Defensive-Donut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$225

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$7.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 64% $-225

Other

10% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	7	$575	892	0	+892	Down	+$57	05-11 05:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$396	421	421	+0	open	—	05-11 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	15	$351	523	0	+523	Down	$-351	05-11 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$350	579	0	+579	Down	$-350	05-11 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	9	$350	699	0	+699	Down	+$20	05-11 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	5	$269	255	255	+0	Up	$-91	05-11 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	27	$263	390	0	+390	Up	$-169	05-11 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$250	383	0	+383	Up	+$133	05-11 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	10	$240	347	0	+347	Down	+$7	05-11 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	13	$229	381	0	+381	Down	+$39	05-11 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	17	$229	337	0	+337	Up	+$109	05-11 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	9	$216	299	91	+208	Up	+$40	05-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$210	320	0	+320	Down	$-49	05-10 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	7	$201	299	0	+299	Down	$-201	05-11 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$200	359	0	+359	Down	$-128	05-11 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$200	363	0	+363	Down	$-25	05-11 06:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$199	132	132	+0	open	—	05-11 05:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$197	153	153	+0	open	—	05-11 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$190	220	220	+0	Down	$-10	05-11 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$150	299	0	+299	Down	+$149	05-11 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$150	266	0	+266	Up	+$116	05-11 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$150	216	0	+216	Up	+$66	05-11 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$150	217	0	+217	Up	+$67	05-11 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$150	182	0	+182	Up	+$32	05-11 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$140	205	0	+205	Up	+$65	05-10 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	9	$134	185	129	+56	Down	+$6	05-11 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$130	189	0	+189	Up	+$59	05-11 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$110	220	0	+220	Up	+$110	05-11 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$110	224	0	+224	Up	+$114	05-10 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$100	204	0	+204	Down	$-100	05-11 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 09:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfea1b5…
05-11 09:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1b7d56…
05-11 09:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x057f9d…
05-11 09:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf53408…
05-11 09:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xacfebf…
05-11 09:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x24563e…
05-11 09:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xebc7ac…
05-11 09:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe129eb…
05-11 09:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6e3a38…
05-11 09:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xca3262…
05-11 09:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xe1351e…
05-11 09:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x7d1524…
05-11 09:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xe293df…
05-11 09:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5dfe2e…
05-11 09:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x287161…
05-11 09:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xc40095…
05-11 09:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x708250…
05-11 09:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x14ecdb…
05-11 09:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x384241…
05-11 09:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xff7042…
05-11 09:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xf5d54b…
05-11 09:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x6c4e86…
05-11 09:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x6bcd90…
05-11 09:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x04e435…
05-11 09:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb05443…
05-11 09:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc436e4…
05-11 09:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xcac8b5…
05-11 09:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x3823ae…
05-11 09:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xe5d2ab…
05-11 09:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xc22e48…
05-11 09:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x694cfb…
05-11 09:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x2c447d…
05-11 09:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x231158…
05-11 09:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xc4e91d…
05-11 09:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x8c930c…
05-11 09:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x679c6f…
05-11 09:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc94c82…
05-11 09:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xc1af8d…
05-11 09:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x04e1c5…
05-11 09:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x14dbf9…
05-11 09:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8e54cb…
05-11 09:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbd63d2…
05-11 09:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2bea55…
05-11 09:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa20127…
05-11 09:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2f4530…
05-11 09:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x536a9e…
05-11 09:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xa5e017…
05-11 09:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	77	58¢	$45	0x9f2b03…
05-11 09:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x51794f…
05-11 09:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	74	60¢	$45	0x488038…
05-11 09:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	78	58¢	$45	0x758651…
05-11 09:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	63¢	$45	0xf31f9c…
05-11 09:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2c2a1e…
05-11 09:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd57061…
05-11 09:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x056686…
05-11 09:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	91	26¢	$24	0x2c50ab…
05-11 09:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x9b1197…
05-11 09:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x99f413…
05-11 09:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x35f4b4…
05-11 09:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0xabc1c0…
05-11 09:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	67	68¢	$45	0x24f15f…
05-11 09:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	66	69¢	$45	0x867636…
05-11 09:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x266197…
05-11 09:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0xf56766…
05-11 08:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x874f2f…
05-11 08:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x4a9f85…
05-11 08:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x7f2a6c…
05-11 08:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0xc78f3d…
05-11 08:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	71	63¢	$45	0xa18355…
05-11 08:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x42754f…
05-11 08:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0x414ca2…
05-11 07:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x8517b0…
05-11 07:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x1bec0e…
05-11 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xac33d7…
05-11 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x60c5ec…
05-11 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0x4ba581…
05-11 07:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0xde480f…
05-11 07:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0xc76039…
05-11 07:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	64	70¢	$45	0x82b735…
05-11 07:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	64	70¢	$45	0x07b026…
05-11 07:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x8d708f…
05-11 07:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x456de7…
05-11 07:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x398eea…
05-11 07:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x211802…
05-11 07:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x502d22…
05-11 07:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xc1c508…
05-11 07:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x8970f6…
05-11 07:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x2611e9…
05-11 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc0869a…
05-11 07:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x171dba…
05-11 07:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc77d39…
05-11 07:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xf50865…
05-11 07:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xe79277…
05-11 07:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x79b97b…
05-11 07:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x6febb6…
05-11 07:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdd674c…
05-11 07:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa6f4cc…
05-11 07:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x65813f…
05-11 07:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0d1690…
05-11 07:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xea19c7…