Understated-Orangutan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

840

lifetime

Volume

$2.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-30 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 69% +$9

Sports

3% 0% $-8

Other

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1776529800	2	$211	107	107	+0	open	—	04-18 16:35
eth updown 5m 1776716100	4	$97	65	63	+2	open	—	04-20 20:19
eth updown 5m 1776777300	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-21 13:20
eth updown 5m 1776715800	4	$48	27	27	+0	open	—	04-20 20:13
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	2	$42	33	33	+1	open	—	04-16 04:44
eth updown 15m 1776797100	4	$42	44	41	+2	open	—	04-21 18:55
eth updown 5m 1776687000	5	$34	37	32	+5	open	—	04-20 12:12
eth updown 5m 1776586500	3	$33	29	18	+12	open	—	04-19 08:17
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-26 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	04-26 15:43
eth updown 15m 1776794400	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-21 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	04-26 15:19
eth updown 5m 1776621600	4	$26	24	23	+1	open	—	04-19 18:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$25	17	16	+0	open	—	04-26 14:53
cricipl mum pun 2026 04 16	2	$25	32	32	+1	open	—	04-16 16:24
eth updown 5m 1776711900	4	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 19:08
eth updown 15m 1776796200	6	$23	27	26	+1	open	—	04-21 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$22	20	19	+1	open	—	04-27 12:18
eth updown 5m 1776538800	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 19:01
eth updown 5m 1776454200	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-17 19:34
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$22	25	4	+21	open	—	04-27 11:29
eth updown 5m 1776532500	2	$22	13	12	+0	open	—	04-18 17:17
cricipl guj kol 2026 04 17	6	$20	143	0	+143	open	—	04-17 16:34
eth updown 5m 1777020600	4	$20	36	34	+2	open	—	04-24 08:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$19	18	18	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 09:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$17	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 12:17
eth updown 5m 1776539100	2	$17	15	10	+5	open	—	04-18 19:09
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	04-26 15:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	04-26 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 18:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xdcbaeb…
05-30 18:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2b2fce…
05-30 18:26:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x53df27…
05-30 18:20:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x8e6360…
05-30 18:20:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xca172c…
05-16 06:51:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x0a64f6…
05-16 06:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8dea95…
05-16 06:48:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x79e646…
05-16 06:45:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2caf77…
05-16 06:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xa0dded…
05-16 06:40:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x54bc6b…
05-13 17:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x0e1ced…
05-13 17:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x877397…
05-13 17:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x20a0c0…
05-13 17:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x86ec42…
05-13 17:36:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x7b01de…
05-13 17:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xc4cd67…
05-13 17:32:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xb7109a…
05-13 17:30:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x0939d8…
05-13 17:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x85806b…
05-13 17:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x70f620…
05-13 17:25:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x530a66…
05-13 17:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x710d8b…
05-13 17:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x98bb6a…
05-13 17:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2dee58…
05-13 17:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x86f85d…
05-13 17:12:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x32b511…
05-13 17:10:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x5c397c…
05-12 19:21:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xcaa494…
05-12 19:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xacdd94…
05-12 19:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x3118ad…
05-12 19:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x25db8e…
05-12 19:16:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x21efc2…
05-12 19:15:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8ff70a…
05-12 19:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x7e9af8…
05-12 19:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7dfb4d…
05-12 19:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x986ee0…
05-12 19:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc35148…
05-12 18:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x4be994…
05-12 18:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x52f654…
05-12 18:55:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf71a86…
05-12 18:53:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x36737d…
05-12 18:50:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x898d81…
05-12 18:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6efbca…
05-12 18:45:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x1bf0f6…
05-12 18:36:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xb8e287…
05-12 18:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x051f7f…
05-12 18:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9529d6…
05-12 18:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xb79711…
05-12 18:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x420964…
05-12 18:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x8dc64e…
05-12 18:23:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xdf977c…
05-12 18:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xff5a9b…
05-12 18:18:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe14c29…
05-12 18:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xfcfe59…
05-12 18:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc406be…
05-10 18:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd8ca4d…
05-10 18:21:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xabfc3d…
05-10 18:20:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb9c721…
05-10 18:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x9b909d…
05-10 18:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x0bab59…
05-10 17:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x46e32c…
05-10 17:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x44b130…
05-10 17:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xca466b…
05-10 17:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xcb3edb…
05-10 17:47:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x098266…
05-10 17:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xbd8a10…
05-10 17:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xc12d18…
05-10 17:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdc8fd7…
05-10 17:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xf221bb…
05-10 11:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xdc8334…
05-10 11:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe2c4a7…
05-10 11:47:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xb33da7…
05-10 11:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x41efe8…
05-10 11:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x7f44d4…
05-10 11:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9f1f20…
05-10 11:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$3	0xfcb100…
05-10 11:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x13dbe0…
05-10 11:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd8d364…
05-10 11:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x0602ba…
05-10 11:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0186ae…
05-10 11:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x4006cc…
05-10 11:25:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xc362dd…
05-09 10:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbd431a…
05-09 10:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe4b042…
05-09 09:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$6	0x55ce1b…
05-09 09:56:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7c519c…
05-09 09:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x72f710…
05-09 09:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xf5600d…
05-09 09:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x82e15f…
05-09 09:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x91ac20…
05-09 09:46:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xe41780…
05-09 09:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xba3fb9…
05-09 09:42:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7d758b…
05-09 09:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9274f4…
05-09 09:37:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x271578…
05-09 09:36:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x4286b3…
05-07 18:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x2fabfe…
05-07 18:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xc4c2c9…
05-07 18:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x89e6d6…