Flippant-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

163

Trades

2,181

lifetime

Volume

$31.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-30 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 99% +$4

Other

18% 100% +$22

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 07:57
solana up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-26 23:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-31 15:58
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-08 01:57
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 03:55
solana up or down june 23 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-23 10:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-10 09:55
solana up or down june 8 2026 5pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-08 21:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 28?	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-28 20:33
ethereum up or down on june 17 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-17 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-12 12:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-31 19:59
solana up or down on june 22 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-22 15:41
solana up or down june 26 2026 12am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-26 04:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 7?	1	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	05-07 20:55
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 06:57
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-07 10:57
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 2am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-18 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	05-10 11:50
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-13 20:33
bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-21 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	05-10 11:58
bnb up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	06-21 15:30
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	05-31 19:57
sol updown 4h 1781971200	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	06-20 19:51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-13 20:32
Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-13 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-12 11:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?	1	$50	53	+53	Yes	+$3	05-07 20:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	05-08 01:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:30:49	xagusd up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa41a3b…
06-30 20:30:44	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4f3e5f…
06-30 19:29:23	xrp updown 15m 1782846900	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x66140a…
06-30 17:56:14	xrp up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd5486e…
06-30 17:56:10	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x93d72f…
06-30 12:13:43	btc updown 15m 1782820800	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe49d8f…
06-30 11:44:53	eth updown 5m 1782819600	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcf2070…
06-30 11:44:41	eth updown 5m 1782819600	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3cd138…
06-30 10:24:11	eth updown 5m 1782814800	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x85faff…
06-30 07:59:53	xrp updown 5m 1782806100	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0fdaba…
06-30 07:59:49	doge updown 5m 1782806100	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xea0a5c…
06-30 07:59:46	eth updown 15m 1782805500	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x51357a…
06-30 07:43:35	sol updown 15m 1782804600	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x67103c…
06-29 23:54:37	xrp updown 5m 1782777000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7118ad…
06-29 23:54:32	btc updown 5m 1782777000	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x89bed2…
06-29 21:28:34	btc updown 15m 1782767700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb5ea93…
06-29 20:42:47	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe2020b…
06-29 20:14:58	btc updown 5m 1782763800	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xe2d58b…
06-29 17:58:23	doge updown 15m 1782755100	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xcc0746…
06-29 16:28:13	xrp updown 15m 1782749700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x707a72…
06-29 11:04:52	xrp updown 5m 1782730800	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa1bd0…
06-29 08:28:56	xrp updown 15m 1782720900	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x782cf0…
06-29 08:28:52	sol updown 15m 1782720900	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x56c483…
06-28 17:57:01	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x45aa5a…
06-28 17:56:56	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x49bc3e…
06-28 07:44:34	xrp updown 5m 1782632400	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf8983c…
06-28 07:43:41	sol updown 15m 1782631800	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7a2105…
06-28 07:43:37	xrp updown 15m 1782631800	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92f92c…
06-28 04:44:28	btc updown 15m 1782621000	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x899091…
06-27 23:43:49	sol updown 15m 1782603000	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc0607d…
06-27 23:43:29	xrp updown 15m 1782603000	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5a18f7…
06-27 23:43:25	sol updown 15m 1782603000	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0cad5c…
06-27 23:43:22	eth updown 15m 1782603000	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc7ce2f…
06-27 15:32:31	solana up or down on june 27 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x1b52fe…
06-27 15:32:28	ethereum up or down on june 27 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x53945d…
06-27 15:32:25	bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xc5486a…
06-27 14:39:49	doge updown 5m 1782570900	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8e375b…
06-27 10:59:31	btc updown 5m 1782557700	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x581f33…
