Abandoned-Dam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-11 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Other

30% — —

Sports

13% 0% $-71

Tech

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	22	$1.5K	1,004	1,004	+0	No	$-70	04-15 03:53
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	20	$1.3K	1,278	1,278	+0	open	—	08-10 04:30
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$1.3K	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	04-07 05:44
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	16	$1.3K	707	707	+0	open	—	04-09 11:32
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	14	$1.2K	697	697	+0	open	—	08-02 06:41
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	8	$969	518	518	+0	open	—	08-10 04:29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$929	509	509	+0	open	—	06-12 18:59
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$926	526	526	+0	open	—	07-15 07:57
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	9	$897	524	524	+0	open	—	07-05 14:58
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	5	$825	506	506	+0	open	—	07-15 07:56
Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$795	500	500	+0	open	—	05-22 01:40
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$772	513	513	+0	open	—	08-10 04:26
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$719	510	510	+0	open	—	07-02 06:54
Trump out as President before 2027?	3	$607	162	509	-347	open	—	07-15 07:58
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$490	312	312	+0	open	—	05-11 14:03
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$476	0	501	-501	open	—	06-05 06:28
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$475	0	502	-502	open	—	07-29 09:28
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$473	0	506	-506	open	—	07-15 07:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$445	0	506	-506	open	—	06-11 02:29
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$278	173	173	+0	open	—	07-15 07:57
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	4	$261	213	213	+0	open	—	08-10 04:25
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$245	149	149	+0	open	—	08-01 09:07
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$245	288	0	+288	open	—	07-07 09:00
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	7	$222	154	154	+0	open	—	07-15 07:57
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	4	$203	144	144	+0	open	—	08-10 04:30
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$95	64	64	+0	Yes	$-1	04-04 06:34
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$76	43	43	+0	open	—	08-10 04:26
Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$54	46	15	+31	open	—	08-11 08:36
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	2	$47	100	100	+0	open	—	07-24 17:04
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	4	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	07-15 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 08:36:18	Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0xefb243…
08-10 04:30:18	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x4e2465…
08-10 04:30:03	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x595d6e…
08-10 04:29:39	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xb2a69a…
08-10 04:26:51	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x053787…
08-10 04:26:36	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xa4949c…
08-10 04:26:33	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x602ad3…
08-10 04:26:12	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x330a3f…
08-10 04:25:46	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x0c9400…
08-10 04:25:31	Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x7ccf6d…
08-08 18:12:21	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	122	78¢	$95	0x8e5887…
08-08 06:33:33	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	98	74¢	$73	0x88a39c…
08-08 06:01:00	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0xc8a77e…
08-07 09:09:19	Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x94e3cc…
08-06 15:13:53	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	144	66¢	$95	0x7ac18e…
08-06 13:27:35	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	456	64¢	$292	0xc93277…
08-05 08:20:48	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	79¢	$71	0x4e65ad…
08-02 22:30:42	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x5efa25…
08-02 06:41:14	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xef2c8a…
08-01 09:07:35	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0xc9e017…
08-01 09:07:27	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xee7b99…
08-01 09:07:24	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xb93163…
08-01 09:07:09	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x327af1…
08-01 08:57:48	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0xe0c751…
07-31 19:54:03	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x48138d…
07-31 14:47:05	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$385	0x89c83d…
07-30 21:27:36	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	220	85¢	$187	0x34809d…
07-29 09:28:11	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	74	95¢	$70	0xe363e4…
07-29 09:28:08	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	428	95¢	$405	0x2107b2…
07-28 12:45:34	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x43654f…
07-28 12:44:55	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	107	91¢	$97	0x3452c7…
07-28 09:37:20	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	85¢	$49	0x66caac…
07-28 09:31:52	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	85¢	$88	0xa201ec…
07-28 04:34:28	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0e78d4…
07-28 04:34:27	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	33	85¢	$28	0xcb1d18…
07-28 04:34:27	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x3cb55c…
07-28 02:40:19	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x8a61e2…
07-26 01:44:45	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	213	44¢	$94	0x27dcd5…
07-24 19:23:51	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xc3f83e…
07-24 19:22:37	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x3a9129…
07-24 17:04:07	Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xf2035c…
07-24 16:07:55	Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xb14f67…
07-24 09:20:33	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0x432e9e…
07-23 16:43:22	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2965b6…
07-23 12:25:34	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xbc7e69…
07-19 20:16:37	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xccadef…
07-19 19:35:39	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0x4287eb…
07-18 11:43:15	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x2a665d…
07-15 08:00:49	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x9b3fcd…
07-15 08:00:38	Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xb8d6e7…
07-15 08:00:29	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa1f2f1…
07-15 07:58:14	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdd2b45…
07-15 07:58:05	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5df425…
07-15 07:57:56	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2c0b54…
07-15 07:57:46	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x509427…
07-15 07:57:35	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5ced98…
07-15 07:57:25	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x594084…
07-15 07:57:01	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x12005a…
07-15 07:56:26	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0xa619cd…
07-15 07:56:17	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x292a6d…
07-15 07:56:08	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x787d3f…
07-15 07:55:59	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xdb0b28…
07-14 22:13:17	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xa90f18…
07-14 22:12:44	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$29	0x086851…
07-13 08:10:14	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	SELL	506	83¢	$420	0x4442ec…
07-12 14:53:02	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	BUY	289	80¢	$231	0xdff06d…
07-12 14:50:16	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	BUY	208	80¢	$166	0x654c85…
07-12 10:50:29	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	509	83¢	$422	0x62155a…
07-11 09:37:35	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf2e069…
07-11 00:30:11	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xbd860a…
07-10 23:31:38	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	89¢	$28	0x8936d4…
07-10 23:11:02	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	513	84¢	$431	0x69eb32…
07-10 21:50:14	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0xebee41…
07-09 07:24:59	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	518	91¢	$471	0xbfa659…
07-08 13:10:43	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0x9d1380…
07-07 18:19:31	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x1da1e9…
07-07 09:00:05	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	288	85¢	$245	0xce757d…
07-05 14:58:37	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	148	84¢	$124	0x081801…
07-04 06:14:55	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xf54b1d…
07-03 14:49:10	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xee3e9d…
07-02 20:25:49	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	361	93¢	$336	0x0b2f96…
07-02 20:23:10	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0x0dcc48…
07-02 06:54:46	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	510	71¢	$362	0xa166aa…
07-02 06:03:53	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	112	91¢	$102	0x626a6c…
07-02 06:03:41	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	508	91¢	$462	0xb42cf1…
07-01 19:08:32	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x7ca97d…
07-01 18:37:59	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xcbd46c…
07-01 17:51:53	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	207	75¢	$155	0x38ae53…
07-01 17:27:22	Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9402b0…
07-01 15:51:49	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x0bed79…
07-01 13:42:43	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	94¢	$17	0xaa0930…
06-29 17:45:56	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	45¢	$15	0x020786…
06-29 17:45:19	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfc08cd…
06-29 13:33:04	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x03f75e…
06-29 13:02:29	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbcc1b4…
06-29 09:22:35	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x63df4c…
06-29 02:49:22	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x2d41c0…
06-27 18:26:10	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	81¢	$77	0x783ad7…
06-27 17:34:29	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x1e979d…
06-27 10:51:41	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x8249ba…