Shallow-Supplier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

1.2%

Resolved

288

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 11-02 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Sports

87% 20% -$18

Crypto

11% 65% -$1,327

Other

2% 53% -$17

Politics

0% 20% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+2	$1	76¢	$1	+$0	08-24 15:38
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+13	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	09-17 10:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$10.0K	5,086	5,086	+0	No	-$5	06-16 16:32
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$10.0K	5,085	5,085	+0	No	-$5	06-16 16:44
bitcoin up or down on february 5	1	$1.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	-$1,250	02-04 13:42
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	5	$612	102,052	102,052	+0	No	$0	02-13 09:59
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	4	$385	249	249	+0	Yes	-$5	03-23 13:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	4	$200	40,000	40,000	+0	No	-$40	02-10 11:51
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	5	$22	101	0	+101	Yes	-$22	03-24 13:17
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$5	04-21 10:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	09-30 14:04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	+$7	04-26 03:35
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$10	25	0	+25	Yes	+$15	09-30 14:04
spx up or down on march 23 2026	7	$10	97	60	+37	Up	-$2	03-23 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:00 UTC	2	$8	6	5	+0	Down	$0	02-10 13:02
will india win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	2	$7	7	7	+0	Yes	-$3	03-08 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:00 UTC	3	$6	25	0	+25	Up	-$6	07-22 06:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	10-10 13:52
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$5	90	0	+90	Yes	-$5	02-24 11:46
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	1	$5	20	0	+20	Pakistan	-$5	02-28 17:15
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	2	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	07-14 11:07
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	2	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	07-14 11:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$5	21	17	+4	Down	-$3	05-16 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 17:25 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	$0	02-12 16:05
ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-22 14:16
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	03-30 10:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:45 UTC	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	02-10 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:05 UTC	2	$4	34	0	+34	Down	-$4	07-22 06:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 13:10 UTC	3	$3	6	6	+0	Down	-$1	02-24 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:25 UTC	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	02-12 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 13:15 UTC	2	$3	16	0	+16	Down	-$1	02-24 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$3	12	0	+12	Down	-$3	05-24 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:31:52	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc40432…
10-14 16:08:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xca17c4…
10-10 13:52:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x98f5d4…
09-30 14:04:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x462c4e…
09-30 14:04:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x0a1989…
09-27 13:54:45	nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	Chiefs	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xca4199…
09-17 10:56:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x32a16d…
09-05 14:24:19	bitcoin above 78k on september 6 2026	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x3e3b45…
08-24 15:38:49	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x03d01f…
08-15 10:45:45	bitcoin above 64k on august 15 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x724b0c…
08-15 10:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xea0d04…
08-07 10:47:07	bitcoin above 64k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd516ec…
08-04 17:00:42	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7552e3…
07-29 11:42:45	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x62f566…
07-26 09:53:51	bitcoin above 64k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x465b72…
07-22 14:16:36	ethereum above 1900 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x950687…
07-22 06:07:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x527ded…
07-22 06:07:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1dab24…
07-22 06:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x367fb1…
07-22 06:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8b6a88…
07-22 06:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5f1602…
07-21 04:01:27	bitcoin above 64k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6b42fe…
07-21 03:57:31	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd782d7…
07-21 03:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x73616b…
07-20 16:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc98583…
07-19 14:18:48	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x73dfa1…
07-15 11:33:29	Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x63979f…
07-15 11:26:25	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9a8332…
07-14 11:07:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x9cd21e…
07-14 11:07:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x53689e…
07-14 10:38:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe0bd26…
07-14 10:36:59	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf3238e…
07-14 10:36:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8e1a69…
07-12 13:49:43	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x57004f…
07-12 13:45:34	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xca68d4…
07-12 13:45:11	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x10327c…
07-03 15:02:52	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb184d8…
07-01 14:07:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x69c3ce…
07-01 14:02:04	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7a35d0…
06-29 11:45:16	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9e61e4…
06-17 14:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8b9d29…
06-16 16:44:55	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,542	98¢	$2,501	0x01a018…
06-16 16:41:32	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,542	98¢	$2,504	0x19e765…
06-16 16:32:32	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,546	98¢	$2,507	0x5cc0ed…
06-16 16:23:50	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,546	99¢	$2,510	0x265cad…
06-16 16:19:31	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,543	98¢	$2,502	0xc9209f…
06-16 16:15:58	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,543	99¢	$2,505	0x5a9904…
06-16 16:13:14	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2,541	98¢	$2,502	0xcb8f79…
06-16 16:05:41	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,541	99¢	$2,505	0x43c7d5…
06-14 04:54:03	Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x16c1d5…
06-02 14:46:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xef80df…
06-02 14:45:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xf47f9d…
05-30 14:30:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x33bb52…
05-28 11:40:09	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdcce57…
05-28 11:11:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x909b21…
05-24 10:49:47	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x326715…
05-24 10:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3dd38e…
05-24 10:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xab956d…
05-24 10:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa354f1…
05-24 10:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc304ba…
05-18 01:44:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcda07…
05-18 01:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x03d543…
05-18 01:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2d7736…
05-16 05:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0201b3…
05-16 05:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x22165f…
05-16 05:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x328c73…
05-16 05:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x76cae1…
05-16 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc701e7…
05-14 09:49:51	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd95734…
05-14 09:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf052db…
05-12 05:24:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1d25cc…
05-12 05:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x754381…
05-12 05:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x992db4…
05-12 05:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7ac2a8…
05-10 09:54:52	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x345dd6…
05-10 09:54:27	BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e51c5…
05-10 09:53:42	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84ed17…
05-10 09:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf1fab…
05-10 09:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x26810d…
05-08 13:19:58	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xacd7a5…
05-08 13:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x86b207…
05-08 13:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0ac47b…
05-08 13:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0f84c1…
05-07 05:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x96de8e…
05-07 05:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6a6eec…
05-07 05:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x1eba01…
05-07 05:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x994629…
05-07 05:14:02	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x433e40…
05-07 05:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe62a79…
05-07 05:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6405c9…
05-07 04:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6c5025…
05-07 04:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f38b1…
05-07 04:19:49	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8192e8…
05-07 04:19:21	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x47a47b…
05-07 04:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf6a60b…
05-07 04:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd2b1bf…
05-07 04:14:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe42a8a…
05-07 04:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e9764…
04-26 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab9f4e…
04-26 03:43:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdc9b8a…