Glaring-Admission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

620

lifetime

Volume

$30.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-12 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 46% $-90

Other

24% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$3.6K	2,658	2,658	+0	open	—	01-29 04:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$1.3K	1,417	1,417	+0	open	—	03-07 08:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$1.2K	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	01-25 15:26
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	2	$988	1,113	1,113	+0	open	—	01-26 23:34
spx opens up or down on january 27 2026	10	$974	621	621	+0	open	—	01-27 09:03
btc updown 5m 1773117600	1	$414	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	03-10 04:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$414	247	247	+0	open	—	03-03 11:45
btc updown 5m 1773117300	1	$406	414	0	+414	open	—	03-10 04:38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	15	$389	487	487	+0	open	—	02-25 13:42
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$377	288	288	+0	open	—	02-10 00:49
btc updown 5m 1773116700	1	$366	406	0	+406	open	—	03-10 04:29
btc updown 5m 1773116400	1	$362	366	0	+366	open	—	03-10 04:24
btc updown 5m 1773116100	1	$359	362	0	+362	open	—	03-10 04:19
btc updown 5m 1773115800	1	$351	359	0	+359	open	—	03-10 04:14
btc updown 5m 1773115200	1	$346	351	0	+351	open	—	03-10 04:03
btc updown 5m 1773114600	1	$339	346	0	+346	open	—	03-10 03:53
btc updown 15m 1773104400	1	$332	339	0	+339	open	—	03-10 01:14
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	2	$328	631	0	+631	open	—	01-29 14:32
btc updown 5m 1773104400	1	$308	333	0	+333	open	—	03-10 01:04
btc updown 15m 1773103500	1	$305	308	0	+308	open	—	03-10 00:59
btc updown 5m 1773103500	1	$302	305	0	+305	open	—	03-10 00:49
btc updown 15m 1773102600	1	$299	302	0	+302	open	—	03-10 00:42
btc updown 5m 1773102600	1	$293	299	0	+299	open	—	03-10 00:34
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	19	$290	4,217	4,217	+0	open	—	02-02 06:52
eth updown 15m 1776038400	21	$287	430	409	+22	open	—	04-13 00:11
btc updown 5m 1773102000	1	$285	293	0	+293	open	—	03-10 00:24
btc updown 5m 1773069300	1	$282	285	0	+285	open	—	03-09 15:19
btc updown 5m 1773064800	1	$277	282	0	+282	open	—	03-09 14:03
eth updown 15m 1775959200	14	$264	186	179	+7	open	—	04-12 02:12
btc updown 5m 1773063900	1	$258	277	0	+277	open	—	03-09 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:55:25	btc updown 15m 1786545900	Up	SELL	163	4¢	$7	0x736cae…
08-12 14:54:27	btc updown 15m 1786545900	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x1ddc95…
08-12 14:50:03	btc updown 15m 1786545900	Up	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0x16ff36…
08-12 14:41:06	btc updown 15m 1786545000	Down	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xeb37f2…
08-12 14:41:06	btc updown 15m 1786545000	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x5cffc5…
08-12 14:41:04	btc updown 15m 1786545000	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x5fe743…
08-12 14:41:03	btc updown 15m 1786545000	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x09d0d1…
08-12 14:40:24	btc updown 15m 1786545000	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf45caa…
08-12 14:40:21	btc updown 15m 1786545000	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xdf3372…
08-12 14:40:19	btc updown 15m 1786545000	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x842c73…
08-12 14:38:25	btc updown 15m 1786545000	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x78d408…
08-10 12:35:03	btc updown 15m 1786365000	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xe264b8…
08-10 12:35:03	btc updown 15m 1786365000	Down	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0xcc7b6c…
08-10 12:35:03	btc updown 15m 1786365000	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0x62ed23…
08-10 12:35:01	btc updown 15m 1786365000	Down	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xc54a97…
08-10 12:35:01	btc updown 15m 1786365000	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x36d902…
08-10 12:31:19	btc updown 15m 1786365000	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x2c79c4…
08-10 12:20:39	btc updown 15m 1786364100	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4008c4…
08-10 12:20:37	btc updown 15m 1786364100	Down	SELL	68	87¢	$59	0x8a35ee…
08-10 12:16:24	btc updown 15m 1786364100	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x9eace5…
08-09 13:53:36	btc updown 15m 1786283100	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x210cd8…
08-09 13:48:49	btc updown 15m 1786283100	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x803262…
07-26 12:55:43	eth updown 15m 1785069900	Up	SELL	64	18¢	$11	0xec9055…
07-26 12:53:19	eth updown 15m 1785069900	Up	SELL	231	45¢	$104	0x25e689…
07-26 12:48:34	eth updown 15m 1785069900	Up	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0x20e22c…
07-18 13:41:03	btc updown 15m 1784381400	Up	SELL	154	70¢	$107	0x96b7c5…
07-18 13:33:28	btc updown 15m 1784381400	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xc5e430…
07-18 13:31:24	btc updown 15m 1784381400	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x04c373…
07-18 13:00:51	btc updown 15m 1784379600	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x25a150…
07-18 12:55:48	btc updown 15m 1784378700	Up	SELL	200	78¢	$157	0xb2ed1a…
07-18 12:45:54	btc updown 15m 1784378700	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x90f2b9…
