Glaring-Admission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-09 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 46% $-90

Other

25% — —

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$3.6K	2,658	2,658	+0	open	—	01-29 04:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$1.3K	1,417	1,417	+0	open	—	03-07 08:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$1.2K	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	01-25 15:26
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	2	$988	1,113	1,113	+0	open	—	01-26 23:34
spx opens up or down on january 27 2026	10	$974	621	621	+0	open	—	01-27 09:03
btc updown 5m 1773117600	1	$414	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	03-10 04:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$414	247	247	+0	open	—	03-03 11:45
btc updown 5m 1773117300	1	$406	414	0	+414	open	—	03-10 04:38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	15	$389	487	487	+0	open	—	02-25 13:42
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$377	288	288	+0	open	—	02-10 00:49
btc updown 5m 1773116700	1	$366	406	0	+406	open	—	03-10 04:29
btc updown 5m 1773116400	1	$362	366	0	+366	open	—	03-10 04:24
btc updown 5m 1773116100	1	$359	362	0	+362	open	—	03-10 04:19
btc updown 5m 1773115800	1	$351	359	0	+359	open	—	03-10 04:14
btc updown 5m 1773115200	1	$346	351	0	+351	open	—	03-10 04:03
btc updown 5m 1773114600	1	$339	346	0	+346	open	—	03-10 03:53
btc updown 15m 1773104400	1	$332	339	0	+339	open	—	03-10 01:14
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	2	$328	631	0	+631	open	—	01-29 14:32
btc updown 5m 1773104400	1	$308	333	0	+333	open	—	03-10 01:04
btc updown 15m 1773103500	1	$305	308	0	+308	open	—	03-10 00:59
btc updown 5m 1773103500	1	$302	305	0	+305	open	—	03-10 00:49
btc updown 15m 1773102600	1	$299	302	0	+302	open	—	03-10 00:42
btc updown 5m 1773102600	1	$293	299	0	+299	open	—	03-10 00:34
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	19	$290	4,217	4,217	+0	open	—	02-02 06:52
eth updown 15m 1776038400	21	$287	430	409	+22	open	—	04-13 00:11
btc updown 5m 1773102000	1	$285	293	0	+293	open	—	03-10 00:24
btc updown 5m 1773069300	1	$282	285	0	+285	open	—	03-09 15:19
btc updown 5m 1773064800	1	$277	282	0	+282	open	—	03-09 14:03
eth updown 15m 1775959200	14	$264	186	179	+7	open	—	04-12 02:12
btc updown 5m 1773063900	1	$258	277	0	+277	open	—	03-09 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:51:00	eth updown 15m 1781019900	Down	SELL	91	67¢	$61	0xdba903…
06-09 15:46:06	eth updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x3be746…
06-09 15:38:34	eth updown 15m 1781019000	Down	SELL	96	70¢	$67	0x86b0cc…
06-09 15:31:46	eth updown 15m 1781019000	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x8fecd2…
06-09 00:12:52	eth updown 15m 1780963200	Down	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xbb2dd7…
06-09 00:09:12	eth updown 15m 1780963200	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xd971b9…
06-06 03:19:49	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	SELL	107	62¢	$66	0xb51008…
06-06 03:19:49	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x8c1f2a…
06-06 03:19:49	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x5404b6…
06-06 03:16:22	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xd3aadc…
06-06 03:15:49	eth updown 15m 1780715700	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xf27051…
06-06 03:12:46	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xdb56a0…
06-06 03:12:46	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x501506…
06-06 03:12:46	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x2a4cbc…
06-06 03:12:42	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xbbbfc8…
06-06 03:12:42	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x7abcca…
06-06 03:11:31	eth updown 5m 1780715400	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xa93c77…
06-06 03:08:54	eth updown 5m 1780715100	Up	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x65c88f…
06-06 03:07:09	eth updown 5m 1780715100	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf9f852…
06-06 03:03:42	eth updown 15m 1780714800	Down	SELL	77	81¢	$62	0x8e79ca…
06-06 03:00:55	eth updown 15m 1780714800	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x493a54…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0xe9afd1…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xca710f…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$0	0x98f6d5…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x722c0f…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x26837d…
06-06 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1a54b4…
06-06 02:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x33e469…
06-06 02:58:51	eth updown 15m 1780713900	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x1a48cf…
06-05 12:22:36	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	112	44¢	$50	0x6a2b35…
06-05 12:20:52	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xb6e69e…
06-05 12:20:52	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xadacb9…
06-05 12:20:52	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x3d387c…
