BUY	112	3¢	$3	0x358c89…
01-18 23:36:42	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	Yes	BUY	242	1¢	$1	0xb1a9e5…
01-18 01:51:20	will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 18	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xefccd9…
01-16 22:55:58	cbb minnst ill 2026 01 17	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb470b1…
01-16 22:55:38	cbb minnst ill 2026 01 17	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x38ae1b…
01-16 15:49:48	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on january 16	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xf77c64…
01-16 09:08:12	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on january 16	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x7292c5…
01-15 15:16:06	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on january 15	Yes	BUY	260	0¢	$1	0xd68fa3…
01-14 21:45:18	ethereum above 3500 on january 15	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xd2bd16…
01-14 21:45:12	ethereum above 3500 on january 15	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xb340cb…
01-14 06:49:08	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	Yes	BUY	263	1¢	$3	0xeddef4…
01-13 21:32:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 14	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xc01419…
01-12 21:15:29	ethereum above 3000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xf06e7a…
01-12 21:15:15	ethereum above 3000 on january 13	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x327ab6…
01-12 05:07:20	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on january 12	Yes	BUY	284	1¢	$2	0x886e5e…
01-12 04:27:48	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-12 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	278	1¢	$2	0x2d92e9…
01-11 19:12:56	xrp above 2 on january 12	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x475ce0…
01-11 19:11:48	xrp above 2 on january 12	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xa7beab…
01-11 11:44:32	will the price of xrp be between 2pt20 2pt30 on january 11	Yes	BUY	281	1¢	$2	0x78273d…
01-11 05:15:18	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 11	Yes	BUY	293	0¢	$1	0xc7e810…
01-10 21:31:10	bitcoin above 92k on january 11	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x66d313…
01-10 21:31:02	bitcoin above 92k on january 11	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x12a069…
01-10 02:25:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 10	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x331976…
01-10 02:25:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 10	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x0b430b…
01-08 21:06:32	ethereum above 3000 on january 9	Yes	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x9b2ff3…
01-08 15:34:46	bitcoin above 88k on january 8	No	BUY	280	1¢	$2	0xe564fa…
01-08 09:18:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 8	Yes	BUY	275	1¢	$2	0xe14019…
01-05 09:39:17	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on january 5	Yes	BUY	245	1¢	$1	0x68c497…
01-04 19:19:49	will ethereum reach 3400 december 29 january 4	Yes	BUY	282	1¢	$2	0x4a3924…
01-04 09:28:35	solana above 130 on january 4	No	BUY	277	2¢	$5	0x582ba9…
01-02 08:58:15	bitcoin above 92k on january 2	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$5	0xac3ad6…
01-02 05:20:15	xrp above 1pt7 on january 2	No	BUY	265	1¢	$2	0xf83434…
01-01 10:30:07	ethereum above 3100 on january 1	Yes	BUY	279	1¢	$2	0x270ac1…