06-27 10:59:28	sol updown 5m 1782557700	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9b3fc6…
06-27 10:59:23	eth updown 5m 1782557700	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x7ffc54…
06-27 10:28:17	sol updown 15m 1782555300	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x71838e…
06-27 09:55:50	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x90dd4d…
06-27 09:29:05	xrp updown 15m 1782551700	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x05ce20…
06-27 04:59:22	btc updown 5m 1782536100	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x17bf2d…
06-27 03:43:46	sol updown 15m 1782531000	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe13a80…
06-27 03:43:29	sol updown 15m 1782531000	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6bdfdb…
06-27 03:43:23	eth updown 15m 1782531000	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x03cec1…
06-26 23:59:16	eth updown 15m 1782517500	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa06ec2…
06-26 23:58:56	eth updown 15m 1782517500	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x188bd8…
06-26 23:58:11	xrp updown 4h 1782504000	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd5caff…
06-26 23:58:07	xrp updown 4h 1782504000	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x095d19…
06-26 23:58:04	solana up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7e3bd0…
06-26 22:14:02	sol updown 15m 1782511200	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xcdd1b4…
06-26 20:50:16	ng up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x61a819…
06-26 16:29:04	btc updown 15m 1782490500	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x474397…
06-26 16:28:59	xrp updown 15m 1782490500	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x81215a…
06-26 16:28:56	eth updown 15m 1782490500	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x301b68…
06-26 16:25:01	doge updown 5m 1782490800	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd9fdd2…
06-26 15:31:52	bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf80628…
06-26 12:55:46	ethereum up or down june 26 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8d12d6…
06-26 08:59:10	btc updown 5m 1782464100	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xf8c45e…
06-26 08:59:05	xrp updown 15m 1782463500	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x8ea12a…
06-26 04:57:41	solana up or down june 26 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4e375d…
06-25 07:13:44	sol updown 15m 1782370800	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xc435fa…
06-25 07:13:29	xrp updown 15m 1782370800	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf2c88b…
06-25 01:58:58	eth updown 15m 1782351900	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x49e736…
06-25 01:58:55	btc updown 15m 1782351900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xdaedb2…
06-25 01:58:44	ethereum up or down june 24 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x373e6b…
06-24 22:43:44	xrp updown 15m 1782340200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc5c83a…
06-24 21:13:19	btc updown 15m 1782334800	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x36a111…
06-24 19:56:47	xrp up or down june 24 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x3ded31…
06-24 19:44:41	btc updown 15m 1782329400	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc72cbf…
06-24 19:44:41	btc updown 5m 1782330000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x854cb6…
06-24 19:44:37	sol updown 5m 1782330000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x67f502…
06-24 19:28:35	eth updown 15m 1782328500	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e999a…
06-24 10:29:04	btc updown 15m 1782296100	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xcc4012…
06-24 07:28:28	sol updown 15m 1782285300	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xbffde9…
06-24 03:13:58	xrp updown 15m 1782270000	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdd9f0e…
06-24 02:59:14	btc updown 15m 1782269100	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8e9271…
06-24 02:58:19	xrp updown 15m 1782269100	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x854c98…
06-23 23:55:43	ethereum up or down june 23 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x542f93…
06-23 22:59:43	btc updown 5m 1782255300	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xde1951…
06-23 21:56:14	ethereum up or down june 23 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xf22f60…
06-23 15:52:04	bnb updown 4h 1782216000	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa4644e…
06-23 15:37:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xc7439d…
06-23 11:14:49	xrp updown 5m 1782213000	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9ed2c4…
06-23 10:55:35	solana up or down june 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1b2bd2…
06-23 10:55:31	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3c5ba0…
06-23 06:49:19	sol updown 5m 1782197100	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x166ce2…
06-23 06:49:17	sol updown 5m 1782197100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfbec9…
06-23 06:49:13	xrp updown 5m 1782197100	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x838e32…
06-23 04:59:07	btc updown 15m 1782189900	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x52e2d8…
06-23 04:13:58	sol updown 15m 1782187200	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf3ca0f…
06-23 04:13:55	xrp updown 15m 1782187200	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4694ee…
06-23 02:29:04	btc updown 15m 1782180900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5022b2…
06-23 01:29:17	btc updown 15m 1782177300	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x6ee96b…
06-23 01:14:28	eth updown 15m 1782176400	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x81410b…
06-23 01:14:28	btc updown 15m 1782176400	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x13e2dd…
06-23 01:14:23	eth updown 15m 1782176400	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4e1c9c…
06-22 21:29:10	eth updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x137984…