Realized P&L
+$209
Unrealized P&L
+$483
Hit rate
84.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
256
lifetime
Volume
$26.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$6.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 11-13 19:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
59% 46% +$249
Other
38% 81% +$32
Tech
2% 0% -$82
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.3%-0.6%? No +1,503 $836 98¢ $1.5K +$644 11-13 16:01
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +757 $641 99¢ $750 +$109 11-11 02:00
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? Yes +897 $605 56¢ $507 -$98 11-11 03:07
Will the Democrats win Tennessee in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +525 $273 88¢ $462 +$189 11-12 14:34
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +923 $266 39¢ $357 +$90 11-12 06:24
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +384 $330 92¢ $351 +$21 11-08 03:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more? No +298 $251 98¢ $293 +$43 11-04 20:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? No +282 $259 99¢ $279 +$20 11-04 11:57
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +272 $199 94¢ $257 +$57 11-11 06:49
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +229 $213 98¢ $224 +$11 11-12 07:57
Will the Republicans win Vermont in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +228 $98 92¢ $211 +$113 11-13 19:36
Will Hyperliquid reach $96 in November? No +237 $209 76¢ $179 -$30 11-09 07:50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? No +144 $147 100¢ $143 -$4 11-04 03:20
Will the November 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? No +196 $116 70¢ $136 +$19 11-11 01:45
Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Minister of Finance? No +200 $128 64¢ $127 -$1 11-03 07:53
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +363 $132 24¢ $85 -$47 11-13 17:06
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +446 $320 18¢ $83 -$237 11-11 12:07
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +524 $138 15¢ $76 -$62 11-07 17:22
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.18% in November? No +75 $72 93¢ $70 -$2 11-10 15:13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? Yes +61 $14 99¢ $60 +$46 11-03 12:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? No +2,365 $121 2¢ $54 -$67 11-12 05:33
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? Yes +62 $38 82¢ $51 +$13 11-10 14:39
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +48 $45 98¢ $48 +$3 11-13 01:55
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +474 $169 10¢ $47 -$122 11-03 23:27
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in November? Yes +48 $7 70¢ $33 +$26 11-11 17:30
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +1,217 $219 2¢ $29 -$190 11-09 04:06
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31? No +200 $11 12¢ $24 +$14 11-13 05:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +32 $18 46¢ $15 -$3 11-08 14:13
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31? Yes +119 $15 4¢ $5 -$10 11-12 17:40
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +211 $66 1¢ $3 -$63 11-02 06:05