Failing-Kingfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$780

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

744

Trades

1,119

lifetime

Volume

$4.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 09-05 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$780

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$400	769	0	+769	Up	-$400	05-25 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET	23	$332	214	214	-0	Up	+$92	06-15 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$206	217	103	+114	Up	+$113	05-26 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$204	392	0	+392	Up	-$204	05-25 09:45
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7am et	5	$152	98	98	+0	Up	+$42	06-17 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$100	192	0	+192	Up	-$100	05-25 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$64	48	48	+0	Down	+$31	05-25 17:14
bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 3pm et	6	$64	46	46	+0	Up	+$12	06-22 19:50
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 2pm et	2	$57	38	38	+0	Up	+$17	06-06 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET	10	$55	98	0	+98	Down	-$55	06-15 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Down	-$50	05-26 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$50	96	0	+96	Up	-$50	05-25 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	8	$50	96	0	+96	Down	-$50	05-26 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	9	$50	96	0	+96	Down	+$46	05-30 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$48	51	24	+27	Up	+$27	05-25 23:07
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 4pm et	2	$39	38	38	+0	Up	-$2	06-06 20:10
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11am et	3	$33	21	21	+0	Up	+$9	06-16 15:59
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 8am et	3	$33	21	21	+0	Up	+$9	06-18 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$33	36	36	+0	Down	-$4	06-02 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$8	06-15 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	3	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	06-01 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	06-02 09:43
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12pm et	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	06-09 16:57
bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 5pm et	1	$26	46	0	+46	Down	-$26	06-15 21:00
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 6am et	1	$26	46	0	+46	Down	-$26	06-17 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$25	48	0	+48	Down	-$25	05-26 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$25	48	0	+48	Up	+$23	05-25 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$25	48	0	+48	Down	-$25	05-26 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$25	48	0	+48	Up	+$23	05-31 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$25	48	0	+48	Down	-$25	05-26 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 13:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa7389a…
09-05 12:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x11cda3…
09-05 12:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x40ce97…
09-05 12:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb7f9c9…
09-05 12:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x943515…
09-05 12:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xd52a5d…
09-05 12:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75a91b…
09-05 11:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x26a0ce…
09-05 11:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x947131…
09-05 11:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x41a38a…
09-05 11:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x718a9f…
09-05 11:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xc8f7eb…
09-05 11:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ac3ce…
09-05 10:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xff04a1…
09-05 10:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7404ef…
09-05 10:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x540633…
09-05 10:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb45c2b…
09-05 09:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x055ab8…
09-05 09:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda5bff…
09-05 09:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x1cd3c8…
09-05 09:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x647abd…
09-05 09:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x6e0205…
09-05 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x04d221…
09-05 09:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x28014f…
09-05 09:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-05 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe6b083…
09-05 08:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x2b4581…
09-05 08:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7e7102…
09-05 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x6969de…
09-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x008941…
09-05 08:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7dca1a…
09-05 08:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd98b6c…
09-05 08:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xffb964…
09-05 06:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xdf2e90…
09-05 06:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8f4539…
09-05 06:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x3324f3…
09-05 06:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x555e69…
09-05 05:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x48b338…
09-05 05:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x558c1d…
09-05 05:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfd3fa3…
09-05 05:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc30f92…
09-05 05:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x20764e…
09-05 05:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x17536e…
09-05 05:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcd62b3…
09-05 05:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x5b9e0b…
09-05 05:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8f6037…
09-05 04:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x486e15…
09-05 04:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x619aff…
09-05 04:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xf584d0…
09-05 04:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe33f89…
09-05 04:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd6439b…
09-05 04:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x818ee2…
09-05 04:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x2d3382…
09-05 04:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6def93…
09-04 18:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x0446e1…
09-04 18:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcce75e…
09-04 17:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e6051…
09-04 14:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0bf418…
09-04 14:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x24a1e8…
09-04 13:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x27b935…
09-04 13:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x073552…
09-04 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x937255…
09-04 13:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa5c1d3…
09-04 13:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc1f000…
09-04 13:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe73556…
09-04 13:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x862c03…
09-04 13:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1dad22…
09-04 12:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x050d06…
09-04 12:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbe5782…
09-04 12:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x265707…
09-04 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd82bee…
09-04 11:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xd907a0…
09-04 11:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcb877d…
09-04 10:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x109031…
09-04 09:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd5d6dc…
09-04 09:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x5c664c…
09-04 09:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0977ff…
09-04 09:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x06cdb1…
09-04 09:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd3f02a…
09-04 08:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x48657f…
09-04 08:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x63b0f0…
09-03 06:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcfd7dc…
09-03 06:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x9e217a…
09-03 06:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff2624…
09-01 09:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa0c07d…
09-01 09:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xca2c5f…
09-01 09:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x9f7bc4…
09-01 09:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeaa934…
09-01 09:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xba4a51…
09-01 09:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x69ff01…
09-01 08:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x2e6b41…
09-01 08:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6bd19f…
09-01 08:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbf42ce…
09-01 08:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x828dac…
09-01 08:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x144909…
09-01 08:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7111b9…
09-01 08:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x336c22…
09-01 08:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf90d9a…
09-01 08:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc79481…
09-01 08:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x60f54b…
09-01 08:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x539ce9…