Turbulent-Humidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

347

Trades

4,146

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 08-12 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 48% $-27

Other

39% 67% +$2

Politics

16% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	150	$964	869	741	+128	open	—	07-31 19:30
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	145	$792	741	741	+0	open	—	04-10 21:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	80	$560	482	482	+0	open	—	06-29 16:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	82	$459	826	826	+0	open	—	06-30 14:14
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	74	$389	561	561	+0	open	—	04-08 22:55
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	53	$363	333	333	+0	open	—	06-24 16:11
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 56 57f	53	$256	234	234	+0	open	—	03-23 05:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	55	$246	375	375	+0	open	—	07-31 16:20
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	45	$230	146	139	+7	open	—	08-12 22:00
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 11	71	$199	225	225	+0	open	—	04-11 16:54
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	43	$194	172	172	+0	open	—	08-09 13:32
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	28	$167	199	199	-0	open	—	07-01 06:18
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 16c	32	$137	237	237	+0	open	—	03-23 15:35
highest temperature in nyc on march 21 2026 56 57f	27	$133	127	127	+0	open	—	03-21 21:46
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	37	$130	235	235	+0	open	—	06-25 15:45
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	45	$126	2,130	2,130	+0	open	—	07-31 07:54
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	39	$110	263	263	+0	open	—	07-11 21:01
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	35	$102	143	141	+2	open	—	03-22 15:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	18	$92	121	121	+0	open	—	06-26 13:44
highest temperature in ankara on march 23 2026 12c	25	$85	73	71	+2	open	—	03-23 10:28
highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 27c	14	$79	52	52	+0	open	—	04-10 08:05
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 58 59f	20	$78	112	112	+0	open	—	03-22 20:53
iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	13	$75	46	46	+0	open	—	06-27 22:05
dota2 gl ngx 2026 04 10 game1	17	$74	314	231	+83	open	—	04-10 19:25
cs2 zotix vex1 2026 04 11	18	$69	155	114	+42	open	—	04-11 21:05
highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 80 81f	14	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 21:56
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 26c	10	$65	38	38	+0	open	—	03-23 08:44
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 82 83f	17	$64	76	76	+0	open	—	04-02 20:04
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$60	66	66	+0	open	—	04-13 15:20
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	10	$58	53	53	+0	open	—	07-24 15:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 22:00:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x71c125…
08-12 21:59:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x8468c5…
08-12 21:59:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xa54fcf…
08-12 21:59:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf8d5f1…
08-12 21:57:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xae6820…
08-12 21:51:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x4ad978…
08-12 21:49:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x0aaa9b…
08-12 21:18:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xf0d8b9…
08-12 21:18:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x1546c3…
08-12 21:12:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x1f9572…
08-12 21:11:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x658bee…
08-12 20:21:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x98a43d…
08-12 20:20:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x13d52b…
08-12 19:46:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x05da58…
08-12 19:42:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x90dfc2…
08-12 19:37:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x9d11e3…
08-12 19:36:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x63e82e…
08-12 19:36:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x51f03e…
08-12 19:12:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0x251800…
08-12 19:03:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xa00265…
08-12 18:44:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5a1055…
08-12 18:08:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x4d60d0…
08-12 17:51:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x0af45d…
08-12 17:48:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0xbeeb10…
08-12 17:47:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xc3749c…
08-12 17:45:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5e6cbd…
08-12 17:45:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x368012…
08-12 17:42:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x207d81…
08-12 17:40:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x9556ff…
08-12 17:39:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x460a0f…
08-12 17:39:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x898742…
08-12 17:39:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0e4cc9…
08-12 17:36:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x65df7e…
08-12 17:36:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xae49a8…
08-12 17:30:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x05bb2b…
08-12 16:46:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x09621d…
08-12 16:40:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xb1f213…
08-12 16:38:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xac2240…
08-12 16:37:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x5bbe32…
08-12 16:36:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc80a7b…
08-12 16:36:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa1a0fa…
08-12 16:33:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$4	0x50efec…
08-12 16:33:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x5a606e…
08-12 16:31:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x30ac73…
08-12 16:30:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xcb97e8…
08-09 13:32:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x929131…
08-09 13:32:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x972cdb…
08-09 11:08:58	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x2927d3…
08-09 10:56:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe86bf2…
08-09 04:09:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0xf908f8…
08-09 02:30:51	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xd92ba6…
08-08 16:20:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xc152a7…
08-07 14:16:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xa39ddc…
08-07 03:19:13	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x96ec31…
08-07 03:18:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x92cd7d…
08-03 17:51:59	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xe72898…
08-03 17:44:35	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xec6547…
08-03 17:37:05	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x49ae21…
08-03 17:00:47	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x7792df…
08-03 16:35:32	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x46c70c…
08-03 13:22:38	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfa5c63…
08-03 09:53:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x479be0…
08-02 09:35:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x9e759b…
08-02 09:23:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0x10d1eb…
08-02 08:50:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x727682…
08-02 08:35:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6f1c37…
08-02 05:33:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x824767…
08-02 05:29:15	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xeff191…
08-02 00:38:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x7631b0…
08-01 22:28:20	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8c3908…
08-01 21:18:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x97e695…
08-01 20:04:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x573a42…
08-01 20:00:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x531928…
08-01 20:00:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd195c4…
08-01 19:58:51	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x79664f…
08-01 14:59:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x4c2e92…
08-01 14:54:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x5b2fea…
08-01 12:42:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x03958a…
08-01 11:23:14	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xcf00e8…
08-01 10:26:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xf5c404…
08-01 09:58:05	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x58bceb…
08-01 09:25:12	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x2528ca…
08-01 02:02:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x9d4bb1…
08-01 01:59:20	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x2e547e…
07-31 23:06:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xb496dd…
07-31 23:02:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe48197…
07-31 22:59:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x2ded8c…
07-31 20:24:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf17261…
07-31 19:30:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	128	3¢	$4	0xcad360…
07-31 19:30:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0x4e8b80…
07-31 19:30:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	122	6¢	$7	0xdbd3df…
07-31 19:30:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x49ac5b…
07-31 19:29:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x22d75b…
07-31 19:27:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x998717…
07-31 19:26:53	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xb09062…
07-31 19:25:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x4f5afd…
07-31 19:24:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xe5d00e…
07-31 19:23:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xaf6bed…
07-31 19:23:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xa56aa7…
07-31 19:01:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x779ee0…