Ill-Fated-Reef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

570

Trades

1,820

lifetime

Volume

$86.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-28 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

96% 94% +$1,183

Tech

4% 73% -$9

Politics

0% 100% +$7

Sports

0% 55% +$4

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	18	$2.4K	2,416	0	+2,416	No	+$25	08-16 22:46
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	3	$1.7K	1,726	0	+1,726	Yes	+$8	07-01 19:51
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	3	$1.6K	1,564	0	+1,564	Down	+$2	04-02 13:17
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	5	$1.6K	1,566	0	+1,566	Down	-$24	03-18 13:22
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	2	$1.5K	1,510	0	+1,510	Down	+$6	03-19 13:16
spx opens up or down on march 20 2026	2	$1.5K	1,511	0	+1,511	Down	+$9	03-20 13:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	2	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	+$2	04-30 13:30
Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball Mid-Season Tournament?	17	$1.5K	1,476	0	+1,476	No	+$22	07-11 18:58
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$1.3K	680	680	+0	open	—	08-28 21:19
mlp chi nj 2026 06 27	18	$1.3K	1,314	0	+1,314	New Jersey 5s	+$23	06-28 00:20
ppa tour greater zion cup at black desert resort mixed doubles pro main draw winner dekel bar jessie irvine win	7	$1.3K	1,262	0	+1,262	No	+$3	03-27 21:17
mlp atl stl 2026 06 05	5	$1.2K	1,188	0	+1,188	St. Louis Shock	+$4	06-05 23:51
mlp stl mia 2026 06 20	15	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	St. Louis Shock	+$42	06-20 17:57
mlp car bklyn 2026 06 26	13	$1.1K	1,097	0	+1,097	Brooklyn Pickleball Team	+$30	06-26 16:15
ppa tour veolia texas open womens singles pro main draw winner anna leigh waters win	16	$1.0K	1,058	0	+1,058	Yes	+$16	03-15 21:17
spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	6	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	Down	+$5	04-23 13:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	2	$1.0K	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	-$4	04-28 13:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	2	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$2	05-01 13:29
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	3	$859	860	0	+860	Up	+$1	03-23 13:29
mlp phx la 2026 06 05	34	$834	848	0	+848	Los Angeles Mad Drops	+$14	06-05 20:06
Will Alexander Crum / Luana Stanciu win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	7	$826	843	0	+843	No	+$17	04-14 22:26
Will Los Angeles Mad Drops finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Dallas Event?	16	$821	827	0	+827	Yes	+$6	05-25 22:11
Will Phoenix Flames win the Major League Pickleball Mid-Season Tournament?	6	$788	791	0	+791	No	+$3	07-08 19:48
ppa tour greater zion cup at black desert resort mixed doubles pro main draw winner cailyn campbell riley newman win	5	$765	767	0	+767	No	+$3	03-26 22:49
mlp nj lv 2026 06 26	12	$698	721	0	+721	New Jersey 5s	+$22	06-26 21:08
mlp nj fla 2026 06 12	6	$690	704	0	+704	New Jersey 5s	+$14	06-12 15:52
ppa tour greater zion cup at black desert resort mixed doubles pro main draw winner meghan dizon will howells win	5	$686	689	0	+689	No	+$3	03-26 22:48
Will Las Vegas Night Owls finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	3	$627	633	0	+633	No	+$6	08-01 12:55
Will New Jersey 5s finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball Orlando Event?	9	$623	646	0	+646	Yes	-$32	08-02 18:11
Will Orlando Squeeze finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Louis Event?	9	$619	622	0	+622	No	+$4	06-06 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:02:28	Will Rachel Rohrabacher qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xcfd9ee…
10-28 10:47:41	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa05d6c…
10-25 18:16:14	Will Federico Staksrud qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x85ded1…
10-25 18:15:50	Will Christian Alshon qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6a5b8e…
10-24 22:26:50	Will Federico Staksrud qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x26a0fd…
10-24 22:26:11	Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6a4dbe…
10-24 18:30:06	Will Tyra Hurricane Black qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x7e792e…
10-24 18:29:36	Will CJ Klinger qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x5b6255…
10-24 18:27:27	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xa9d83e…
10-24 18:24:26	Will Federico Staksrud qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xb6280a…
10-24 11:48:18	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbf3971…
10-24 11:47:18	Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xddecab…
10-24 11:47:03	Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x79428e…
10-24 11:37:23	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5ee58f…
10-24 11:36:54	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x141805…
10-24 11:35:06	Will CJ Klinger qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x291028…
10-24 11:34:44	Will CJ Klinger qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x2b0006…
10-24 11:29:44	Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xd2a8c2…
10-24 11:26:59	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x0c2085…
10-24 11:26:54	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xc70691…
10-24 11:26:47	Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2620c9…
10-24 11:26:33	Will Christian Alshon qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x923fff…
10-24 11:22:56	Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0x0bc660…
10-24 11:12:29	Will CJ Klinger qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9eee02…
10-24 11:12:23	Will CJ Klinger qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x10599a…
10-24 11:12:09	Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	57	58¢	$33	0x7487a6…
10-24 11:11:23	Will Christopher Haworth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x5f5b22…
10-24 11:10:50	Will Christian Alshon qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	370	78¢	$288	0xde5871…
10-20 01:07:15	Will Federico Staksrud qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	72	71¢	$51	0x09e1c2…
10-20 01:03:59	Will Hayden Patriquin qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x657bea…
10-20 01:03:54	Will Hayden Patriquin qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd007f2…
10-20 01:03:27	Will Hayden Patriquin qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x48882d…
09-03 01:57:00	pb mens doubles ben johns gabriel tardio vs michael loyd martin emmrich 2026 09 03 8b54053c	Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7d64fb…
08-30 16:51:46	Will St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x963502…
08-30 16:51:34	Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x0227b3…
08-30 16:51:21	Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xde9238…
