Jagged-Disregard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

155 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$231

$11.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-03 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Sports

75% 67% -$1,004

Politics

22% 67% -$59

Other

2% 56% -$34

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba min okc 2026 03 15	24	$4.1K	2,590	2,590	+0	Thunder	+$78	03-15 18:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	5	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$2	05-21 09:58
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$1.3K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Thunder	+$440	05-23 01:09
nba por phi 2026 03 15	1	$1.3K	1,700	0	+1,700	76ers	-$1,275	03-15 21:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	700	700	+0	No	+$0	05-21 10:19
nba dal cle 2026 03 15	1	$770	1,000	0	+1,000	Mavericks	-$770	03-15 19:52
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$748	1,100	0	+1,100	Knicks	+$352	05-21 14:00
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$348	520	0	+520	Thunder	+$172	05-20 10:56
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	1	$77	100	0	+100	Yes	-$77	08-19 07:16
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	2	$60	100	0	+100	Yes	-$60	08-30 03:48
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	3	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	09-16 06:52
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	75	$42	7,000	7,000	-0	open	—	05-18 08:17
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	1	$20	30	0	+30	Yes	+$10	10-03 10:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	06-02 04:48
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	07-21 02:33
will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt5b	3	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	07-10 06:58
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	09-05 07:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	08-14 01:43
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	1	$17	20	0	+20	Yes	+$3	05-23 05:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	07-28 09:40
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	3	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	07-02 13:53
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	2	$14	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$0	05-15 13:55
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	06-22 13:57
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-23 04:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	05-23 04:59
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	05-23 05:01
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$7	3,719	3,719	+0	No	+$0	05-20 07:41
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$4	1,754	1,754	+0	No	+$0	05-17 02:49
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	1	$3	10	0	+10	Yes	+$7	05-23 05:02
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-20 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 10:22:35	Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc6a982…
09-16 06:52:48	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x0bec73…
09-05 07:28:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x3d0fbb…
08-30 03:48:34	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x07d627…
08-30 03:48:33	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	82	60¢	$49	0x22e8a4…
08-19 07:16:07	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x876ca1…
08-14 01:43:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x88ce6b…
08-08 22:58:52	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2b71fd…
08-08 04:34:18	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5823a4…
07-28 09:40:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x047c19…
07-21 02:33:04	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa6215b…
07-10 06:58:22	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt5b	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7a906f…
07-10 05:52:13	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt5b	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x556c52…
07-10 02:34:29	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt5b	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xec94e9…
07-02 13:53:55	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb3749c…
07-02 12:49:05	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x5fc450…
07-02 08:04:02	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0c8c58…
06-22 13:57:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x05eb90…
06-02 04:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xae1f2e…
05-23 05:03:14	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf176f9…
05-23 05:03:06	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf1b7dd…
05-23 05:02:45	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xdea26e…
05-23 05:01:50	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7b343d…
05-23 05:01:31	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2eefab…
05-23 04:59:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x07d85f…
05-23 04:59:39	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x03cc86…
05-23 01:09:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	1,000	36¢	$360	0x0a865e…
05-22 16:50:52	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2,000	46¢	$920	0x122936…
05-21 14:00:59	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,100	68¢	$748	0xe61b79…
05-21 10:19:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	699	77¢	$538	0xeb7338…
05-21 10:19:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x107280…
05-21 10:16:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	700	77¢	$539	0x8d167d…
05-21 09:58:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0x9790dd…
05-21 09:57:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0x2e9790…
05-21 09:56:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	639	93¢	$594	0xe28469…
05-21 09:47:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x335ccc…
05-21 09:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	700	93¢	$649	0x2f49d4…
05-20 10:56:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	520	67¢	$348	0xb8faeb…
05-20 07:54:03	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x409f20…
05-20 07:41:20	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	794	0¢	$1	0xe0231c…
05-19 17:59:00	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	857	0¢	$1	0xf14c67…
05-19 16:36:10	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x2f69e9…
05-18 08:17:54	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x5a5b1d…
05-18 08:17:26	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x4d6b41…
05-18 08:16:44	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x2e5232…
05-18 08:11:01	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0xd10230…
05-18 08:08:15	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x9148eb…
05-18 08:03:33	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x0ffb7d…
05-18 07:40:50	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd1d49f…
05-18 07:27:44	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x95571b…
05-18 07:20:53	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x39f8cf…
05-18 07:13:41	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x77f445…
05-18 06:38:04	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x397d2d…
05-18 06:35:51	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x657caf…
05-18 06:29:08	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x4a9350…
05-18 06:11:52	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc15263…
05-18 06:08:07	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x77bb10…
05-18 06:05:36	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcc67e2…
05-18 05:49:49	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1bcf82…
05-18 05:49:41	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1b23a8…
05-18 05:32:39	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x21edcb…
05-18 05:29:12	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8c3ac9…
05-18 05:28:37	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x4d5f7f…
05-18 04:49:25	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xe29f8d…
05-18 04:47:44	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x69ca10…
05-18 04:40:02	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xaa49d2…
05-18 04:32:28	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb6c60f…
05-18 04:24:43	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0xba236e…
05-18 04:21:39	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0xb6512d…
05-18 04:11:11	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9d2c8b…
05-18 04:04:16	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x400fd4…
05-18 03:47:26	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0e5a8f…
05-18 03:39:22	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x49a028…
05-18 03:33:58	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x158ba7…
05-18 03:28:38	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x72f0d5…
05-18 03:07:57	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,682	0¢	$5	0x6b2de4…
05-18 02:39:48	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x070ed0…
05-18 02:24:43	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,925	0¢	$3	0xafd961…
05-18 02:08:30	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc64d70…
05-18 02:00:33	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x02e00f…
05-18 01:19:36	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xea5f60…
05-18 00:50:13	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	750	0¢	$2	0x03e496…
05-18 00:17:14	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd044dd…
05-17 23:53:49	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xffc246…
05-17 23:51:52	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,072	0¢	$3	0x72ca33…
05-17 23:38:37	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb35872…
05-17 23:35:11	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,168	0¢	$4	0x807015…
05-17 23:22:14	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd24b08…
05-17 23:06:16	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x71a87f…
05-17 22:56:07	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc8b524…
05-17 22:53:56	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9dc66d…
05-17 22:52:53	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xbc8cab…
05-17 22:44:13	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xde0d00…
05-17 22:31:43	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xef52c5…
05-17 22:28:35	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9d4659…
05-17 22:14:51	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4d9b46…
05-17 22:01:45	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6cb392…
05-17 21:07:08	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc1ca91…
05-17 20:43:41	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8d5a1d…
05-17 19:17:07	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xeac4a7…