07-07 14:37:37	btc updown 15m 1783434600	Up	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xb72a5c…
07-07 14:34:52	btc updown 15m 1783434600	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb2fc5f…
07-07 14:16:16	btc updown 15m 1783433700	Down	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x3d461f…
06-28 00:13:34	btc updown 15m 1782604800	Down	SELL	194	1¢	$2	0x8bdc40…
06-28 00:03:26	btc updown 15m 1782604800	Down	BUY	194	51¢	$98	0x75571d…
06-27 04:00:02	eth updown 15m 1782531900	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xbd0182…
06-27 04:00:02	eth updown 15m 1782531900	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x61d3e4…
06-27 03:53:46	eth updown 15m 1782531900	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb9a543…
06-09 15:51:00	eth updown 15m 1781019900	Down	SELL	91	67¢	$61	0xdba903…
06-09 15:46:06	eth updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x3be746…
06-09 15:38:34	eth updown 15m 1781019000	Down	SELL	96	70¢	$67	0x86b0cc…
06-09 15:31:46	eth updown 15m 1781019000	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x8fecd2…
06-09 00:12:52	eth updown 15m 1780963200	Down	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xbb2dd7…
06-09 00:09:12	eth updown 15m 1780963200	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xd971b9…
06-06 03:19:49	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	SELL	107	62¢	$66	0xb51008…
06-06 03:19:49	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x8c1f2a…
06-06 03:19:49	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x5404b6…
06-06 03:16:22	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xd3aadc…
06-06 03:15:49	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xf27051…
06-06 03:12:46	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xdb56a0…
06-06 03:12:46	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x501506…
06-06 03:12:46	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x2a4cbc…
06-06 03:12:42	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xbbbfc8…
06-06 03:12:42	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x7abcca…
06-06 03:11:31	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xa93c77…
06-06 03:08:54	eth updown 5m 1780715100	Up	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x65c88f…
06-06 03:07:09	eth updown 5m 1780715100	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf9f852…
06-06 03:03:42	eth updown 15m 1780714800	Down	SELL	77	81¢	$62	0x8e79ca…
06-06 03:00:55	eth updown 15m 1780714800	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x493a54…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0xe9afd1…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xca710f…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$0	0x98f6d5…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x722c0f…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x26837d…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1a54b4…
06-06 02:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x33e469…
06-06 02:58:51	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x1a48cf…
06-05 12:22:36	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	112	44¢	$50	0x6a2b35…
06-05 12:20:52	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xb6e69e…
06-05 12:20:52	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xadacb9…
06-05 12:20:52	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x3d387c…
06-05 12:18:51	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xaae2b8…
06-05 12:04:16	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0x6ccf59…
06-05 12:04:15	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xf0a77d…
06-05 12:04:12	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xd9a8fb…
06-05 12:04:12	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xd7dd24…
06-05 12:02:45	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xbe4b7b…
06-05 02:19:37	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xb31a71…
06-05 02:19:37	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xaa388c…
06-05 02:19:37	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x903bd8…
06-05 02:19:37	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x85c0e7…
06-05 02:19:34	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x666de2…
06-05 02:17:27	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x547c8b…
06-05 02:14:46	eth updown 5m 1780625400	Down	SELL	124	1¢	$1	0x45fadb…
06-05 02:11:18	eth updown 5m 1780625400	Down	BUY	124	40¢	$50	0xeb1dc8…
06-05 02:02:27	eth updown 15m 1780624800	Down	SELL	70	75¢	$52	0xb99fd2…
06-05 02:02:27	eth updown 15m 1780624800	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x99b2c6…
06-05 02:01:18	eth updown 15m 1780624800	Down	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0x4a1521…
06-05 01:59:10	eth updown 5m 1780624500	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xab40e1…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xfbd6ca…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xde8910…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xcf0ef6…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x8f73dd…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x8f53bc…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x21c8a9…
06-05 00:47:36	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xf0169c…
06-05 00:47:36	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x8712c0…
06-05 00:47:36	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x1f41ea…
06-05 00:46:39	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0x565302…