Frightened-Fawn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

531

Trades

1,397

lifetime

Volume

$6.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-17 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 91% $-117

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776855600	4	$334	413	0	+413	open	—	04-22 11:14
btc updown 15m 1773873000	119	$129	260	247	+13	open	—	03-18 22:42
btc updown 15m 1773869400	85	$108	165	155	+10	open	—	03-18 21:41
btc updown 15m 1773776700	128	$97	295	272	+23	open	—	03-17 19:56
btc updown 15m 1776870900	3	$67	75	0	+75	open	—	04-22 15:29
btc updown 15m 1776546900	2	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	04-18 21:29
btc updown 15m 1776546000	2	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-18 21:13
btc updown 15m 1776634200	2	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-19 21:45
btc updown 15m 1776630600	2	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	04-19 20:41
btc updown 15m 1776867300	2	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 14:29
btc updown 15m 1776515400	2	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-18 12:44
btc updown 15m 1776854700	2	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 10:59
btc updown 15m 1776784500	2	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	04-21 15:26
btc updown 15m 1776852900	2	$22	26	0	+26	open	—	04-22 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$22	20	10	+10	Down	$-6	05-12 19:54
btc updown 15m 1776425400	2	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	04-17 11:42
btc updown 15m 1776797100	2	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	04-21 18:57
btc updown 15m 1776789900	2	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	04-21 16:58
btc updown 15m 1776808800	2	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	04-21 22:14
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	02-17 21:47
btc updown 15m 1776843900	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 07:59
btc updown 15m 1776786300	2	$19	26	0	+26	open	—	04-21 15:56
btc updown 15m 1776872700	2	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	04-22 16:00
btc updown 15m 1773770400	6	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	03-17 18:12
lal vil elc 2026 03 08 vil	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-08 16:52
spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-09 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 14:30
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	03-09 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 19:45:35	eth updown 5m 1781725200	Down	BUY	869	1¢	$9	0x5403aa…
06-16 17:05:19	btc updown 5m 1781629200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb58753…
06-16 09:30:22	eth updown 5m 1781601900	Up	BUY	380	1¢	$4	0x6e2798…
05-13 16:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6ffc30…
05-13 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5fa2b3…
05-13 15:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5f7fb…
05-13 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbc87e7…
05-13 15:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x004ff2…
05-13 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$0	0xe3355a…
05-13 15:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x088373…
05-13 15:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xfcdc5e…
05-13 15:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x98f3d3…
05-13 15:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x807e34…
05-13 14:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x474573…
05-13 14:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x21bd8e…
05-13 14:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x608284…
05-13 14:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf138ba…
05-13 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xfd72e8…
05-13 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x0958af…
05-13 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x334b06…
05-13 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x80075d…
05-13 13:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x406d21…
05-13 13:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x10d4ef…
05-13 13:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x99b38f…
05-13 13:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x43dc57…
05-13 13:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3285cd…
05-13 12:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x237bca…
05-13 12:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb7c04a…
05-13 12:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x144a2a…
05-13 12:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f8eb2…
05-13 12:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa1b048…
05-13 12:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a1c61…
05-13 12:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7644d5…
05-13 11:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeacc91…
05-13 11:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x921d04…
05-13 11:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x319383…
05-13 11:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x0064f4…
05-13 10:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe0a18b…
05-13 10:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x659789…
05-13 10:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x47e92b…
05-13 10:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x085fa1…
05-13 10:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7f4caa…
05-13 10:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x43aabe…
05-13 10:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa30ff2…
05-13 09:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xc9923b…
05-13 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x9a6806…
05-13 09:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x97f185…
05-13 09:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0cc1e0…
05-13 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc48ec…
05-13 09:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8fc66e…
05-13 09:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64465f…
05-13 09:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xcad209…
05-13 09:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x969a49…
05-13 09:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e1e72…
05-13 08:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xedf9db…
05-13 08:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x70e0ea…
05-13 08:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3177af…
05-13 08:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5cd90d…
05-13 08:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x21a281…
05-13 07:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb63dcc…
05-13 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7c2811…
05-13 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x30c771…
05-13 07:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd439b3…
05-13 07:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf128d2…
05-13 07:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe69486…
05-13 07:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x95337f…
05-13 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x341f49…
05-13 06:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0d3c2c…
05-13 06:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x513adc…
05-13 06:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x999dab…
05-13 06:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2e6af4…
05-13 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x5407d2…
05-13 06:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x76dc78…
05-13 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x7bfe84…
05-13 06:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95e85b…
05-13 06:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x1a99d1…
05-13 06:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9660a9…
05-13 05:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xef6d81…
05-13 05:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x34fc3c…
05-13 05:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbb450a…
05-13 05:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xea7c6a…
05-13 05:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd7d9d9…
05-13 05:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbb4e4e…
05-13 04:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdffaf4…
05-13 04:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0aef85…
05-13 04:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x373838…
05-13 04:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x772258…
05-13 04:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf60a51…
05-13 04:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x24da0a…
05-13 04:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x214eb5…
05-13 04:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xee67e9…
05-13 04:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x511360…
05-13 03:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb72b2e…
05-13 03:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88885e…
05-13 03:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6f7e61…
05-13 03:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0e8119…
05-13 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x455e2b…
05-13 03:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x18bab2…
05-13 03:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc88e16…
05-13 02:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe08374…