Messy-Cofactor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

176

Trades

1,454

lifetime

Volume

$5.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-29 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up		+9	$7	100¢	$9	+$2	05-15 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$20	24	+24	open	—	05-03 14:49
btc updown 5m 1776693600	2	$20	23	+23	open	—	04-20 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$20	24	+24	open	—	05-03 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	8	$17	125	+125	open	—	05-28 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$15	17	+17	open	—	05-04 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$15	17	+17	open	—	05-03 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$15	17	+17	open	—	05-02 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$15	18	+18	open	—	05-03 14:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	19	$15	222	+222	open	—	05-28 03:44
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$13	15	+15	Up	$-13	05-13 05:49
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$13	15	+15	Up	+$2	05-12 16:09
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$13	15	+15	Up	+$2	05-12 16:58
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$13	15	+15	Down	+$2	05-12 16:23
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Up	$-12	05-13 22:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$12	15	+15	Down	+$3	05-12 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$12	15	+15	Down	+$3	05-13 14:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Up	$-12	05-13 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Down	+$3	05-13 11:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Up	+$3	05-13 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$12	15	+15	Down	$-12	05-12 16:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Up	+$2	05-13 06:19
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Up	+$2	05-13 10:24
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Down	+$2	05-14 00:44
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$12	15	+15	Down	+$2	05-13 06:54
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$12	15	+15	Down	+$2	05-13 02:54
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Up	+$2	05-14 01:19
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$12	15	+15	Down	+$3	05-14 02:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Up	$-12	05-12 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$12	15	+15	Up	+$3	05-13 16:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$12	15	+15	Down	+$3	05-13 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 16:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x035167…
05-29 16:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc21516…
05-29 16:40:33	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf7a721…
05-29 16:40:30	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9c0198…
05-29 16:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xedec3e…
05-28 22:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3db12b…
05-28 22:40:39	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x81a4c9…
05-28 22:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5806f4…
05-28 22:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1a2c9b…
05-28 22:25:59	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x47d843…
05-28 22:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x219a8d…
05-28 22:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb09743…
05-28 22:15:43	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x793fda…
05-28 22:15:40	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xa0ebc8…
05-28 22:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9d63f6…
05-28 22:15:40	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x7de8cb…
05-28 22:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2e2aa1…
05-28 22:10:19	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x6d0596…
05-28 22:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x29bbd3…
05-28 22:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x298fad…
05-28 22:10:18	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x273e6c…
05-28 22:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x09dbb8…
05-28 21:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2a4752…
05-28 21:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1d48c1…
05-28 21:30:59	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9721cc…
05-28 21:30:59	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0ff6c0…
05-28 21:22:03	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x00290a…
05-28 21:20:51	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x08f35d…
05-28 21:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf08394…
05-28 21:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa6686b…
05-28 21:17:13	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xaa9700…
05-28 21:17:13	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x32d728…
05-28 21:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1e4fbb…
05-28 21:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa86509…
05-28 21:10:48	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7d6f6e…
05-28 21:10:46	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2a7898…
05-28 21:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x598a3d…
05-28 21:05:36	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8ebbc3…
05-28 21:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x894967…
05-28 21:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4abb32…
05-28 21:05:27	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc1b8b1…
05-28 19:35:34	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xda1f32…
05-28 19:35:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2a3ee4…
05-28 19:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd9dfac…
05-28 19:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb87c72…
05-28 19:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8c5eb8…
05-28 19:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9a8000…
05-28 19:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2e2f74…
05-28 19:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xc1a729…
05-28 19:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x38af8e…
05-28 19:16:17	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x390614…
05-28 19:16:15	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x4bd55f…
05-28 19:15:53	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x4b310e…
05-28 19:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xbc3e84…
05-28 19:10:52	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf96d61…
05-28 19:10:50	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xe1da69…
05-28 19:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa07587…
05-28 19:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcd7dcb…
05-28 19:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x574aaa…
05-28 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb8a727…
05-28 19:00:36	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x88c05d…
05-28 18:55:52	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x23261b…
05-28 18:55:49	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf4a57c…
05-28 18:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xb4c390…
05-28 18:55:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x017395…
05-28 18:51:24	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3da855…
05-28 18:50:42	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x410cd8…
05-28 18:50:42	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0fdb60…
05-28 18:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5e828e…
05-28 18:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x3e60df…
05-28 18:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x210dc2…
05-28 18:41:03	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x9b6406…
05-28 18:40:56	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x82a85c…
05-28 18:40:42	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcbd0ba…
05-28 18:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xaa29c6…
05-28 18:35:43	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xeeaa3e…
05-28 18:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x613ce2…
05-28 18:35:43	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x344b8e…
05-28 18:35:36	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x82fbf5…
05-28 18:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x45831b…
05-28 18:30:59	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7d10c6…
05-28 18:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf04a42…
05-28 18:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe9860b…
05-28 18:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8199a1…
05-28 18:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa76b0c…
05-28 18:27:03	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe9dea0…
05-28 18:26:49	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf30adb…
05-28 18:25:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7d93f2…
05-28 18:15:58	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x47cb20…
05-28 18:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xac5b4f…
05-28 18:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7b8ea7…
05-28 18:10:19	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1715aa…
05-28 18:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf1edcb…
05-28 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x8789fe…
05-28 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x72f10e…
05-28 18:05:39	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe3f716…
05-28 17:45:49	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x45b46b…
05-28 17:45:40	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe1bc40…
05-28 17:45:38	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xcd8b8a…
05-28 17:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x59049e…