Fortunate-Larch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,329

lifetime

Volume

$6.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-19 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$90	135	+135	open	—	04-29 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$77	121	+121	open	—	04-29 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$77	118	+118	open	—	04-29 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$69	102	+102	open	—	04-29 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$69	113	+113	open	—	04-29 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$67	100	+100	open	—	04-29 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$64	107	+107	open	—	04-29 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$51	76	+76	open	—	04-28 20:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$48	70	+70	open	—	04-28 01:09
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$45	67	+67	open	—	04-28 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$43	62	+62	open	—	04-27 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$41	61	+61	open	—	04-28 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$40	61	+61	open	—	04-28 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$39	58	+58	open	—	04-28 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$39	58	+58	open	—	04-28 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$39	61	+61	open	—	04-28 05:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$39	58	+58	open	—	04-27 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$38	58	+58	open	—	04-28 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$37	53	+53	open	—	04-27 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$37	56	+56	open	—	04-29 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$37	59	+59	open	—	04-29 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$37	61	+61	open	—	04-29 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$37	78	+78	open	—	04-28 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$36	53	+53	open	—	04-28 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$36	55	+55	open	—	04-28 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$35	59	+59	open	—	04-27 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$35	59	+59	open	—	04-28 07:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$35	50	+50	open	—	04-27 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$34	52	+52	open	—	04-27 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$34	62	+62	open	—	04-28 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 11:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x03c80b…
05-19 11:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x37ebe4…
05-19 11:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5872e5…
05-19 11:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc0923e…
05-19 11:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe43bb7…
05-19 11:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xb8a72c…
05-19 11:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb02d62…
05-19 10:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbe8470…
05-19 10:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xb80b3c…
05-19 10:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x00e041…
05-18 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x07b73e…
05-18 21:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca5d5c…
05-18 21:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb8fd0e…
05-18 21:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x67b8cb…
05-18 21:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0e2b03…
05-18 21:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x01bc5f…
05-18 21:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x791bde…
05-18 21:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x6724df…
05-18 21:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9375f8…
05-18 21:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x6dc5fe…
05-18 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x95ff54…
05-18 21:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x57efdd…
05-18 21:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4e8561…
05-18 21:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x7b47f5…
05-18 21:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8afeca…
05-18 20:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xae4f2d…
05-18 20:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa3e769…
05-18 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa0a4fc…
05-18 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xd8d50c…
05-18 20:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x823e43…
05-18 20:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xde8995…
05-18 20:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x176c27…
05-18 20:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd9ea98…
05-18 20:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdac741…
05-18 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd2256e…
05-18 19:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x327668…
05-18 19:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x67534c…
05-18 19:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd4a3e1…
05-18 19:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe89a9b…
05-18 19:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x69160a…
05-18 19:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x14829b…
05-18 19:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfe5e01…
05-18 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa63d9c…
05-18 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x531216…
05-18 19:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x733961…
05-18 19:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x073d94…
05-18 19:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x316fcf…
05-18 18:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x9f6f8c…
05-18 18:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x12bf2c…
05-18 18:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x39de67…
05-18 18:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcb500b…
05-18 18:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x506931…
05-18 18:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x007ed1…
05-18 18:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5d973e…
05-18 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xc6f4bd…
05-18 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4a4438…
05-18 18:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3b2bad…
05-18 17:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x275e31…
05-18 17:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6804c7…
05-18 17:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x80df78…
05-18 17:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xae8772…
05-18 17:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x11e8e8…
05-18 17:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x804a05…
05-18 17:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x00b2d4…
05-18 17:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd8fe31…
05-18 17:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xced4b9…
05-18 16:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0x5acc7e…
05-18 16:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb6b17b…
05-18 16:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x750637…
05-18 16:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x5cad92…
05-18 16:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x956ffc…
05-18 16:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1de4d4…
05-18 16:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb74aca…
05-18 16:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd375b8…
05-18 16:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2ac701…
05-18 16:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x24f605…
05-18 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6c1391…
05-18 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x56f64c…
05-18 15:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1f47f7…
05-18 15:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x521440…
05-18 15:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe0619a…
05-18 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x028782…
05-18 14:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdefbef…
05-18 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xb90332…
05-18 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x878de4…
05-18 14:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6b0c0a…
05-18 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2186fc…
05-18 14:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc8bd97…
05-18 14:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf82a1c…
05-18 14:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x9d438b…
05-18 14:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xed5b86…
05-18 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb89489…
05-18 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe18d77…
05-18 13:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x92900f…
05-18 13:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x0aedcf…
05-18 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2f53d5…
05-18 13:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x38a3f0…
05-18 13:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x14af83…
05-18 13:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x8a86f8…
05-18 13:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8107bf…