Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

334

Trades

521

lifetime

Volume

$152.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$293

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-14 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 87% -$672

Other

26% 84% +$1,545

Politics

6% 50% -$3,432

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	5	$6.7K	4,702	4,702	+0	Yes	+$410	07-21 16:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	2	$5.5K	2,959	2,959	+0	No	+$345	07-31 13:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	2	$5.1K	2,614	2,614	+0	No	+$90	07-25 00:59
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	2	$4.7K	2,384	2,384	+0	No	+$50	07-22 04:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	2	$4.5K	2,534	2,534	+0	No	+$510	08-08 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	3	$4.0K	4,565	0	+4,565	Up	-$4,000	08-08 08:10
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	2	$3.4K	1,875	1,875	+0	No	+$117	10-14 01:04
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	2	$3.1K	3,392	0	+3,392	Yes	-$3,110	07-31 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 07:45 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,659	0	+3,659	Up	+$659	08-08 07:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:20 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,040	0	+3,040	Up	+$40	08-08 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$3.0K	3,075	0	+3,075	Up	+$75	08-08 07:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,145	0	+3,145	Down	+$145	08-08 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 05:55 UTC	1	$2.5K	2,509	0	+2,509	Up	+$30	07-22 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 05:50 UTC	2	$2.4K	2,474	0	+2,474	Down	+$74	07-22 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 05:05 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,405	0	+2,405	Down	+$25	07-22 05:09
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$2.1K	1,128	1,128	+0	Yes	+$146	10-05 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 05:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,063	0	+2,063	Up	+$63	08-08 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:40 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,281	0	+2,281	Down	+$281	07-31 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 05:20 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,037	0	+2,037	Up	+$37	08-08 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:05 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	Down	+$20	07-31 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:15 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,033	0	+2,033	Up	+$33	08-08 04:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 07:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,144	0	+2,144	Up	+$144	08-08 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 05:30 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,268	0	+2,268	Down	+$268	08-08 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 03:50 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,036	0	+2,036	Down	+$36	08-08 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:20 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,054	0	+2,054	Down	+$55	08-08 04:24
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	3	$1.5K	827	809	+17	Yes	-$16	07-05 22:10
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$1.5K	1,553	0	+1,553	Yes	+$53	10-11 18:29
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,560	0	+1,560	No	+$135	10-09 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 04:40 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,406	0	+1,406	Down	+$14	08-08 04:44
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 6?	1	$1.2K	1,265	0	+1,265	Yes	+$65	10-05 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 01:04:36	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	SELL	1,875	94¢	$1,767	0x9abd10…
10-12 17:31:33	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	1,875	88¢	$1,650	0x4b21bd…
10-11 18:29:51	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1,553	97¢	$1,500	0xa39b6a…
10-10 01:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,025	98¢	$1,000	0x4b9d0c…
10-09 23:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0x631269…
10-09 00:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1,560	91¢	$1,425	0x3549e3…
10-08 23:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,024	98¢	$1,000	0xbe3eb6…
10-08 22:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	833	99¢	$824	0x569acd…
10-08 19:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,036	96¢	$1,000	0xb519a6…
10-08 17:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,066	94¢	$1,000	0xe03fcc…
10-07 22:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,032	97¢	$1,000	0x5d70a6…
10-07 14:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0x2062d9…
10-07 12:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x9f27b4…
10-07 00:38:53	Will Messi score 3+ goals vs. Benin?	No	BUY	207	93¢	$193	0xaeb2fd…
10-06 23:27:20	Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x481567…
10-06 22:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,030	97¢	$1,000	0xd11413…
10-06 22:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	216	99¢	$214	0x348fe4…
10-05 16:02:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1,265	95¢	$1,200	0x6e5597…
10-05 14:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,079	93¢	$1,000	0xf1e782…
10-05 13:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x78769f…
10-05 13:24:25	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	1,128	100¢	$1,127	0xc9c340…
10-03 23:50:59	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1,128	87¢	$981	0xcc0c58…
10-03 18:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	928	97¢	$900	0x95f181…
10-03 16:54:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	922	98¢	$900	0xc2681c…
10-03 16:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	911	99¢	$900	0x01d950…
