Necessary-Invasion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$47.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$422

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 07-09 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-5,019

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1783544700	10	$6.7K	5,343	5,343	+0	open	—	07-08 21:05
btc updown 5m 1783636200	11	$5.6K	5,063	5,063	+0	open	—	07-09 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$3.0K	5,568	0	+5,568	Down	$-3,000	05-13 15:10
btc updown 5m 1783635600	4	$3.0K	2,081	2,081	+0	open	—	07-09 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$2.9K	4,976	0	+4,976	Up	$-2,897	05-13 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$2.9K	4,179	0	+4,179	Up	+$1,314	05-13 15:20
btc updown 5m 1783636800	7	$2.8K	2,657	2,657	+0	open	—	07-09 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$2.8K	5,548	0	+5,548	Down	+$2,782	05-13 15:14
btc updown 5m 1783521000	7	$2.8K	2,296	2,296	+0	open	—	07-08 14:31
btc updown 5m 1783067700	2	$2.3K	1,436	1,436	+0	open	—	07-03 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$1.7K	3,439	0	+3,439	Up	$-1,711	05-13 16:09
eth updown 5m 1783067400	6	$1.4K	2,465	2,465	+0	open	—	07-03 08:32
btc updown 5m 1783637700	3	$1.3K	2,230	0	+2,230	open	—	07-09 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$1.3K	1,676	1,676	+0	Down	+$291	05-13 20:13
btc updown 5m 1783521600	2	$1.1K	889	889	+0	open	—	07-08 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1000	1,795	0	+1,795	Down	+$795	05-13 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$1000	1,823	0	+1,823	Up	$-1,000	05-13 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$865	2,648	0	+2,648	Up	$-865	05-13 20:31
eth updown 5m 1783067100	5	$725	2,645	0	+2,645	open	—	07-03 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$500	731	0	+731	Down	+$231	05-13 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$500	1,141	0	+1,141	Up	$-500	05-13 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$318	664	0	+664	Down	$-318	05-13 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$259	244	244	+0	Up	+$59	05-11 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$243	250	195	+56	Down	$-7	05-12 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$159	346	0	+346	Up	$-159	05-13 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$128	112	112	+0	Up	+$12	05-12 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$98	181	0	+181	open	—	05-04 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$91	60	60	+0	Down	+$25	05-12 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$73	77	77	+0	Down	+$23	05-12 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$68	50	50	+0	Up	+$18	05-12 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 23:00:49	btc updown 5m 1783638000	Down	BUY	28	48¢	$14	0x0a7bad…
07-09 22:55:08	btc updown 5m 1783637700	Up	BUY	744	59¢	$436	0xd20251…
07-09 22:55:08	btc updown 5m 1783637700	Up	BUY	923	56¢	$517	0xbf8e50…
07-09 22:55:08	btc updown 5m 1783637700	Up	BUY	563	62¢	$347	0x6d5d02…
07-09 22:40:35	btc updown 5m 1783636800	Up	SELL	947	51¢	$488	0x9be603…
07-09 22:40:35	btc updown 5m 1783636800	Up	SELL	1,043	56¢	$581	0x6bef6d…
07-09 22:40:35	btc updown 5m 1783636800	Up	SELL	667	49¢	$328	0x4ff40d…
07-09 22:39:50	btc updown 5m 1783636800	Up	BUY	518	53¢	$272	0xd71cb3…
07-09 22:39:50	btc updown 5m 1783636800	Up	BUY	1,480	51¢	$755	0x77d19a…
07-09 22:39:50	btc updown 5m 1783636800	Up	BUY	300	53¢	$160	0x5e39ed…
07-09 22:39:50	btc updown 5m 1783636800	Up	BUY	360	52¢	$187	0x057ff3…
07-09 22:32:44	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Up	SELL	843	59¢	$501	0x3ebe59…
07-09 22:32:44	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Up	SELL	1,555	62¢	$960	0x1f0823…
07-09 22:32:16	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Up	BUY	1,347	53¢	$713	0xe1daac…
07-09 22:32:16	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Up	BUY	1,051	56¢	$587	0x56c4cc…
07-09 22:31:22	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Down	SELL	968	54¢	$523	0xd7a13d…
07-09 22:31:22	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Down	SELL	1,496	51¢	$766	0xcc87b2…
07-09 22:31:22	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Down	SELL	201	49¢	$98	0xa7f616…
07-09 22:29:43	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Down	BUY	390	56¢	$218	0xefc694…
07-09 22:29:43	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Down	BUY	686	55¢	$380	0x38e6d6…
07-09 22:29:43	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Down	BUY	690	53¢	$368	0x205c86…
07-09 22:29:43	btc updown 5m 1783636200	Down	BUY	899	55¢	$493	0x1fd567…
07-09 22:23:16	btc updown 5m 1783635600	Up	SELL	534	69¢	$367	0xd7f8de…
07-09 22:23:16	btc updown 5m 1783635600	Up	SELL	1,547	71¢	$1,095	0x97cda8…
07-09 22:22:08	btc updown 5m 1783635600	Up	BUY	1,740	72¢	$1,244	0xd36bbd…
07-09 22:22:08	btc updown 5m 1783635600	Up	BUY	341	75¢	$256	0xc1797d…
07-08 21:05:53	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	SELL	822	66¢	$546	0xe0e608…
07-08 21:05:53	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	SELL	2,391	69¢	$1,661	0xb02bfe…
07-08 21:05:53	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	SELL	2,131	68¢	$1,449	0x6b52f7…
07-08 21:03:55	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	BUY	1,314	59¢	$771	0xf74a7f…
07-08 21:03:55	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	BUY	553	55¢	$304	0xf664dd…
07-08 21:03:55	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	BUY	498	52¢	$258	0x974ea9…
