Gray-Dial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$164

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,608

lifetime

Volume

$263.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-14 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% +$164

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773847800	8	$710	434	433	+1	open	—	03-18 15:44
btc updown 15m 1773062100	4	$700	437	436	+1	open	—	03-09 13:30
btc updown 15m 1775626200	2	$573	398	383	+15	open	—	04-08 05:47
btc updown 15m 1773112500	2	$445	256	254	+2	open	—	03-10 03:30
btc updown 15m 1773221400	2	$440	250	248	+2	open	—	03-11 09:45
btc updown 15m 1774441800	2	$435	246	244	+2	open	—	03-25 12:43
btc updown 15m 1773060300	2	$430	240	238	+1	open	—	03-09 13:00
btc updown 15m 1773335700	9	$425	235	234	+1	open	—	03-12 17:29
bitcoin up or down march 7 9am et	4	$424	233	232	+1	open	—	03-07 14:57
btc updown 15m 1774592100	2	$422	232	231	+1	open	—	03-27 06:29
btc updown 15m 1775108700	11	$420	231	228	+3	open	—	04-02 06:00
btc updown 15m 1774610100	2	$419	228	227	+1	open	—	03-27 11:29
btc updown 15m 1774598400	8	$419	228	227	+1	open	—	03-27 08:14
btc updown 15m 1774613700	2	$419	228	227	+1	open	—	03-27 12:28
btc updown 15m 1775115900	2	$418	228	226	+2	open	—	04-02 07:58
btc updown 15m 1773336600	5	$417	227	226	+1	open	—	03-12 17:44
btc updown 15m 1773846000	2	$417	226	225	+1	open	—	03-18 15:14
btc updown 15m 1774614600	2	$417	226	225	+1	open	—	03-27 12:44
btc updown 15m 1774533600	12	$417	226	225	+1	open	—	03-26 14:14
btc updown 15m 1774616400	2	$416	225	225	+1	open	—	03-27 13:14
btc updown 15m 1774444500	9	$416	225	224	+1	open	—	03-25 13:27
btc updown 15m 1775113200	2	$415	226	223	+2	open	—	04-02 07:12
btc updown 15m 1773834300	2	$415	224	223	+1	open	—	03-18 11:58
btc updown 15m 1775131200	2	$414	223	221	+2	open	—	04-02 12:16
btc updown 15m 1774591200	2	$414	223	222	+1	open	—	03-27 06:13
btc updown 15m 1775635200	7	$414	229	226	+3	open	—	04-08 08:14
btc updown 15m 1773397800	7	$414	222	222	+1	open	—	03-13 10:43
btc updown 15m 1773217800	2	$412	221	220	+1	open	—	03-11 08:42
btc updown 15m 1773365400	2	$412	220	220	+1	open	—	03-13 01:44
btc updown 15m 1774266300	2	$412	220	220	+1	open	—	03-23 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x04c723…
05-14 10:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x5a998e…
05-14 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xd8857e…
05-14 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x94977e…
05-14 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x7676f4…
05-14 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	82	34¢	$28	0x4c7555…
05-14 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x3e4ab6…
05-14 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x25a0e2…
05-14 10:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x4409db…
05-14 10:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x120b04…
05-14 10:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x61ea15…
05-14 09:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	134	99¢	$132	0xfaefea…
05-14 09:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb6994d…
05-14 09:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb499f4…
05-14 09:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa2255f…
05-14 09:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5b8262…
05-14 09:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x57c82a…
05-14 09:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x22fd55…
05-14 09:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	90¢	$179	0xd0b02a…
05-14 08:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xae795e…
05-14 08:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x452a14…
05-14 08:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3e2fde…
05-14 08:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfa2c18…
05-14 08:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd4c6f5…
05-14 08:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0x1a48ed…
05-14 08:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x6583b0…
05-14 08:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xab6ed8…
05-14 08:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	142	99¢	$141	0x72f955…
05-14 08:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x308c37…
05-14 07:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x945865…
05-14 07:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x1bd30f…
05-14 07:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0x6cc075…
05-14 07:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	155	95¢	$148	0x9e4362…
05-14 07:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x9a5588…
05-14 07:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0x5802bb…
05-14 07:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb793b9…
05-14 07:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	179	95¢	$170	0xedc7aa…
05-14 06:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe314af…
05-14 06:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xce96d8…
05-14 06:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x9e5c6a…
05-14 06:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xf95ba4…
05-14 06:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xcfc7e8…
05-14 06:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x021195…
05-14 06:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0x3ee05e…
05-14 06:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0x2c2e54…
05-14 06:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x906614…
05-14 06:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc59cb5…
05-14 06:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5f1c1d…
05-14 06:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xeb9e7d…
05-14 06:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xee9bb4…
05-14 06:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x38dfeb…
05-14 05:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0xb75505…
05-14 05:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc58d61…
05-14 05:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbdafb5…
05-14 05:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x533d9f…
05-14 05:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x3140b8…
05-14 05:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xbcbe98…
05-14 05:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x506e21…
05-14 05:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x161259…
05-14 04:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf6beaf…
05-14 04:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0x3a27bf…
05-14 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xb355b7…
05-14 04:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0xdae50b…
05-14 04:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8c1ea9…
05-14 04:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe183d4…
05-14 04:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe04613…
05-14 04:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5edf2b…
05-14 04:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe767bf…
05-14 04:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x68c6f7…
05-14 04:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x358bb2…
05-14 04:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xf3a6c6…
05-14 04:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd1fc0b…
05-14 04:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b9547…
05-14 04:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7f8816…
05-14 04:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x34ffd8…
05-14 04:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xa8c5e6…
05-14 04:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x070fb5…
05-14 03:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xc26771…
05-14 03:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x39743c…
05-14 03:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x182348…
05-14 03:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x2e0d92…
05-14 03:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x8709cb…
05-14 03:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x681c0a…
05-14 03:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	71	31¢	$22	0x8e70af…
05-14 03:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x46621f…
05-14 03:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0xddb23e…
05-14 03:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5ba810…
05-14 03:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x10a38b…
05-14 03:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	124	95¢	$118	0xf845d5…
05-14 03:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0xd07be4…
05-13 11:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x6127f9…
05-13 10:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x08cb54…
05-13 09:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc459c7…
05-13 09:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xe09f3c…
05-13 09:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	108	95¢	$103	0x485b0e…
05-13 09:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xe9c692…
05-13 08:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	87¢	$175	0x5b76e8…
05-13 06:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x324cec…
05-13 06:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xe888bf…
05-13 06:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x375fcb…