08-30 16:51:07	Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4f82e0…
08-30 12:20:57	Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x92505b…
08-30 12:20:42	Will St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x627822…
08-29 17:05:01	mlp nj stl 2026 08 29 team to advance	NJ	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xcff775…
08-29 02:49:36	Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x1aa6cf…
08-29 02:49:33	Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x844dc3…
08-29 02:49:30	Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x4c5b47…
08-29 02:49:25	Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x2033c0…
08-29 02:49:21	Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5fe0c1…
08-29 02:49:18	Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc3b7f0…
08-29 02:49:07	Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xdd5c08…
08-28 21:19:37	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xa8249a…
08-28 21:19:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	350	98¢	$344	0x6a7561…
08-28 20:17:30	New Jersey 5s vs Brooklyn Pickleball Team: Team to Advance	NJ	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x90cef1…
08-28 20:17:21	DoorDash MLP Finals New York City Powered by Toray: New Jersey 5s vs Brooklyn Pickleball Team (Match 1)	New Jersey 5s	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa52978…
08-28 18:09:00	Will Dallas Flash win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x224851…
08-28 18:07:10	DoorDash MLP Finals New York City Powered by Toray: St. Louis Shock vs Dallas Flash (Match 1)	St. Louis Shock	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xfedcf2…
08-28 18:06:24	St. Louis Shock vs Dallas Flash: Team to Advance	STL	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xabe205…
08-28 18:02:49	DoorDash MLP Finals New York City Powered by Toray: St. Louis Shock vs Dallas Flash (Match 1)	St. Louis Shock	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x61f5d9…
08-27 11:13:24	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xdf91ef…
08-27 10:44:28	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x3df20a…
08-27 10:43:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x7361ab…
08-27 10:42:51	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x8317d8…
08-27 10:37:30	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x4b0eb7…
08-25 10:47:40	St. Louis Shock vs Dallas Flash: Team to Advance	STL	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xc8340a…
08-25 10:47:00	DoorDash MLP Finals New York City Powered by Toray: Dallas Flash vs St. Louis Shock (Match 2)	St. Louis Shock	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xb5999b…
08-22 15:58:27	mlp dal stl 2026 08 28 match 2	St. Louis Shock	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x950f64…
08-21 13:22:00	Will Dallas Flash win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xfc8c9b…
08-16 22:46:19	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x472d2c…
08-16 22:46:18	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x64ddaf…
08-16 22:46:13	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaab804…
08-16 22:45:51	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 15 team to advance	NJ	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef056a…
08-16 22:45:48	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 15 team to advance	NJ	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x16d50f…
08-16 22:45:28	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 16 match 2	New Jersey 5s	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x98414e…
08-16 22:37:21	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 16 match 2	New Jersey 5s	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x0249ed…
08-16 22:37:15	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 16 match 2	New Jersey 5s	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7bef15…
08-16 21:51:00	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 16 match 2	New Jersey 5s	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x26cb22…
08-16 21:49:21	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb89337…
08-16 21:49:16	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1e600e…
08-16 21:49:12	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xcdb11e…
08-16 21:49:07	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xf0a3fc…
08-16 21:49:04	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xebfdb5…
08-16 21:49:00	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xba3180…
08-16 21:48:55	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd94172…
08-16 21:25:27	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xe6e506…
08-16 20:57:06	mlp bklyn col 2026 08 16 match 2	Columbus Sliders	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0x46cb78…
08-16 02:06:24	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 15	New Jersey 5s	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9f226f…
08-16 02:00:57	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 16 match 2	New Jersey 5s	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x7691a8…
08-16 02:00:18	mlp la dal 2026 08 14 team to advance	LA	SELL	127	75¢	$96	0x2b6d24…
08-16 01:57:46	mlp col bklyn 2026 08 15	Brooklyn Pickleball Team	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xbd13cc…
08-16 01:56:28	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 15 team to advance	NJ	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x9a2055…
08-15 17:20:55	mlp nj pbr 2026 08 15 team to advance	NJ	BUY	211	97¢	$205	0xb870b6…
08-15 17:13:34	mlp la dal 2026 08 14 team to advance	LA	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x322a71…
08-15 17:12:58	Will Palm Beach Royals win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xc3fec8…
08-15 12:04:06	mlp dal la 2026 08 15 match 2	Los Angeles Mad Drops	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x5823da…
08-15 12:03:27	mlp la dal 2026 08 14 team to advance	LA	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe86328…
08-15 11:28:24	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by august 16 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe668a9…
08-15 00:54:40	mlp la dal 2026 08 14	Los Angeles Mad Drops	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xda26f7…
08-15 00:44:49	mlp la dal 2026 08 14 team to advance	LA	BUY	79	82¢	$65	0xe2c812…
08-15 00:44:46	mlp la dal 2026 08 14 team to advance	LA	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0196f0…
08-15 00:37:12	mlp stl tex 2026 08 15 match 2	St. Louis Shock	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x7e3d77…
08-15 00:37:06	mlp stl tex 2026 08 15 match 2	St. Louis Shock	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xee967f…
08-15 00:37:01	mlp stl tex 2026 08 15 match 2	St. Louis Shock	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xe8ba91…
08-15 00:36:54	mlp stl tex 2026 08 15 match 2	St. Louis Shock	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x8cbb80…