07-08 21:03:55	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	BUY	1,286	55¢	$701	0x8d0ddc…
07-08 21:03:55	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	BUY	588	56¢	$328	0x718946…
07-08 21:03:55	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	BUY	752	57¢	$427	0x67aff6…
07-08 21:03:55	btc updown 5m 1783544700	Up	BUY	351	60¢	$211	0x5e4722…
07-08 14:40:34	btc updown 5m 1783521600	Up	SELL	889	65¢	$575	0x6fc787…
07-08 14:40:13	btc updown 5m 1783521600	Up	BUY	889	56¢	$500	0x7fa8ec…
07-08 14:31:19	btc updown 5m 1783521000	Down	SELL	72	66¢	$48	0xdf1dce…
07-08 14:31:19	btc updown 5m 1783521000	Down	SELL	2,223	67¢	$1,492	0x140eb3…
07-08 14:26:19	btc updown 5m 1783521000	Down	BUY	363	55¢	$200	0xec0f11…
07-08 14:26:19	btc updown 5m 1783521000	Down	BUY	679	54¢	$364	0x2ea061…
07-08 14:26:19	btc updown 5m 1783521000	Down	BUY	343	54¢	$185	0x108c00…
07-08 14:26:17	btc updown 5m 1783521000	Down	BUY	528	53¢	$278	0xf0b2d0…
07-08 14:26:17	btc updown 5m 1783521000	Down	BUY	383	52¢	$198	0x6f3b29…
07-03 08:41:20	btc updown 5m 1783067700	Down	SELL	1,436	99¢	$1,421	0xb45100…
07-03 08:35:28	btc updown 5m 1783067700	Down	BUY	1,436	58¢	$830	0x8a922c…
07-03 08:32:13	eth updown 5m 1783067400	Up	SELL	1,153	38¢	$442	0x6eb712…
07-03 08:32:13	eth updown 5m 1783067400	Up	SELL	809	28¢	$224	0x48d6c7…
07-03 08:32:13	eth updown 5m 1783067400	Up	SELL	502	45¢	$226	0x1aba28…
07-03 08:31:07	eth updown 5m 1783067400	Up	BUY	868	17¢	$150	0x9af694…
07-03 08:31:07	eth updown 5m 1783067400	Up	BUY	141	24¢	$34	0x402954…
07-03 08:31:07	eth updown 5m 1783067400	Up	BUY	1,456	21¢	$312	0x236765…
07-03 08:27:56	eth updown 5m 1783067100	Down	BUY	685	23¢	$155	0xf91e2d…
07-03 08:27:56	eth updown 5m 1783067100	Down	BUY	649	13¢	$86	0xeff0da…
07-03 08:27:56	eth updown 5m 1783067100	Down	BUY	242	45¢	$108	0xd406a6…
07-03 08:27:56	eth updown 5m 1783067100	Down	BUY	506	39¢	$198	0xc586c8…
07-03 08:27:56	eth updown 5m 1783067100	Down	BUY	562	32¢	$178	0x4b1de8…
05-19 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xb0574c…
05-13 20:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,011	23¢	$228	0xf7b4c3…
05-13 20:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	717	19¢	$137	0x5c987f…
05-13 20:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	920	54¢	$500	0xc31abb…
05-13 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	731	68¢	$500	0x71e278…
05-13 20:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,141	44¢	$500	0x2296f4…
05-13 20:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1,378	48¢	$662	0xf7272e…
05-13 20:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	298	43¢	$129	0x0018a0…
05-13 20:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	31¢	$78	0x71e24e…
05-13 20:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,426	30¢	$422	0x2ae1a5…
05-13 20:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,520	55¢	$828	0xfea6a7…
05-13 20:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	303	57¢	$172	0x1a14cf…
05-13 19:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,795	56¢	$1,000	0x64e5c8…
05-13 16:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,420	50¢	$717	0xebed10…
05-13 16:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2,019	49¢	$995	0xd30bd0…
05-13 15:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x7bdc93…
05-13 15:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	790	76¢	$603	0xffd65c…
05-13 15:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3,389	67¢	$2,262	0x55a8c1…
05-13 15:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2,101	52¢	$1,100	0x9abbad…
05-13 15:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2,003	47¢	$948	0x8ae7f5…
05-13 15:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,444	50¢	$718	0x339854…
05-13 15:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,554	53¢	$824	0xc61a33…
05-13 15:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,999	57¢	$1,135	0xb30c4a…
05-13 15:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,424	48¢	$690	0x7c941c…
05-13 15:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	590	59¢	$351	0x0f8f5b…
05-13 14:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,778	54¢	$963	0xe04109…
05-13 14:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,190	63¢	$748	0xdf6d1f…
05-13 14:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2,008	59¢	$1,185	0x3a39ef…
05-13 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	664	48¢	$318	0x19acee…
05-13 13:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	146	40¢	$59	0x80343f…
05-13 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8bc488…
05-12 09:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	85	52¢	$44	0x6a4b69…
05-12 08:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	116	50¢	$58	0x59405d…
05-12 08:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	112	63¢	$70	0x6ce590…
05-12 08:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	112	52¢	$58	0x815950…
05-12 08:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x7d54c9…
05-12 08:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe70641…
05-12 08:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	77	62¢	$48	0xd803c9…
05-12 08:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0xf2d82b…
05-12 08:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0xb51873…
05-12 08:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x96f157…
05-12 08:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x5107cf…