Flippant-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

163

Trades

2,652

lifetime

Volume

$41.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 08-10 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 99% +$4

Other

14% 100% +$22

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-26 23:58
solana up or down july 1 2026 10pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-02 02:55
solana up or down on july 3 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-03 15:38
wti closes above 76 on august 4 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	08-04 20:32
solana up or down july 15 2026 1pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-15 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-12 12:58
wti closes above 84 on july 31 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-31 20:38
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-08 01:57
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 2am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-18 06:55
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 03:55
xrp up or down july 7 2026 5am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-07 09:56
solana up or down july 13 2026 5am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-13 09:57
xrp up or down july 2 2026 11am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-02 15:58
ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	08-08 15:42
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 07:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 28?	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-28 20:33
eth updown 4h 1784836800	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-23 23:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-31 19:59
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 06:57
bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-08 15:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 7?	1	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	05-07 20:55
solana up or down july 8 2026 8pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-09 00:56
solana up or down june 26 2026 12am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-26 04:57
ethereum up or down august 8 2026 11pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	08-09 03:57
eth updown 4h 1785528000	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-31 23:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-31 15:58
solana up or down june 8 2026 5pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-08 21:57
ethereum up or down august 1 2026 4am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	08-01 08:55
solana up or down on june 22 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-22 15:41
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-07 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 03:51:37	sol updown 4h 1786406400	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6610d7…
08-11 03:51:34	xrp updown 4h 1786406400	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xfbd6a7…
08-11 03:04:07	btc updown 5m 1786417200	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x44cc61…
08-11 02:58:36	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xa4aad9…
08-10 12:58:25	btc updown 15m 1786365900	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8103e1…
08-10 06:24:15	btc updown 5m 1786342800	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xede1a7…
08-10 06:24:12	sol updown 5m 1786342800	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x45ef69…
08-10 02:57:19	solana up or down august 9 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf69b52…
08-09 18:58:28	sol updown 15m 1786301100	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x621df5…
08-09 18:58:24	btc updown 15m 1786301100	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x34fa54…
08-09 17:55:07	solana up or down august 9 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x551d8a…
08-09 15:45:57	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x4896f3…
08-09 14:13:42	sol updown 15m 1786284000	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7fe9f7…
08-09 03:57:04	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0b9c07…
08-08 19:54:15	btc updown 4h 1786204800	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6099ac…
08-08 15:42:28	ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x21a148…
08-08 07:43:25	eth updown 15m 1786174200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf61b4f…
08-08 05:58:33	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3061ef…
08-07 19:54:51	btc updown 4h 1786118400	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x500e7d…
08-07 15:34:10	solana up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x0722e4…
08-07 09:55:10	ethereum up or down august 7 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x61aad4…
08-07 07:55:39	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7f5220…
08-07 07:28:46	btc updown 15m 1786086900	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1a1bc2…
08-07 04:58:48	eth updown 15m 1786077900	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xeb3ce6…
08-07 04:56:36	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x9845e6…
08-07 00:55:47	solana up or down august 6 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x75a8cb…
08-06 23:43:53	btc updown 15m 1786059000	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4b1d99…
08-06 23:43:50	eth updown 15m 1786059000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7ec35…
08-06 20:54:44	wti closes above 78 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4ee5b0…
08-06 15:55:59	eth updown 4h 1786017600	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x3c4343…
08-06 14:24:30	eth updown 5m 1786026000	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xdd92ae…
08-06 06:55:12	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xaa77d3…
08-06 01:14:29	btc updown 15m 1785978000	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7da9e7…
08-05 15:44:21	btc updown 15m 1785943800	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xa1b174…
08-05 15:19:39	btc updown 5m 1785942900	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb2d82b…
