Costly-Alert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-13 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

44% 0% $-1

Other

34% 0% $-1

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$1.4K	712	712	+0	No	$-1	04-11 21:23
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$1.0K	528	528	+0	Yes	$-1	04-05 04:36
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$943	496	496	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$847	434	434	+0	open	—	03-21 03:13
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	7	$841	431	431	+0	open	—	03-29 14:55
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$800	418	418	+0	open	—	03-29 23:08
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$440	225	225	+0	open	—	03-14 20:53
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$424	223	223	+0	open	—	03-15 07:17
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$417	214	214	+0	open	—	03-20 21:55
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$415	216	216	+0	open	—	03-13 13:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$414	212	212	+0	open	—	03-12 18:07
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$408	211	211	+0	open	—	03-28 00:59
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$396	210	210	+0	open	—	03-24 20:07
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$395	213	213	+0	open	—	03-30 08:28
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 01:45
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$384	205	205	+0	open	—	03-29 03:16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$243	126	126	+0	open	—	05-10 09:13
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$239	126	126	+0	open	—	04-19 03:33
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$216	113	113	+0	open	—	04-14 00:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$208	107	106	+0	open	—	04-27 03:01
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	04-16 20:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$180	92	92	+0	open	—	04-09 03:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	6	$176	90	90	+0	open	—	05-19 05:44
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	2	$129	66	66	+0	open	—	04-16 05:04
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	2	$128	68	68	+0	open	—	06-03 22:35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$121	63	63	+0	open	—	04-06 10:40
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-05 12:00
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-02 15:32
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	04-05 17:10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$111	58	58	+0	open	—	04-22 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 01:15:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x5c646a…
06-13 17:12:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$42	0x1cb42c…
06-09 12:11:54	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x8218d8…
06-09 08:08:16	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x0d2df0…
06-06 05:02:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0x3009eb…
06-06 00:59:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0x0246e9…
06-03 22:35:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	68	93¢	$63	0xa37713…
06-03 14:34:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0x8f205a…
06-03 06:25:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x730681…
06-03 01:23:07	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x91495a…
05-22 13:13:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x90e5e4…
05-22 07:07:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x1a888e…
05-20 15:46:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xa43f9d…
05-20 09:40:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0x7113a2…
05-19 05:44:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x214c1c…
05-18 21:44:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf07e7d…
05-18 21:42:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x5c63c0…
05-17 14:51:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x4a2e63…
05-17 08:19:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x045364…
05-17 08:00:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdece7b…
05-17 07:47:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x664d79…
05-11 17:03:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x002823…
05-11 10:53:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x91c4c2…
05-11 09:02:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x1de58a…
05-10 13:21:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	54	90¢	$48	0xa69e12…
05-10 09:20:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x23d648…
05-10 09:13:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xd7241c…
05-10 01:10:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xdd3880…
05-05 05:32:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0xf6f21a…
05-05 00:29:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xed3ed8…
05-01 10:53:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x45fc56…
05-01 06:52:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xe8bcf8…
04-27 12:34:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0x0166c7…
04-27 08:53:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xfdef36…
04-27 08:30:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe3b53d…
04-27 03:01:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	106	98¢	$105	0xe0b544…
04-25 06:11:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	107	97¢	$103	0x7d42a9…
04-22 21:40:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$55	0x1e277c…
04-22 12:52:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xc13291…
04-19 22:40:24	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x58f308…
04-19 11:18:04	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf15309…
04-19 03:33:50	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x8fff23…
04-18 17:36:50	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0xd45777…
04-17 19:22:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xa212b2…
04-17 09:29:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xc8dd64…
04-16 20:30:56	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xf0d4ed…
04-16 11:27:18	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x5cdfb1…
04-16 05:04:20	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0x1c1a2f…
04-15 19:13:38	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xd96d95…
04-14 00:49:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xa895f7…
04-13 18:47:45	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$53	0xebaf33…
04-13 16:11:19	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	65	95¢	$61	0x1b4c9a…
04-13 07:53:19	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x0fdaab…
04-12 18:26:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x8b3f24…
04-12 13:20:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf8540f…
04-11 21:23:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0xc27da7…
04-11 14:16:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0x6de85c…
04-10 00:12:21	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xd264fa…
04-09 19:03:21	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x62b4ad…
04-09 03:16:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x0a9c8b…
04-08 22:11:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x51f84d…
04-06 22:01:13	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x4f806d…
04-06 16:57:47	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x7e972f…
04-06 10:40:53	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xf7f740…
04-06 06:37:45	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xed9e96…
04-05 17:10:41	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	97¢	$58	0x0140dd…
04-05 12:08:07	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xf5123a…
04-05 12:00:35	will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xf0bf86…
04-05 04:56:01	will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x4fb9fb…
04-05 04:36:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x9fa4db…
04-04 23:34:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x614778…
04-03 16:15:45	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x314d00…
04-03 10:12:17	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9ee31a…
04-03 10:01:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x3ed167…
04-03 04:01:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x80df19…
04-03 03:51:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xe911c1…
04-02 21:48:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xbf623b…
04-02 15:32:33	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xdf9c90…
04-02 11:18:25	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x562883…
04-01 17:21:31	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$52	0x88674f…
04-01 09:03:21	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x446eff…
03-31 22:54:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x83fc19…
03-31 14:37:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xbbd2ec…
03-31 04:00:31	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$47	0x906065…
03-30 23:33:11	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$46	0xbb4670…
03-30 17:08:23	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x983657…
03-30 09:51:58	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x36e1f6…
03-30 08:28:48	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	213	92¢	$197	0xca0a4c…
03-29 23:42:28	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	213	93¢	$198	0x599bb3…
03-29 23:08:44	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	199	96¢	$192	0xcd72cc…
03-29 15:59:00	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	199	97¢	$193	0x66abc7…
03-29 14:55:24	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	207	98¢	$202	0xb0d29c…
03-29 10:33:42	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	207	98¢	$202	0xee95d1…
03-29 03:16:52	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	205	93¢	$191	0x0be0b4…
03-28 23:11:10	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	205	94¢	$193	0x8fe613…
03-28 00:59:57	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	211	96¢	$203	0x0c293d…
03-27 18:17:53	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x5de6d3…
03-27 17:56:07	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	142	97¢	$139	0xebadb3…
03-27 01:45:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x51023f…
03-26 21:26:31	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	147	98¢	$144	0x52647e…