Vengeful-Stepsister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

2,544

Trades

7,961

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 11-07 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 55% -$415

Other

37% 33% -$1,463

Sports

0% 36% +$19

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	+3,072	$3	0¢	$5	+$2	11-07 08:03
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	+2,500	$2	0¢	$4	+$1	11-07 08:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	+2,326	$20	0¢	$2	-$17	11-07 09:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	34	$876	1,654	1,654	+0	No	+$696	10-30 13:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	14	$684	1,004	1,004	+0	Yes	+$443	06-29 22:43
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	42	$530	1,721	721	+1,000	Yes	+$480	10-30 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	28	$309	1,966	0	+1,966	No	-$309	11-04 07:08
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	2	$296	1,440	0	+1,440	No	-$296	10-31 05:00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	21	$296	1,160	1,160	+0	No	+$156	10-16 02:17
cs2 eye tyloo 2026 07 03	81	$294	1,267	373	+894	TYLOO	-$123	07-03 09:10
cs2 eye tyloo 2026 07 03 game1	33	$290	295	228	+67	TYLOO	-$16	07-03 06:12
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	12	$257	4,302	4,302	+0	No	-$145	10-16 12:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	20	$240	968	458	+510	No	-$124	08-28 07:09
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	21	$235	1,691	1,567	+124	No	-$23	11-06 16:23
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	23	$197	8,020	0	+8,020	No	-$197	10-09 04:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	20	$190	3,807	3,807	+0	No	-$39	08-04 04:46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	18	$181	2,492	2,492	+0	No	-$151	05-29 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	41	$181	567	567	+0	Yes	+$159	10-06 02:03
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	21	$178	1,450	775	+675	No	-$51	11-03 16:00
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)	98	$177	372	372	+0	Czechia	-$15	05-29 22:44
cs2 eye tyloo 2026 07 03 game2	42	$168	258	180	+78	TYLOO	-$54	07-03 09:11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	3	$159	853	0	+853	No	-$159	11-04 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	4	$158	3,305	0	+3,305	No	-$158	10-31 06:31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	15	$157	3,025	3,025	+0	No	-$94	08-25 10:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	23	$150	2,040	0	+2,040	No	-$150	11-02 04:06
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	4	$147	1,032	1,032	+0	No	-$113	07-05 07:02
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	13	$146	7,900	0	+7,900	No	-$146	07-03 10:56
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	13	$142	13,333	7,992	+5,341	No	+$62	10-30 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	13	$134	333	333	+0	Yes	+$24	08-13 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	144	$134	204	61	+143	Up	-$4	05-26 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	71	$121	523	1	+522	No	-$120	11-01 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:05 UTC	45	$119	273	0	+273	Up	+$81	07-30 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	7	$119	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$31	10-08 22:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 16:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf8c0c6…
11-07 16:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9ba638…
11-07 15:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	2¢	$6	0x365447…
11-07 09:07:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	399	1¢	$3	0x49506d…
11-07 09:06:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x09a8aa…
11-07 09:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x57403e…
11-07 09:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x51fe90…
11-07 09:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x1a8973…
11-07 09:04:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x7e11d6…
11-07 09:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x465cb4…
11-07 09:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x350de1…
11-07 09:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf9adac…
11-07 09:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$0	0xf98612…
11-07 09:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x84cc5a…
11-07 09:00:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x311f9d…
11-07 08:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbdc502…
11-07 08:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x10c58f…
11-07 08:49:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	20¢	$7	0x5a96d4…
11-07 08:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x7ca6d4…
11-07 08:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x855f23…
11-07 08:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0x6f5ffd…
11-07 08:40:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xe892b1…
11-07 08:38:24	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0xe3e429…
11-07 08:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,072	0¢	$3	0x4fc72e…
11-07 08:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x7019e7…
11-07 06:06:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x896153…
11-07 06:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xfde85f…
11-07 06:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$1	0x0ee0ab…
11-07 06:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x82f1f6…
11-07 06:03:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4e8b8b…
11-07 06:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x5ec8c5…
11-07 06:03:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x224eba…
11-07 03:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,102	1¢	$11	0xf7e03b…
11-07 03:13:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0xe778c7…
11-06 22:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x7460f5…
11-06 21:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x478298…
11-06 21:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x2e0a73…
11-06 18:59:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xfa4c09…
11-06 18:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	8¢	$28	0x7a8c64…
11-06 16:23:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x9b49e3…
11-06 16:09:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc1d5e2…
11-06 16:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0x74dc6f…
11-06 15:19:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	2¢	$5	0x31a2a7…
11-06 15:19:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	2¢	$3	0x9d08f2…
11-06 15:19:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x1b9bd6…
11-06 15:17:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	3¢	$8	0xbdd2d2…
11-06 15:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x6295e4…
11-06 12:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	651	9¢	$59	0xddb850…
11-06 12:32:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x692520…
11-06 12:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x879449…
11-06 12:20:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x34f94b…
11-06 12:15:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x52fa64…
11-06 11:57:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ad017…
11-06 11:42:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	601	0¢	$1	0x98519d…
11-06 11:14:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x5e3af0…
11-06 11:13:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x030825…
11-06 11:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0cda7a…
11-06 11:12:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xffd00c…
11-06 11:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x1d4102…
11-06 11:09:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xcc196e…
11-06 11:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb573c1…
11-06 11:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	1¢	$2	0x9cf01f…
11-06 11:03:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x1f9cb6…
11-06 11:02:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x3f871e…
11-06 11:02:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x15be22…
11-06 11:01:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x89cc87…
11-06 10:59:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x277632…
11-06 10:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xf51765…
11-06 10:54:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x757648…
11-06 10:53:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x483dbc…
11-06 10:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x543f04…
11-06 10:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x19a528…
11-06 10:52:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	11¢	$13	0x63c66e…
11-06 10:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xfc3cc5…
11-06 10:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	11¢	$9	0x9801b0…
11-06 10:45:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xe29631…
11-06 10:44:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x05f6c1…
11-06 10:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x82d7b7…
11-06 10:40:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	11¢	$8	0xc178f6…
11-06 09:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	544	0¢	$1	0x1b2427…
11-06 08:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc5b607…
11-06 08:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x8472d4…
11-06 08:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x551eb1…
11-06 08:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x10fc51…
11-06 08:39:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x784021…
11-06 08:35:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,078	1¢	$12	0x0a5f69…
11-06 08:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x824a52…
11-06 08:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x4ec3cc…
11-06 08:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x9522d9…
11-06 08:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xd79eeb…
11-06 08:30:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x878f2b…
11-06 08:30:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd3a23c…
11-06 08:27:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	1¢	$4	0x822660…
11-06 08:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x9fc08a…
11-06 08:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8a5c74…
11-06 08:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x8690aa…
11-06 08:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x7e5478…
11-06 08:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x6603bf…
11-06 08:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x13de11…
11-06 08:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x0ed3ef…