Stupendous-Castle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

673

Trades

1,285

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-21 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

78% 55% -$129

Crypto

22% 75% +$62

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	4	$233	121	121	+0	Yes	+$9	08-13 11:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	15	$232	122	122	+0	Yes	+$12	08-15 09:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?	2	$222	112	112	+0	Yes	+$2	08-14 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 14?	3	$219	119	119	+0	Yes	+$19	08-14 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 11?	2	$169	89	89	+0	No	+$9	08-11 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11?	2	$159	100	100	+0	Yes	+$41	10-11 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	2	$112	63	63	+0	Yes	+$12	08-12 15:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	3	$108	79	76	+2	Yes	+$47	04-25 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?	2	$101	145	145	+0	No	-$99	08-16 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?	3	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	08-07 08:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?	5	$92	62	62	+0	Yes	+$31	08-11 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?	5	$92	72	72	+0	Yes	+$51	10-11 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 19?	2	$90	60	60	+0	No	+$30	09-19 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 26?	2	$88	58	58	+0	No	+$28	09-26 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 17?	2	$87	57	57	+0	No	+$27	09-17 06:34
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 15 2026 27corbelow	2	$83	47	47	+0	No	+$3	02-15 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	3	$82	57	57	-0	Yes	+$32	08-10 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	3	$82	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	08-16 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20?	2	$80	50	50	+0	No	+$20	09-20 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	7	$79	52	52	+0	Yes	+$25	08-09 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 3?	2	$75	45	45	+0	No	+$15	10-03 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 21?	2	$73	43	43	+0	No	+$13	09-21 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 29?	2	$73	43	43	+0	No	+$13	09-29 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?	4	$72	46	46	+0	Yes	+$20	08-08 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 27?	2	$72	42	42	+0	No	+$12	09-27 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 25?	2	$72	42	42	+0	No	+$12	09-25 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?	2	$72	42	42	+0	No	+$12	10-03 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?	2	$71	41	41	+0	No	+$11	09-27 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 17?	2	$71	41	41	+0	No	+$11	09-17 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27?	2	$70	41	41	+0	No	+$10	09-27 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 11:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xbf5948…
10-21 08:29:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x7ffee3…
10-21 06:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	57	57¢	$33	0x474f6d…
10-20 18:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x02161c…
10-20 17:52:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xf57a33…
10-20 17:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xb95fa9…
10-20 17:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x886d86…
10-20 17:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x5e1a1a…
10-20 17:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x85f165…
10-20 16:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0xfc66d4…
10-20 16:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	59	16¢	$9	0x6f5a02…
10-20 15:25:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xb5ae0b…
10-11 09:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x030982…
10-11 09:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf463a6…
10-11 09:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xc18671…
10-11 09:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x721a63…
10-11 09:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x9c6177…
10-11 09:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc0ecaa…
10-11 07:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb1a07a…
10-11 07:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x26263a…
10-11 07:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xc97986…
10-11 06:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x26ce73…
10-11 04:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x0aaacd…
10-11 04:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xae580c…
10-11 04:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xf3d771…
10-11 04:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x253e86…
10-11 04:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x209173…
10-11 03:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xce8e0b…
10-11 03:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x8f5427…
10-11 03:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x1c4834…
10-11 03:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x384ace…
10-11 03:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x3a0d08…
10-11 03:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0xd82ff0…
10-11 03:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5011ca…
10-11 03:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x119920…
10-11 03:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x26e646…
10-11 03:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc5bfb5…
10-11 03:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7ead68…
10-11 03:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe4e1f9…
10-11 03:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0x62ea19…
10-11 03:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x554949…
10-11 03:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x42bd49…
10-11 03:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd57fd6…
10-11 03:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3223b5…
10-11 02:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xa179c3…
10-11 02:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x62fc7f…
10-10 06:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x42a612…
10-10 06:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf46752…
10-04 07:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x33bfb3…
10-04 06:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x90d64e…
10-04 06:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 4?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x20d016…
10-04 06:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 4?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0x689571…
10-04 05:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 4?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xd7e611…
10-04 05:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 4?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x4fde30…
10-04 05:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x8c6232…
10-04 05:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xa20742…
10-04 05:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x84f261…
10-04 04:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xd9fe09…
10-04 04:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 4?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x6ebfc0…
10-04 03:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x8d4457…
10-04 03:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 4?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x0882cf…
10-03 07:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 3?	No	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x428c98…
10-03 07:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xba52ba…
10-03 06:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 3?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x00a3d3…
10-03 06:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 3?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xe1f18f…
10-03 05:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x4745fc…
10-03 05:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 3?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x20ad7a…
10-03 05:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 3?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x540150…
10-03 04:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 3?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xb08e7e…
10-03 04:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xbbf27b…
10-03 04:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x5e9b0b…
10-03 04:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x3268a3…
10-02 07:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 2?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x0898d2…
10-02 06:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 2?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xa1c5fe…
10-02 06:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 2?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xb669c4…
10-02 06:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 2?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x95d5af…
10-02 05:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 2?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x27331f…
10-02 05:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x5b67dc…
10-02 04:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 2?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x02d5ea…
10-02 04:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 2?	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xd4af34…
10-02 03:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x2ab9ac…
09-30 09:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x4717b4…
09-30 09:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xcaa58e…
09-30 07:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x0526c5…
09-30 06:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x5473b7…
09-30 06:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0x09e5ec…
09-30 05:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x34d9f8…
09-30 04:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x6d6b80…
09-30 03:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xf083e4…
09-30 03:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 30?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x110521…
09-30 02:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x4b2244…
09-30 01:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xdf3d62…
09-30 01:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x14b79e…
09-29 08:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 29?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x1049ab…
09-29 08:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 29?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0dc93b…
09-29 07:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x98dc92…
09-29 07:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 29?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x35a1d3…
09-28 05:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 28?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x490610…
09-28 04:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 28?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xa268d9…
09-27 07:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0x66e08c…