08-05 11:51:54	btc updown 4h 1785916800	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc830a2…
08-05 09:57:12	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7db30a…
08-04 20:32:54	wti closes above 76 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x9ee727…
08-04 15:51:14	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3d041f…
08-04 13:28:29	eth updown 15m 1785849300	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8ecb3a…
08-04 07:55:48	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x531a66…
08-04 05:56:17	solana up or down august 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xaee10f…
08-03 20:57:36	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbc1128…
08-03 18:55:44	xrp up or down august 3 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7c6370…
08-03 15:50:41	ethereum up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x202c61…
08-03 15:36:23	solana up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x263798…
08-03 13:29:41	sol updown 15m 1785762900	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9071e3…
08-03 08:24:17	btc updown 5m 1785745200	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x26b246…
08-03 03:59:18	eth updown 15m 1785728700	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d8f70…
08-03 01:24:39	doge updown 5m 1785720000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc15cfe…
08-02 22:13:45	eth updown 15m 1785708000	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x75c9ef…
08-02 19:44:56	eth updown 5m 1785699600	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc9fb8d…
08-02 11:50:57	xrp updown 4h 1785657600	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x835818…
08-02 07:58:15	eth updown 15m 1785656700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x519d09…
08-02 07:58:11	btc updown 15m 1785656700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcba8b6…
08-02 07:58:06	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x8cc461…
08-02 03:43:56	sol updown 15m 1785641400	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd79b7f…
08-01 21:13:51	btc updown 15m 1785618000	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0d7486…
08-01 19:24:38	bnb updown 5m 1785612000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9c03e3…
08-01 11:57:56	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9ade4d…
08-01 08:55:48	ethereum up or down august 1 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x089f83…
07-31 23:57:38	eth updown 4h 1785528000	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x768da0…
07-31 20:38:17	wti closes above 84 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x46f3cf…
07-31 20:31:42	wti up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x750066…
07-31 16:55:59	solana up or down july 31 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0e1637…
07-31 15:37:33	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8d566d…
07-31 14:13:54	eth updown 15m 1785506400	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4138fe…
07-31 09:28:27	sol updown 15m 1785489300	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x995fce…
07-30 20:58:27	sol updown 15m 1785444300	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6f81fc…
07-30 16:13:29	btc updown 15m 1785427200	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x387b09…
07-30 15:35:35	xrp above 1pt1 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2cb27b…
07-30 13:14:26	btc updown 15m 1785416400	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfb8511…
07-30 03:58:50	xrp updown 4h 1785369600	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbce29e…
07-29 19:51:21	btc updown 4h 1785340800	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xb59a7e…
07-29 19:43:47	sol updown 15m 1785353400	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0ee822…
07-29 15:49:14	ethereum above 1900 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x7affd7…
07-29 15:42:47	xrp up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x25c820…
07-29 15:09:17	hype updown 5m 1785337500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb3c7a8…
07-29 12:29:51	btc updown 5m 1785327900	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x0e3d22…
07-28 22:43:56	eth updown 15m 1785277800	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x752120…
07-28 22:43:52	sol updown 15m 1785277800	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x231c6b…
07-28 15:39:14	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xe3b9ae…
07-28 14:59:25	btc updown 15m 1785249900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbd8867…
07-28 14:59:20	eth updown 15m 1785249900	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xb4ce21…
07-28 11:34:16	xrp updown 5m 1785238200	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x42f783…
07-28 10:14:04	btc updown 15m 1785232800	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0fe663…
07-28 06:43:24	eth updown 15m 1785220200	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x902306…
07-28 05:34:15	sol updown 5m 1785216600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7e6831…
07-28 02:14:22	btc updown 15m 1785204000	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xdd67a6…
07-28 02:14:18	eth updown 15m 1785204000	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x82d3c3…
07-27 18:29:13	btc updown 15m 1785176100	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd48e97…
07-27 15:55:46	bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6c4346…
07-27 15:38:28	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xf91524…
07-27 15:38:24	bitcoin above 64k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x55b44e…
07-27 14:43:30	btc updown 15m 1785162600	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5347b1…
07-27 14:13:33	xrp updown 15m 1785160800	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x55a524…
07-27 14:13:27	btc updown 15m 1785160800	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x3a221a…
07-27 11:53:52	sol updown 4h 1785139200	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x737fbc…
07-27 11:44:10	btc updown 15m 1785151800	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc82549…
07-27 07:49:24	eth updown 5m 1785138300	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcc2c94…