Informal-Cohesion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

2,129

Trades

4,498

lifetime

Volume

$1.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-30 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Other

76% 99% -$2,914

Crypto

13% 100% +$361

Sports

11% 99% +$285

Tech

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	1	$12.1K	12,115	0	+12,115	Yes	+$12	06-17 00:05
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	28	$12.1K	12,195	0	+12,195	Yes	+$93	06-16 02:36
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts first half	10	$12.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$0	06-22 22:48
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	1	$11.6K	11,629	0	+11,629	Yes	+$29	07-12 03:01
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	20	$11.5K	11,572	0	+11,572	Yes	+$29	07-11 23:08
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	1	$11.5K	11,471	0	+11,471	Yes	+$11	07-07 22:17
spx opens up or down on august 3 2026	16	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Up	+$12	08-03 19:28
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 1 Brazil?	17	$10.6K	5,314	5,314	+0	No	+$48	06-24 22:57
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	90	$10.2K	10,213	0	+10,213	Yes	+$10	06-15 05:31
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	24	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$10	07-03 20:31
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	23	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$10	07-04 00:00
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	19	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Over	+$10	06-22 02:41
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	20	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$135	06-18 01:03
spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	9	$9.5K	9,500	0	+9,500	No	+$17	06-10 19:59
lol lgd al 2026 08 08 game2	29	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	Anyone's Legend	+$9	08-08 11:14
atp moeller taberne 2026 08 07	6	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	Elmer Moeller	+$9	08-07 16:36
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	7	$7.8K	7,549	293	+7,256	Yes	+$20	06-12 20:38
wti closes above 93 on june 10 2026	4	$7.8K	7,817	0	+7,817	No	+$15	06-10 20:57
spy closes above 740 on july 7 2026	4	$7.3K	7,304	0	+7,304	Yes	+$42	07-07 20:13
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 game4	1	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	MOUZ	+$7	08-02 15:00
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?	4	$6.8K	6,889	0	+6,889	No	+$69	06-25 20:02
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?	5	$6.7K	6,733	0	+6,733	Yes	+$7	05-31 13:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?	1	$6.4K	6,432	0	+6,432	Yes	+$6	06-03 03:49
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $147 Week of May 25 2026?	1	$6.4K	6,366	0	+6,366	Yes	+$6	05-29 13:32
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	21	$6.1K	6,325	0	+6,325	Yes	+$207	06-16 20:59
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Brazil?	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$27	06-24 22:56
mlb cle cin 2026 07 27	20	$5.7K	5,682	0	+5,682	Cleveland Guardians	+$6	07-28 20:46
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	2	$5.5K	5,524	0	+5,524	Yes	+$6	05-06 07:37
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Canada?	4	$5.5K	5,556	0	+5,556	No	+$56	06-24 20:17
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	1	$5.1K	5,070	0	+5,070	No	+$7	06-01 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:33:07	Will gas hit $4.20 (Low) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf62934…
10-29 23:50:34	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x794c83…
10-29 23:50:16	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0x3de517…
10-29 23:50:15	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9aca04…
10-29 23:50:15	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x212f49…
10-29 22:04:24	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf62c8b…
10-29 22:04:24	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x83c4be…
10-29 20:43:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x4f0393…
10-29 20:43:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x310cd7…
10-29 02:04:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	259	100¢	$259	0x4b7054…
10-29 02:04:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x803700…
10-26 04:00:11	Will Solana dip to $90 October 19-25?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xf1f060…
10-26 04:00:11	Will Solana dip to $90 October 19-25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbf3542…
10-24 14:27:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdc9fe7…
10-08 04:21:31	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x12c32e…
10-05 16:28:32	bnb up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x4d7060…
10-05 16:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe3c4bd…
10-04 21:11:08	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xb2ddcf…
10-04 08:00:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x52bc97…
10-03 17:57:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xfc90bb…
10-03 08:02:32	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x0851dc…
10-03 08:02:30	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 50 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x81d0cd…
10-01 17:44:45	will bitcoin reach 85k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x8122df…
10-01 17:30:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0xdab67d…
10-01 04:00:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x18ec40…
10-01 04:00:24	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5a7fb…
10-01 04:00:24	Will Ethena reach $0.28 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x620472…
10-01 04:00:23	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3eeded…
10-01 04:00:21	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 60 by September 30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xedc5dd…
10-01 04:00:21	Will Ethena dip to $0.24 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd128d2…
10-01 04:00:21	Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b9182…
10-01 04:00:21	Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7351d0…
10-01 04:00:21	Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in September?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x04c7b6…
