Flippant-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

163

Trades

2,514

lifetime

Volume

$38.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-21 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 99% +$4

Other

14% 100% +$22

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana up or down july 8 2026 8pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-09 00:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 7?	1	$50	51	+51	Yes	+$1	05-07 20:55
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 06:57
bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 2am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-18 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-12 12:58
solana up or down june 8 2026 5pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-08 21:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-31 19:59
solana up or down on july 3 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-03 15:38
xrp up or down july 7 2026 5am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-07 09:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-10 09:55
solana up or down on june 22 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-22 15:41
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 03:55
solana up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-26 23:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-31 15:58
xrp up or down july 2 2026 11am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-02 15:58
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-07 10:57
solana up or down july 13 2026 5am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-13 09:57
solana up or down june 26 2026 12am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-26 04:57
solana up or down june 23 2026 6am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-23 10:55
ethereum up or down on june 17 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-17 15:36
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-08 01:57
solana up or down july 1 2026 10pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-02 02:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 28?	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-28 20:33
solana up or down july 15 2026 1pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-15 17:55
bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 11am et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-08 15:55
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-09 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	05-10 11:50
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-13 20:33
bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	06-21 15:43
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 6pm et	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	07-07 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 00:57:27	xrp up or down july 21 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xb73982…
07-21 19:59:01	sol updown 15m 1784663100	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xad7925…
07-21 19:58:57	solana up or down july 21 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfb1b5e…
07-21 15:50:10	sol updown 4h 1784635200	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7ac504…
07-21 15:50:06	eth updown 4h 1784635200	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xea1266…
07-21 06:14:36	eth updown 15m 1784613600	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xea83a7…
07-21 05:58:52	btc updown 15m 1784612700	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xd7c896…
07-21 05:58:40	eth updown 15m 1784612700	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x60dee6…
07-21 05:58:37	xrp updown 15m 1784612700	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x72c6e9…
07-21 05:28:13	eth updown 15m 1784610900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3034ea…
07-21 03:43:21	eth updown 15m 1784604600	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8b5a38…
07-20 20:30:48	xagusd up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa4f97d…
07-20 18:43:28	sol updown 15m 1784572200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x13ac33…
07-20 15:51:28	btc updown 4h 1784548800	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x63be29…
07-20 15:33:18	ethereum up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x73c31c…
07-20 15:33:15	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xb26790…
07-20 15:33:04	ethereum above 1900 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x32b721…
07-20 14:59:45	btc updown 15m 1784558700	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xf9e88f…
07-20 11:29:57	sol updown 5m 1784546700	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0b1179…
07-20 11:29:34	sol updown 5m 1784546700	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1cc44f…
07-20 11:29:24	btc updown 5m 1784546700	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe243c1…
07-20 09:58:30	sol updown 15m 1784540700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc93434…
07-20 06:59:21	btc updown 15m 1784529900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x59a5ce…
07-20 03:55:46	solana up or down july 19 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xd735c6…
07-20 00:54:28	xrp updown 5m 1784508600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0a6aec…
07-20 00:54:24	btc updown 5m 1784508600	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6ace26…
07-19 17:56:43	solana up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x1df76c…
07-19 17:56:39	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x581207…
07-19 17:56:34	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc80db6…
07-19 14:58:57	sol updown 15m 1784472300	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x18fea6…
07-19 14:58:52	eth updown 15m 1784472300	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x6df92b…
07-19 14:58:49	btc updown 15m 1784472300	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1f7385…
07-19 13:58:25	btc updown 15m 1784468700	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x82b86a…
07-19 11:04:31	btc updown 5m 1784458800	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x12ef97…
07-19 07:44:15	xrp updown 5m 1784446800	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6fbe9c…
