Helpful-Leaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.4%

Resolved

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$9.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

54% 33% +$2

Politics

18% — —

Other

18% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$465	245	245	+0	open	—	02-20 07:40
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$379	196	196	+0	open	—	02-14 19:25
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$310	160	160	+0	open	—	03-17 21:30
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$286	146	146	+0	open	—	02-10 22:16
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$258	132	132	-0	open	—	02-03 19:07
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$249	128	128	+0	open	—	02-20 07:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$247	130	130	+0	open	—	02-20 07:44
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$237	128	128	+0	open	—	02-23 12:09
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	12	$215	111	111	-0	open	—	01-27 19:05
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	7	$212	107	107	+0	open	—	01-15 20:12
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	14	$210	109	109	+0	open	—	03-09 21:57
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	6	$207	108	108	+0	open	—	03-11 10:31
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$198	102	102	+0	open	—	03-12 15:58
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$198	104	104	+0	open	—	03-16 02:49
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$197	103	103	-0	open	—	02-13 08:07
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	10	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	02-23 11:58
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	02-11 19:28
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$191	97	97	+0	open	—	02-19 03:48
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$177	92	92	+0	open	—	02-23 12:02
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$173	89	89	+0	open	—	03-04 02:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	6	$172	89	89	+0	open	—	02-19 03:50
bitcoin above 68k on february 23	4	$169	88	88	+0	open	—	02-23 12:10
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	5	$161	85	85	+0	open	—	03-06 20:26
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$158	83	83	+0	open	—	02-20 07:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$158	83	83	+0	open	—	02-23 12:17
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$133	70	70	+0	Yes	$-0	03-15 02:33
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	9	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	02-02 16:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	01-26 06:50
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$107	54	54	+0	open	—	01-12 23:50
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$106	54	54	+0	No	$-0	01-27 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 08:56:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc6054f…
07-22 00:53:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7c2db8…
03-18 18:50:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0xd6f602…
03-18 14:49:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x32fd20…
03-18 06:42:47	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xba14e7…
03-18 02:41:45	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x31a21a…
03-17 21:30:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x69c804…
03-17 17:29:47	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x9f4ef4…
03-17 12:16:19	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xa24d38…
03-17 04:25:43	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x5e0ffa…
03-17 04:15:13	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x0a0a14…
03-17 04:11:49	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x60ad03…
03-16 20:15:39	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x56f0a6…
03-16 20:13:43	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x43acdd…
03-16 20:11:17	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x891969…
03-16 16:03:49	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x7f8d10…
03-16 10:02:03	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x555d00…
03-16 02:49:55	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xa5f424…
03-15 22:48:41	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xf41b79…
03-15 15:41:13	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x5cc62f…
03-15 09:39:49	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x1b6efe…
03-15 02:33:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0x0de861…
03-14 19:33:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x55415a…
03-14 19:33:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xa6c479…
03-13 04:10:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xfda73e…
03-12 20:08:07	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xf12978…
03-12 15:58:39	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$34	0x2a79dc…
03-12 11:57:47	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xc064eb…
03-12 05:53:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0xaec338…
03-12 01:50:59	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xf73f93…
03-11 18:39:59	2026 the players championship winner rory mcilroy win	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x34f436…
03-11 10:39:47	2026 the players championship winner rory mcilroy win	No	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0xf28e8c…
03-11 10:31:01	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x64599d…
03-11 05:30:25	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x1332c8…
03-11 05:26:15	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xc5688f…
03-11 01:23:39	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xc30438…
03-10 11:06:11	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x28d0fc…
03-10 04:05:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x690f0c…
03-10 04:02:27	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xe919f3…
03-09 22:02:15	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x76365c…
03-09 21:57:51	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x9add35…
03-09 15:55:57	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xfe900d…
03-08 11:27:11	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x2680ed…
03-08 07:23:27	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x14db17…
03-08 07:21:03	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	35	95¢	$34	0x323a44…
03-08 00:18:41	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	35	94¢	$34	0x7edb92…
03-08 00:13:57	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x55bfcf…
03-07 16:11:33	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x57e1e3…
03-06 20:26:59	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$37	0x0c08db…
03-06 13:24:49	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$38	0xc8c667…
03-04 02:31:17	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xfade04…
03-03 18:30:37	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x1e9c36…
02-23 20:16:44	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x9eca0f…
02-23 12:18:04	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x4a2d37…
02-23 12:17:40	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xfab446…
02-23 12:17:18	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x411f19…
02-23 12:16:44	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd9bdc8…
02-23 12:15:30	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xc8c49e…
02-23 12:15:12	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xc76e5a…
02-23 12:10:04	bitcoin above 68k on february 23	No	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0xbb13ec…
02-23 12:09:44	bitcoin above 68k on february 23	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x1f8d64…
02-23 12:09:14	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	46	91¢	$42	0x3a52a0…
02-23 12:08:52	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x7c7341…
02-23 12:08:32	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x564cc5…
02-23 12:08:12	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xa81599…
02-23 12:06:22	Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$40	0xf1fe3a…
02-23 12:06:02	Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$40	0x2fc1cc…
02-23 12:04:58	bitcoin above 68k on february 23	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x126910…
02-23 12:04:36	bitcoin above 68k on february 23	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xf829cd…
02-23 12:02:50	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x263870…
02-23 12:02:30	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0xaa2127…
02-23 12:00:50	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xc43e76…
02-23 12:00:26	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x5a64d9…
02-23 11:59:08	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x0dda29…
02-23 11:58:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x9d9d73…
02-23 11:58:02	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x9e5dfe…
02-23 11:56:40	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x579c5c…
02-20 07:57:24	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xf381bd…
02-20 07:57:04	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x5fdbef…
02-20 07:54:50	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xea41f1…
02-20 07:54:30	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x568643…
02-20 07:53:48	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xe0afa3…
02-20 07:53:28	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xbec2bf…
02-20 07:44:28	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x7c8502…
02-20 07:44:04	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x0330fb…
02-20 07:42:50	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x2e87ed…
02-20 07:42:30	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xac9a8a…
02-20 07:41:46	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x36a253…
02-20 07:41:22	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x28c5ee…
02-20 07:40:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x672d0f…
02-20 07:40:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x95e3da…
02-20 07:40:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$44	0xc2cfb1…
02-20 07:39:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	46	94¢	$44	0x55cc09…
02-20 07:38:38	will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0xffa664…
02-20 07:38:20	will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x7cc7cc…
02-20 07:36:58	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xcf72e9…
02-20 07:36:40	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xb3cebd…
02-19 03:50:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x434cd4…
02-19 03:49:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x137412…
02-19 03:49:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xc33b25…