10-01 04:00:18	Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x92993b…
09-28 17:12:32	will ethereum reach 2700 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x852102…
09-28 17:12:32	will ethereum reach 2700 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x3cf295…
09-25 16:09:02	bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfadb72…
09-25 16:06:14	bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xbb5282…
09-25 11:07:00	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	445	99¢	$441	0xbb97fe…
09-25 11:07:00	will bitcoin reach 85k in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8ee3a9…
09-23 14:12:25	will bitcoin dip to 85k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x732e75…
09-23 14:10:52	will bitcoin dip to 85k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b4ce5…
09-21 09:38:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x16aa13…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6c3018…
09-21 08:01:33	will ethereum dip to 2400 september 14 20 2026 from september 17	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8725f5…
09-21 07:40:20	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6031db…
09-21 07:40:06	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0xb25a23…
09-21 06:12:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x370c5e…
09-21 04:19:36	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9a3bc0…
09-21 04:00:15	Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 14-20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37e15c…
09-18 08:22:37	will ethereum reach 2500 in september 2026 from september 15	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xaf72bd…
09-17 17:24:58	Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x80c867…
09-17 14:25:42	Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x208de5…
09-17 14:10:48	Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6df342…
09-14 02:25:28	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 12	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2d5426…
09-14 02:25:28	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 12	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2c9eea…
09-14 02:25:28	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 12	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1dba74…
09-14 02:25:28	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 12	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1c0356…
09-14 02:25:28	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in september 2026 from september 12	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x19be02…
09-12 21:51:04	Dogecoin Up or Down on September 12?	Down	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x53c3d1…
09-12 16:11:40	Dogecoin Up or Down on September 12?	Down	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x4db74f…
09-12 07:19:28	Will gas hit $4.30 (High) by September 30?	Yes	BUY	343	100¢	$341	0xb9ef62…
09-12 07:19:28	Will gas hit $4.30 (High) by September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x41f6a6…
09-09 07:45:49	Will gas hit $4.20 (High) by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x55782a…
09-08 16:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc8b137…
09-07 16:07:24	Dogecoin Up or Down on September 7?	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa2eb26…
09-06 18:32:22	will ethereum reach 2500 in september 2026 from september 6	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xc81f9d…
09-04 08:53:36	Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa178cc…
09-04 08:53:34	Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x7ce45d…
09-01 13:12:42	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd0e313…
09-01 13:12:40	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd00a81…
09-01 13:09:58	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xba1e77…
09-01 13:09:31	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	360	97¢	$348	0xad1cb8…
09-01 13:09:31	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x2d6169…
09-01 04:00:21	will ethena dip to 0pt12 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xad87e6…
09-01 04:00:16	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7224ec…
09-01 04:00:16	Will Chainlink dip to $6 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6cee16…
09-01 04:00:16	will chainlink reach 12 in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1c6e8d…
09-01 04:00:15	Will Ethena reach $0.24 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x96de61…
09-01 04:00:15	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x15986f…
09-01 04:00:13	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe3a02c…
09-01 04:00:13	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xda5c1a…
09-01 04:00:13	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa26e82…
09-01 04:00:13	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6cfded…
09-01 04:00:12	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4d4c4…
09-01 04:00:12	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in August?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa985f1…
09-01 04:00:12	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x258031…
09-01 04:00:12	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0ad751…
09-01 04:00:10	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5a2148…
09-01 04:00:09	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by August 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc7cb20…
09-01 04:00:09	Will Chainlink reach $16 in August?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x787644…
09-01 04:00:09	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x642c04…
09-01 04:00:07	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfcf2e9…
08-31 04:00:13	will solana reach 110 august 24 30 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x80ab90…
08-26 12:30:28	Will XRP dip to $1.40 in August?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x642e86…
08-25 12:20:34	Will Hyperliquid dip to $48 in August?	Yes	SELL	1,323	1¢	$8	0x4fc4cd…
08-25 12:20:22	Will Hyperliquid dip to $44 in August?	Yes	SELL	286	0¢	$1	0x99dd9a…
08-24 15:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6aa551…
08-24 15:36:10	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x4248ae…
08-24 10:51:21	Will Hyperliquid dip to $44 in August?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xeeacec…