Exciting-Modem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$367

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-14 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

75% 50% -$842

Other

22% 75% +$53

Crypto

4% 12% -$214

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	4	$6.6K	4,450	4,450	+0	Yes	-$1,527	06-14 23:30
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$4.2K	2,456	2,456	+0	Yes	+$734	04-12 23:04
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$3.1K	2,355	2,355	+0	No	-$56	06-08 02:40
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	16	$3.0K	2,513	3,128	-615	No	+$10	05-31 15:07
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	2	$692	667	667	+0	Under	+$92	05-30 16:18
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$407	448	448	+0	Yes	+$7	06-08 01:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:05 UTC	2	$286	385	371	+13	Up	-$101	04-14 18:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$252	155	155	+0	Yes	+$54	04-12 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:35 UTC	2	$244	167	162	+5	Down	+$49	04-13 22:38
Games Total: O/U 3.5	5	$142	350	350	+0	Under	-$103	06-01 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:45 UTC	1	$100	431	0	+431	Up	-$100	04-13 22:48
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$28	59	0	+59	No	-$28	01-14 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:30 UTC	1	$18	77	0	+77	Up	-$18	04-23 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:40 UTC	1	$10	50	0	+50	Up	-$10	04-13 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	Up	-$5	06-01 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	-$1	05-31 17:33
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	05-28 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 23:30:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,105	18¢	$379	0x39933c…
06-09 07:33:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,105	95¢	$2,000	0x842953…
06-08 02:40:34	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,343	66¢	$887	0x13e8eb…
06-08 02:22:34	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,343	74¢	$1,000	0xa40157…
06-08 02:15:22	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,012	65¢	$658	0x276d01…
06-08 02:11:27	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	288	69¢	$200	0x0db841…
06-08 02:08:15	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	316	63¢	$200	0x7af204…
06-08 02:07:42	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x79ff18…
06-08 01:31:39	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	312	32¢	$100	0x0addef…
06-08 01:29:01	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xfb1249…
06-08 01:23:18	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	136	79¢	$107	0x68e28f…
06-08 01:06:34	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0xf20a61…
06-07 23:40:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2,345	91¢	$2,134	0xd54c19…
06-05 00:29:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,345	87¢	$2,040	0x0d9a27…
06-01 17:10:58	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	350	5¢	$19	0x798e71…
06-01 17:08:47	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x4190e5…
06-01 17:08:45	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x4afc04…
06-01 17:08:45	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	222	35¢	$78	0x423d37…
06-01 17:08:45	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	99	35¢	$35	0x2fee98…
06-01 15:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe47ab6…
05-31 17:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc46321…
05-31 15:07:08	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	1,590	71¢	$1,135	0xc6bb51…
05-30 16:18:07	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	667	59¢	$392	0x88da27…
05-30 15:16:17	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0x1de1d5…
05-28 17:41:31	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfa2cbd…
05-25 17:23:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x309159…
05-24 00:21:01	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x8a055f…
05-22 12:31:38	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb9ba62…
05-18 13:42:26	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x572e5b…
05-14 07:26:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0x7653ee…
05-09 18:48:08	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x4c61d4…
05-09 14:41:05	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x18be74…
05-09 14:30:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	149	34¢	$50	0x972796…
05-09 14:07:38	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	412	74¢	$307	0x0cda50…
05-09 13:43:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	181	28¢	$50	0xc23816…
05-09 13:33:27	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	137	74¢	$101	0xad6eec…
05-09 13:17:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	550	73¢	$400	0xd9689d…
05-09 13:15:55	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	988	30¢	$292	0x4a64bb…
05-09 09:28:15	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	121	41¢	$50	0x96ed8f…
05-05 13:33:08	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0xde3aca…
04-23 18:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	77	23¢	$18	0xe467a6…
04-14 18:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	371	23¢	$86	0x325f7b…
04-14 18:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0xb3febd…
04-13 22:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	431	23¢	$100	0x8af2a3…
04-13 22:42:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xdf8941…
04-13 22:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	162	89¢	$144	0x100b11…
04-13 22:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xbea352…
04-12 23:04:21	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	2,456	100¢	$2,453	0xee878b…
04-12 22:18:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0xbffa07…
04-02 21:54:39	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2,456	70¢	$1,719	0xd7f977…
04-01 22:16:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	155	64¢	$99	0xf3f2dd…
01-14 00:22:30	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	48¢	$28	0x453102…