Powerful-Asymmetry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.46K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

887

Trades

1,528

lifetime

Volume

$136.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-28 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

98% 94% +$3,509

Crypto

1% 88% +$19

Politics

1% 58% +$20

Tech

0% 75% +$10

Sports

0% 0% -$100

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	+6	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	05-25 13:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+10	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	06-09 02:12
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+31	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	06-02 11:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 3?	9	$965	1,035	+1,035	No	+$70	09-03 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 28?	2	$801	852	+852	No	+$51	09-27 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	3	$629	662	+662	No	+$33	09-01 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on September 3?	3	$600	638	+638	No	+$38	09-02 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	4	$599	641	+641	Yes	-$599	08-19 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18?	2	$599	644	+644	No	+$45	09-16 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 30?	2	$599	644	+644	No	+$45	08-29 07:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 1?	2	$599	644	+644	No	+$45	08-31 16:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 13?	12	$599	644	+644	No	+$45	09-11 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 15?	10	$539	574	+574	No	+$34	10-14 23:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 1?	4	$534	571	+571	No	+$37	08-31 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	1	$531	568	+568	open	—	10-28 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	1	$528	562	+562	open	—	10-28 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	1	$528	562	+562	open	—	10-28 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	1	$526	566	+566	open	—	10-28 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?	2	$522	562	+562	No	+$39	08-26 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 19?	4	$515	553	+553	No	+$39	10-18 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 19?	5	$514	541	+541	No	+$27	10-18 17:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	1	$513	537	+537	No	+$24	10-27 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 19?	1	$512	545	+545	No	+$33	10-18 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 18?	11	$512	544	+544	No	+$33	10-18 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	1	$510	543	+543	No	+$33	10-18 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	6	$510	543	+543	open	—	10-27 14:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 18?	1	$509	536	+536	No	+$27	10-17 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 17?	1	$507	539	+539	No	+$32	10-16 21:51
highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 13c	2	$506	544	+544	No	+$38	10-17 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 27?	1	$506	538	+538	No	+$32	10-26 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	5	$506	538	+538	No	+$32	10-26 08:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 25?	1	$505	532	+532	No	+$27	10-24 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 26?	1	$505	532	+532	No	+$27	10-26 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	568	93¢	$531	0x0ac69a…
10-28 10:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x448672…
10-28 09:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0x21ae9d…
10-28 09:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x776e98…
10-28 07:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xe3fd58…
10-28 07:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x62c406…
10-28 07:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0d91c5…
10-28 07:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc08dcd…
10-28 06:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xbc8210…
10-28 06:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xad3264…
10-28 06:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x046c18…
10-28 06:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0x50746c…
10-28 05:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	562	94¢	$528	0x566c41…
10-28 05:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	562	94¢	$528	0x96a4a6…
10-28 05:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	566	93¢	$526	0x8535dc…
10-28 01:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xb4242a…
10-28 01:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xe4fa79…
10-28 01:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xc00d25…
10-28 01:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x1f908c…
10-28 01:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	83	93¢	$77	0x874c11…
10-28 00:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	337	93¢	$313	0x0ede8b…
10-27 22:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0xd22262…
10-27 21:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xdb8203…
10-27 21:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x8180bd…
10-27 18:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xdb7f42…
10-27 16:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	173	94¢	$163	0x27b34c…
10-27 16:53:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xbd6aac…
10-27 16:53:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf27a65…
10-27 16:53:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x90e5e3…
10-27 16:53:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0xc68759…
10-27 16:51:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x84d3d3…
10-27 16:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	265	94¢	$249	0xe44b7b…
10-27 16:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3f92a5…
10-27 14:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	108	94¢	$102	0xf2832f…
10-27 14:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	116	94¢	$109	0x3b6d95…
10-27 14:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	240	94¢	$226	0x00fc1d…
10-27 14:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xca13d5…
10-27 14:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x50afd4…
10-27 14:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x280db0…
10-27 14:04:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xf7277c…
10-27 14:04:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2e0509…
10-27 13:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x7de835…
10-27 13:52:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x1c047b…
10-27 13:52:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xcfc2cd…
10-27 13:52:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x713b7f…
10-27 13:52:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x0eed86…
10-27 13:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd15cee…
10-27 13:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xa5dd02…
10-27 13:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8f7734…
10-27 13:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x77977f…
10-27 12:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$17	0x1f237e…
10-27 12:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5be5cd…
10-27 12:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd3c386…
10-27 12:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xc54466…
10-27 12:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xbed5e2…
10-27 12:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xac2daa…
10-27 10:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	83	93¢	$78	0x96062b…
10-27 10:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xc6478f…
10-27 07:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x7880b3…
10-27 04:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe0ea24…
10-27 04:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x13bebd…
10-27 04:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x55b947…
10-27 03:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x072bde…
10-27 03:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0xac0612…
10-27 03:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x3f4317…
10-27 03:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	116	94¢	$109	0x4c0832…
10-27 03:07:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf2bbdb…
10-27 03:04:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	537	96¢	$513	0x7d2e51…
10-27 02:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x56dbbb…
10-27 02:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0x29c28e…
10-27 00:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$43	0xa1682b…
10-27 00:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$43	0x7c1de4…
10-26 23:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x4dfa72…
10-26 19:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x5a7597…
10-26 19:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2fee70…
10-26 19:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$22	0xec3ef3…
10-26 19:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x33f660…
10-26 18:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xbe2975…
10-26 18:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x56b5d8…
10-26 18:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf092a0…
10-26 18:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x968a55…
10-26 18:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x37f2f7…
10-26 16:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xef5865…
10-26 16:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x7b618e…
10-26 16:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0xe8021c…
10-26 16:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xe61666…
10-26 16:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	538	94¢	$506	0xe6674d…
10-26 15:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	351	93¢	$326	0x4b178b…
10-26 15:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x325e5b…
10-26 15:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x995c6d…
10-26 13:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0xee2870…
10-26 13:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0xc206c1…
10-26 08:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xdba7f7…
10-26 08:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	243	94¢	$228	0x4179b8…
10-26 08:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x093af8…
10-26 08:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0x558e8a…
10-26 08:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xcf4028…
10-26 08:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	161	94¢	$152	0xfb2219…
10-26 08:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x987be3…
10-26 08:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x709049…