Serpentine-Proof — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

217

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$695

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-25 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

68% 35% -$54

Sports

29% 48% +$30

Politics

2% 25% -$6

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+21	$5	22¢	$5	$0	10-16 10:18
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+22	$3	10¢	$2	-$1	07-25 03:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	2	$40	47	47	+0	Yes	+$24	01-25 18:08
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	3	$24	16	16	+0	Yes	+$7	04-14 23:48
76ers vs. Celtics	3	$19	14	14	+0	76ers	+$9	05-03 02:48
epl mun ful 2026 02 01 mun	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	02-01 18:53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$13	41	0	+41	No	-$13	05-30 05:30
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$3	02-07 16:42
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 mun	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	-$10	02-09 07:45
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	01-11 23:38
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$9	7	7	+0	Timberwolves	+$5	04-26 04:35
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 btts	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	01-25 17:20
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	2	$8	5	5	+0	Volkanovski	+$2	02-01 06:10
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	2	$8	5	5	+0	Texans	+$2	01-13 04:22
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$1	02-25 02:50
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	1	$8	15	0	+15	Under	-$8	06-25 16:13
will ja morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	-$2	01-20 04:33
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	04-15 23:41
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5	2	$7	5	5	+0	Over	+$3	05-03 02:48
epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	1	$7	11	0	+11	No	-$7	02-09 07:44
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	2	$7	12	0	+12	Yes	+$5	02-04 02:34
Goyang vs. KCC Egis	4	$7	21	11	+10	KCC Egis	-$5	05-05 06:35
nba atl lal 2026 01 13	2	$7	5	5	+0	Lakers	+$3	01-14 06:45
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	04-19 15:12
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	2	$6	4	4	+0	76ers	+$2	05-03 02:48
nba hou lal 2026 04 21 spread away 5pt5	2	$6	4	4	+0	Lakers	+$2	04-22 05:56
nba phi bos 2026 04 21 spread home 14pt5	2	$6	4	4	+0	76ers	+$2	04-22 01:41
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	1	$6	12	0	+12	Over	+$6	06-24 05:02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	05-04 09:15
KCC Egis vs. Anyang	1	$6	10	0	+10	KCC Egis	+$4	04-30 09:27
2026 masters tournament top20 bryson dechambeau	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	-$6	04-08 10:19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	-$6	05-06 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 00:53:36	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x056e47…
10-18 23:57:53	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x28bde8…
10-16 10:18:06	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xeec0a6…
08-13 22:39:48	wnba wsh las 2026 08 13 points jackie young 19pt5	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9ca9ee…
07-25 15:50:07	mlb tor bos 2026 07 25 k dylan cease 7pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8f2ac7…
07-25 03:53:36	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xa101b6…
07-20 03:57:07	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xe590ab…
06-25 16:13:40	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xb4011a…
06-24 05:02:20	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xd623e2…
06-23 10:37:46	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x506777…
06-23 10:36:56	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9d0c76…
06-23 10:36:26	Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x923e2a…
06-23 10:35:47	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	England	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf73ebb…
06-23 10:34:49	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xddccf0…
06-23 06:36:20	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xd3dc16…
06-23 03:25:05	Algeria leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3490fa…
06-23 03:21:02	Algeria leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x89618e…
06-23 01:23:07	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x830b30…
06-22 12:32:41	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2d2bc4…
06-22 12:32:08	Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x94ecf4…
06-22 06:12:31	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf06843…
06-22 06:09:20	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x1fd99a…
06-21 16:07:40	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xdfcb9c…
06-21 16:00:40	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xbffb68…
06-20 09:03:40	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe29bd3…
06-20 09:01:26	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x863011…
06-20 09:01:13	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x2ccb3a…
06-20 02:35:41	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbd1b0f…
06-18 13:33:47	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x484bbc…
06-18 13:33:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb4c82c…
06-18 13:33:05	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xdde8e0…
06-18 13:32:47	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x214a22…
06-17 19:07:01	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2267e5…
06-17 14:12:25	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd70309…
06-17 14:11:08	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3c2d1e…
06-17 14:10:55	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x48409d…
06-17 14:10:43	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3cae7c…
06-17 04:45:01	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Jordan	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x70210d…
06-17 03:10:49	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xafbebc…
06-16 19:06:20	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5a91a0…
06-16 06:00:10	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x10a991…
06-15 10:57:33	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1119b8…
06-15 10:56:37	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe56d0b…
06-15 10:54:10	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x2fcab3…
06-15 02:27:00	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe95f6e…
06-15 02:26:36	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe59c36…
06-15 02:26:09	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc39a30…
06-14 17:03:33	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6cf14b…
06-13 08:39:00	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2aa519…
06-13 00:00:16	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x608f52…
06-10 15:26:18	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x259da4…
06-04 02:48:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7d629c…
05-30 05:30:49	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0xe7ab89…
05-29 08:13:45	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x857349…
05-26 15:25:13	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x87b73a…
05-26 15:22:05	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0e36bf…
05-25 10:11:23	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5afd3c…
05-23 03:01:35	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6a16b7…
05-19 16:26:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x696237…
05-17 12:31:01	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x604729…
05-12 03:31:51	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x882167…
05-12 01:20:41	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x900404…
05-10 02:43:07	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x51ad64…
05-08 02:35:29	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x138dd4…
05-07 11:34:07	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf3bfb2…
05-07 09:59:51	Goyang vs. KCC Egis	Goyang	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6ba459…
05-06 10:08:12	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x77bc63…
05-06 10:07:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x324341…
05-06 10:07:06	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x469039…
05-06 00:08:42	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8089f6…
05-05 10:11:38	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x27c567…
05-05 06:35:08	Goyang vs. KCC Egis	Goyang	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcb4b4f…
05-05 06:28:00	Goyang vs. KCC Egis	Goyang	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x84ca15…
05-05 05:51:28	Goyang vs. KCC Egis	Goyang	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb1e6a8…
05-05 05:36:42	Goyang vs. KCC Egis	Goyang	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4020e5…
05-05 00:06:08	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc8b19a…
05-04 09:15:30	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x5916ae…
05-04 09:13:16	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x400062…
05-04 09:13:00	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc6e804…
05-03 16:18:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x473b6b…
05-03 16:18:04	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xcaa35d…
05-03 16:10:50	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x879522…
05-03 12:23:26	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4207cb…
05-03 12:22:34	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe91052…
05-03 12:21:30	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xce93ac…
05-03 12:21:02	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x14762d…
05-03 12:20:26	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x528c99…
05-03 12:19:08	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x05ec6b…
05-03 02:48:32	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	76ers	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3f89cd…
05-03 02:48:24	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x204880…
05-03 02:48:10	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xda9967…
05-02 23:12:08	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9790ba…
05-02 17:52:10	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x58e597…
05-02 13:38:32	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	EVOS	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4f6b75…
05-02 09:13:58	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: EVOS vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	EVOS	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe9a6ea…
05-02 08:50:56	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x389b29…
05-02 08:50:40	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0500a1…
05-02 08:47:40	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6f4193…
05-02 08:45:28	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x21509b…
05-02 02:04:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3bebcc…