10-03 12:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	947	95¢	$900	0x5c1542…
10-02 19:53:00	Will Cyprus vs. Armenia end in a draw?	No	SELL	505	100¢	$505	0x7c5139…
10-02 17:46:38	Will Cyprus vs. Armenia end in a draw?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xb50ce5…
10-02 15:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xb1a30a…
10-02 14:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	570	88¢	$500	0x580ea9…
10-02 14:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xddf30a…
10-02 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x0b46a1…
10-02 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x2abd97…
10-02 13:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	566	88¢	$500	0x3d54bc…
10-02 12:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x609c8a…
10-02 12:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xe6f7bb…
10-02 12:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	528	95¢	$500	0x8e283d…
10-02 12:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x0cbda5…
10-02 12:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$26	0xf485a4…
10-02 12:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x120221…
09-23 20:39:25	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	826	85¢	$700	0xfa1fe7…
09-23 19:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0xd6dafc…
09-23 13:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	736	99¢	$728	0x0acd15…
09-23 13:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	726	96¢	$700	0x1bdcf3…
09-02 08:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa5e2d8…
09-02 08:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xe46bf8…
09-02 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x644011…
09-02 08:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x65bf97…
09-02 08:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x5ed25f…
09-02 08:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0xd4055c…
09-02 08:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x5b0562…
09-01 20:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	151	94¢	$142	0x498d32…
09-01 20:12:25	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x16117a…
09-01 20:09:06	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	129	98¢	$126	0xff16fd…
09-01 20:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	127	97¢	$123	0x80dbd5…
09-01 19:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	122	81¢	$99	0x8e14d1…
09-01 19:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xec0742…
09-01 19:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0x29e5a5…
09-01 18:59:07	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	148	95¢	$141	0xbc7ae0…
09-01 18:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x19d22d…
09-01 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xe52d39…
09-01 18:43:21	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	144	90¢	$129	0x5e0dcd…
09-01 18:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x92c6db…
09-01 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xd55018…
09-01 18:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x4d1b9c…
09-01 18:18:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x23e26e…
09-01 18:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xb90607…
09-01 18:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x7761f0…
09-01 17:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4be39b…
09-01 17:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	79	86¢	$68	0x40971d…
09-01 17:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0xe3b16a…
09-01 17:50:58	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	772	9¢	$69	0xc82c6a…
09-01 06:19:46	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	772	66¢	$509	0x1290bf…
09-01 05:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	517	93¢	$480	0xf327f9…
09-01 05:57:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	506	96¢	$484	0xed932e…
09-01 05:56:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	506	97¢	$491	0xd5a30c…
09-01 05:41:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0x41e558…
09-01 05:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	419	96¢	$400	0xe90b2d…
09-01 04:55:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	440	91¢	$400	0x423637…
09-01 04:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	417	96¢	$400	0x54cae7…
09-01 03:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	409	98¢	$400	0xe8bd6c…
09-01 01:43:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xa8fafd…
09-01 01:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	391	99¢	$387	0x5bf371…
09-01 01:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	391	98¢	$385	0x568edd…
09-01 01:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	396	97¢	$385	0xe34c76…
08-31 23:10:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	386	97¢	$375	0x5a768a…
08-31 22:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	376	99¢	$372	0x16ac7d…
08-31 22:52:40	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	383	97¢	$373	0x7a05ce…
08-31 11:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xa6a33c…
08-31 11:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xe280cf…
08-31 11:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1c7304…
08-31 10:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4d05d9…
08-31 06:21:52	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	66¢	$25	0xda8aa5…
08-27 01:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	94	90¢	$85	0xad4247…
08-27 00:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xfdcf3f…
08-27 00:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x76164f…
08-27 00:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0xe01fb0…
08-26 23:18:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x7fddf9…
08-26 23:11:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x542cef…
08-26 23:11:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x845534…