07-19 04:43:22	sol updown 15m 1784435400	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x95c1fa…
07-19 04:43:18	eth updown 15m 1784435400	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xba274b…
07-19 04:43:12	btc updown 15m 1784435400	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x7d2acf…
07-19 03:04:51	xrp updown 5m 1784430000	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f37a8…
07-19 03:04:15	doge updown 5m 1784430000	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xeaef28…
07-19 01:09:33	xrp updown 5m 1784423100	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfca6b4…
07-18 23:57:01	xrp updown 4h 1784404800	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xf914a4…
07-18 23:56:25	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2ff546…
07-18 22:43:57	eth updown 15m 1784413800	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x2cc6a7…
07-18 22:43:52	btc updown 15m 1784413800	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8082fd…
07-18 21:57:52	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe25229…
07-18 20:59:48	xrp updown 5m 1784408100	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x61dbf3…
07-18 18:28:27	btc updown 15m 1784398500	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xf4fe9d…
07-18 17:29:33	btc updown 15m 1784394900	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x716f5e…
07-18 15:30:57	xrp up or down on july 18 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf3480b…
07-18 14:59:01	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xb6dd9c…
07-18 10:58:09	eth updown 15m 1784371500	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0867ac…
07-18 10:58:04	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x4f3c7e…
07-18 09:59:51	btc updown 15m 1784367900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x73f0ec…
07-18 08:04:07	eth updown 5m 1784361600	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8eeeed…
07-18 07:58:21	xrp updown 15m 1784360700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4081b7…
07-18 07:58:18	eth updown 15m 1784360700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc56afc…
07-18 07:58:13	sol updown 15m 1784360700	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x959a79…
07-18 05:58:27	sol updown 15m 1784353500	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xd6f935…
07-18 05:58:24	xrp updown 15m 1784353500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd8d54d…
07-18 05:58:19	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7e44a7…
07-18 04:04:24	eth updown 5m 1784347200	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x71e83c…
07-18 04:04:21	btc updown 5m 1784347200	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x922409…
07-17 23:55:42	eth updown 4h 1784318400	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xb475f2…
07-17 23:55:37	xrp up or down july 17 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x1d9da4…
07-17 22:14:19	btc updown 15m 1784325600	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xea77bb…
07-17 20:29:00	sol updown 15m 1784319300	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xc474ac…
07-17 18:28:49	sol updown 15m 1784312100	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x268613…
07-17 15:31:24	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x149370…
07-17 11:43:39	sol updown 15m 1784287800	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x47a275…
07-17 08:59:31	doge updown 5m 1784278500	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x84cec7…
07-17 08:59:31	sol updown 15m 1784277900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6888a1…
07-17 03:56:25	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbc1618…
07-17 03:28:51	btc updown 15m 1784258100	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8e6635…
07-16 22:44:37	btc updown 5m 1784241600	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb19fab…
07-16 20:56:32	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7f1d77…
07-16 20:39:13	btc updown 5m 1784234100	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x16ab49…
07-16 19:58:34	btc updown 15m 1784231100	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1baa79…
07-16 19:58:26	sol updown 15m 1784231100	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x4b3cbb…
07-16 19:43:52	xrp updown 15m 1784230200	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x041760…
07-16 15:32:22	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x73f597…
07-16 15:32:11	ethereum above 1900 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x1a27ab…
07-16 03:28:14	sol updown 15m 1784171700	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x756396…
07-16 03:28:08	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xe6d0b5…
07-16 03:24:43	btc updown 5m 1784172000	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xe89684…
07-16 01:43:32	eth updown 15m 1784165400	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x47f33d…
07-15 23:59:50	btc updown 15m 1784159100	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x415b7c…
07-15 21:56:50	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x9b861c…
07-15 20:28:26	eth updown 15m 1784146500	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8ab2c8…
07-15 20:28:22	btc updown 15m 1784146500	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xa2fc17…
07-15 17:55:50	solana up or down july 15 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1a7cb6…
07-15 14:43:31	xrp updown 15m 1784125800	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa94982…
07-15 06:28:35	btc updown 15m 1784096100	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8f054a…
07-14 22:44:13	xrp updown 15m 1784068200	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd7b02a…
07-14 22:44:13	xrp updown 15m 1784068200	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x376847…
07-14 20:56:02	solana up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x1f7abf…
07-14 20:55:59	solana up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58b997…
07-14 20:55:58	solana up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd33a5c…
07-14 20:55:58	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x2a5a3b…
07-14 20:55:53	ethereum up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x817340…