06-05 12:18:51	eth updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xaae2b8…
06-05 12:04:16	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0x6ccf59…
06-05 12:04:15	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xf0a77d…
06-05 12:04:12	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xd9a8fb…
06-05 12:04:12	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xd7dd24…
06-05 12:02:45	eth updown 15m 1780660800	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xbe4b7b…
06-05 02:19:37	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xb31a71…
06-05 02:19:37	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xaa388c…
06-05 02:19:37	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x903bd8…
06-05 02:19:37	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x85c0e7…
06-05 02:19:34	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x666de2…
06-05 02:17:27	eth updown 15m 1780625700	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x547c8b…
06-05 02:14:46	eth updown 5m 1780625400	Down	SELL	124	1¢	$1	0x45fadb…
06-05 02:11:18	eth updown 5m 1780625400	Down	BUY	124	40¢	$50	0xeb1dc8…
06-05 02:02:27	eth updown 15m 1780624800	Down	SELL	70	75¢	$52	0xb99fd2…
06-05 02:02:27	eth updown 15m 1780624800	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x99b2c6…
06-05 02:01:18	eth updown 15m 1780624800	Down	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0x4a1521…
06-05 01:59:10	eth updown 5m 1780624500	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xab40e1…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xfbd6ca…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xde8910…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xcf0ef6…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x8f73dd…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x8f53bc…
06-05 00:47:37	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x21c8a9…
06-05 00:47:36	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xf0169c…
06-05 00:47:36	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x8712c0…
06-05 00:47:36	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x1f41ea…
06-05 00:46:39	eth updown 15m 1780620300	Up	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0x565302…
06-04 09:05:43	eth updown 15m 1780563600	Down	SELL	138	89¢	$123	0x931c4a…
06-04 09:01:15	eth updown 15m 1780563600	Down	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xae6436…
06-04 08:51:16	eth updown 15m 1780562700	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xcfdcc6…
06-04 08:45:40	eth updown 15m 1780562700	Down	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x3c802b…
06-03 11:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x6cdc15…
06-03 11:36:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x43bb7d…
06-03 11:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xe76487…
06-03 11:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xa63ad6…
06-03 11:36:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x47151b…
06-03 11:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xec0b76…
06-03 11:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb099fd…
06-03 11:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x81f2fa…
05-28 09:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	78¢	$18	0xa7e384…
05-28 09:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	78¢	$17	0x2afb1d…
05-28 09:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xa47b72…
05-28 09:41:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xae7aab…
05-28 09:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xebfe48…
05-28 09:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe58455…
05-28 09:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	55¢	$17	0xb41478…
05-28 09:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x9652c4…
05-28 09:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x92fa30…
05-28 09:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x0dd1c4…
05-28 09:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	55¢	$12	0x03e4f9…
05-28 09:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xa16163…
05-28 07:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xee0eb6…
05-28 07:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xd54f1f…
05-28 07:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x515f30…
05-28 07:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x3c8d7f…
05-28 07:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x157b1f…
05-28 07:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf3dd05…
05-28 07:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x614b44…
05-28 07:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x205179…
05-28 07:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb2a076…
05-28 07:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x0b049a…
05-28 04:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xff78b5…
05-28 04:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0xf64b83…
05-28 04:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x9e6bcb…
05-28 04:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x5b4574…
05-28 04:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x32b801…